Dreams, probability clouds, and sleep apnea is not the most mainstream economics and stock trading discussion you’ll run into, today. But it’s been an interesting journey following up on the many research forks apparent in our last discussion on point.  Which was Prophecy, Cardiac Insufficiency, and Hypoxia.

Today, we’ll be looking into additional data and I’ll be showing you some “strip charts” from a recording pulse-oximeter that may – in a very round-about way, influence investment decision-making.

Of course, before that, a few headlines and our ChartPack view of long-term market trends which – if Bitcoin is any indicator (which it may be) – is decidedly grim. We told you this was likely in the cards, though, so no surprise there.

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So much for deserving a break today.  While summer should be time for picnics, trips, time with friends and family, a good deal of that has been blown up this year by bad policy, good court decisions, and angry people. Oh yeah, gas prices, too.

We wonder “What is America coming to?” with good reason:  It ALL impacts the markets.

A few “notes on nuttiness” as we stick mainly to the economics in this morning’s outlook.

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While our rise as a technical society has exceeded past efforts, over time it seems destined to fail.  Not everything is ultimately extensible.  Limits to resources is a hard thing for the bacteria in the agar dish to accept.

In this morning’s discussion (other than the ChartPack and a few news items weighing on Future) we’ll explore that continuum of human thinking which is circumscribed by religious fables, education, and then the well-monetized attachