Trend Channel Trading

Another look over my shoulder as we use “alternative means” in our quest to beat markets.”  And as you can tell from the title, this experiment is in progress until Monday.

See, when markets are making big, powerful moves, you don’t want to get in the way of them.

And since the Fed has made it clear that they are still planning to raise rates…well, the inference is it’s not the time to be bullish.

We have talked a lot the past couple of weeks about time management and of workstations and workflow.

Using these easily extensible concepts to build a trading scheme isn’t that hard…

Along with charts, it’s a two cupper.

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Workstations for All!

The companion to the mini ebook “A Life of Gods” on time and task management is unveiled this morning.  This one deals with workstations and workflows.  My thinking is that once something shows up as a task, we need the “power tools” to dispatch it to the “done list.”

A good bit of theory is involved in this.  Work is almost ghostlike in that it seems to be everywhere (and nowhere for the lazy).  Worth spending some coffee and brain cells on.

Because other than some pretty damn interesting market charts, the actual – non-distraction – news flow is hardly overwhelming.

Well, except the Take Taiwan window is opening now, notes my consigliere.

So, brace for that over the next week, or three, to reappear in the sold-out Mainstream Media to add to your mental disorientation.

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Collapse Americana

With the stock market in the biggest losing streak in decades, we are beginning to see what may be the outlines of systemic collapse filling-in around the edges.  There’s a bunch of trouble out there and a short survey of problems immediately ahead seems appropriate grist for today’s review.

In order to brace yourself for coming months, a reread of the UrbanSurvival column from mid April will be a good appetizer: UrbanSurvival Collapse of Complexity: Engineering Food Collapse?

Not to be a nag, but driven by petroleum issues rising, the Biden administration has not only managed to step on a trip wire, they’ve maneuvered the whole country into jumping up and down on the “energy IED” with sanctions.

Toss in Italy’s seizure of Vlad Putin’s Yacht and, well, let’s just note that while Russia figures out logistics for more pressure on Ukraine, the fine line between “scorched earth” and “glassed earth” is shrinking.

In addition, Mr. Mirth N..  Merriment is here to even further add to festivities with a ChartPack that looks like 1929 redux.

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A “Life of Gods”

A synthesis of goal planning and time management styles.  Since no one has “enough time” in the world, most “time management approaches” don’t focus enough on how things end up being scheduled in daily life.

Apologies in advance – this morning’s report is a 60-page .PDF but after we go through MBO, Pomodoro, and all the rest, it’s really important to build our first pass at Life Management software from the ground (spiritual, holistic) up.

Meanwhile, I’m now happily using the system and am quite pleased with the results.

Which we’ll get into after a preview of today’s Fed meeting which – by early indicators – could be a “buy the rumor, sell the news” affair.

A few headlines first, however.  Can rush off into the day “empty-headed” now, can we?

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A Real Victory Lap

Not only was our forecast of a “1,000 points down Week” mighty close… But it hints at what’s to come.  We are now looking at some models that could very well foretell key financial bits of the future.

And, while we’re doing that, some comment on the Biden administration’s latest overthrow the Constitution attempt.  While locking-in the Left’s ownership of the information high ground in America via something called the  “Disinformation Governance Board.”

Seriously?  Who is stupid enough to attack FREE SPEECH?  Two-bit dicks and dictators have been more subtle about it, than Slow Joe in his attempt to thwart the freedom to publish.  Including on the web.  It’s all really “going over the edge” now.

Still, it’s about to get worse, hint our models and charts. Coming months are shading grim and grimmer.  So we will focus on the data and the coming train wreck ahead…

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Testimony of Product Tester 1078

Sometimes, it’s hard to write directly about “what the data says.”  Because, many times, people will not accept ‘raw data.’ Our socialization programs us to think a certain way.  It’s hard to “bug out” of the dominant social paradigm.

Occasionally, though, bugouts happen – not due to any special onboard biasing. It can arise because not everyone is “equally awake” on this trip called life. Regardless of parenting and society pressure to conform.

That’s why people – like fish – school up, you see.  They auto-seek “fish” like themselves.  It’s a good thing – and bad.  Good because it makes for a degree of cohesion in politics and religion, for example.  Bad because schooling up – by its very nature – is not “new idea-friendly.”

Interestingly, after my ER visit last week, a strong vivid dream experience giving a much larger than expected perspective on Life and Death (and in turn, investing) wandered through my existence.  Yes, something of a woo-woo event.

While I’ll tell it in the form of fiction, it nevertheless is worth considering going forward. Since we all die, think of it as another useful “compiler run” of what the waking-state data around us points toward.

The “harder data first” though:  Our ChartPack today is profoundly interesting.  So is that fartstorm of “who has gas” stories in Europe.  A few headlines and economic data that’s sure to light up some neurons.

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The Hollow Victory Lap

The market tracked brilliantly (down) to our expectations this week.  However, the “Bernanke Paradox” is still driving. Down more than 900 points Friday the Dow decline is unlikely to delay an expected rate hike at the Fed’s upcoming meeting.

This morning, a few notes on how the charts – using our Aggregate Index approach – are painting the way ahead.  It’s an interesting game of future-guessing.

Which we will get to after a few headlines to kick-start the neurons.  You’re about to wrap your head around the whole world’s biggest-ever economic problem:  We call it the Bernanke Paradox.

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Two Alternatives to Social Media

George went domain name shopping this week because two pretty good ideas have come along, and subscribers get a first look.  It all comes as a spontaneous answer to a problem vexing all of us:  What productive something can replace social media?

This is not an entirely wasted effort, though it will take some marketing to get off the ground, for sure.

Long-time subscribers may remember the last time we had one of these “brain farts” come along it was a concept that turned into the website Public Design Library.  Long before the 3D printing world “opened up” we saw how going open source with knowledge could be a migration path out of what ails us all.  The planet, the wildlife, stripped out oceans, but most of all people.

We dive in after some Housing numbers and a few news snippets plus the chart pack.  Which, as we advised, we were watching to see which way things would break.  Looks like at least a partial answer is in…

Oh, and do see the “woo-woo special” at the end of today’s report.

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Before You Write a Thing…

How to become a High Output Production Writer (Part 2)

This being a holiday weekend *(Easter tomorrow), we will ease into part 2 of our discussion of the writer’s craft.

In part one, we went over software, settings, lighting, screens, colors, moods, keyboards…all those “little things” that don’t get the attention due them by casual computer users.

However, whether you are crunching out text for work or pleasure, there’s a lot to be said for having the support systems in place to make output as friction-free as possible.  A little diffuser with the right scent, the cup of tea (just so) and nothing on the schedule that can’t be pushed.  Ah, the stuff of Hemingway is just ready to pop, right?

Today we get into the “popping part” with a little theory and a number of ways to approach any writing project.

Which could be the start of your next career.  You never know, anymore.

A couple of headlines first and an incredibly interesting ChartPack first…

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The Rise of “Non-Productive” Work

Ever see the “cutsie” office sign?  “The harder I work, the behinder I get…”?  This morning we look at an increasing intractable problem:  How far can this trend of lessening human productivity go before the whole global economic system blows up?

In a sense, Karl Marx was onto something when he claimed that everyone (proletariat plus workers) should own the “means of production.”  Which was endorsed not too many years back as employee-owned companies rose in America.

Yet now, in addition to too much computer horsepower of our phones – resulting in egregious wastes like time on social media – and the resultant bot storms there – amplifying and feeding back into the waste loop – we see another problem coming along to hit up upside society:  Massive A.I. with robotics.

This morning, we throw in with Ned Ludd a bit.  And propose some novel solutions that the superficial monetizers of things like climate, race, and gender might want to think a little deeper on:  As the solutions to many of society’s ills not a need for “more tech and machines?”  Or is a more aggressively pro-human tax regimen the right medicine for what ails Mother Earth?

After a serving or three of headlines and our mid-week ChartPack.  All grist for hungry minds.

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Before You Write a Thing…

How to become a High Output Production Writer (part 1). While Wednesday Peoplenomics reports are almost entirely income, expense, and getting-ahead oriented, several readers have asked for a “short course on writing.”  We get to be “of a certain age” and the impulse to share with future generations is a natural instinct among “elders.”

We commence that series today because next to a “head for figures” my second-most used skill in 50+ years of business management (and reporting) has been the ability to quickly stitch together what’s in my head and move it from “in there” to “out here” with a minimum of effort.

More than you’d think, there’s a huge physical aspect to it., We begins with preparation, which sounds like index cards and a sharp pencil,  But, preparing to write is much deeper as you’ll discover.

Of course, before we get to the “fun” part, we need to drop down into the Friday market action; more sluggish at the open than expected, but to wash out the weak hands?  Time will tell.

And what morning would be complete without a selection of headlines to worry our little selves silly over?

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Let’s Hear it For Non-Monetary Investments

“There’s more to Life than Money,” goes an old saying.  Yet, perhaps because of the oddness of the times, we don’t pay a heck of a lot of attention to the non-monetary side of life.  It’s like we denominate everything first in dollars, then in meanings like contribution to Life..

It’s a fixation that has quite literally driven people mad.  The acquisition of wealth is assumed when one consumes as the wealthy.  Yet, as “old money” knows, the non-monetary FACTS are what matters in a lifetime.

More on this problem after we dispense a little news and some ChartPack views.  Because this week opened Monday at our 85 Day Aggregate Index moving average, the results are interesting to behold…

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“Ancient Children” Previewed

I’m writing another book – a novel this time – and you’ll find the research done for this one very interesting.  You see, it’s a novel about what happens when Anti-Aging medicine really pays off.  How does that friendly government of ours go about rooting out fraud on the one hand while, at the same time, keeping up legit payments on the other.

There is a lot to think about in this book – which is why I have been getting up at 2 AM many days to write.  Today, since it’s the weekend and we try to keep things to the point, just the intro.  Which was an eye-opener to research and write.

Meantime, the gas clock is ticking in eastern Europe and the market has failed to move appreciably above our “line in the sand” indicator.  So big question marks in the charts today, as well…

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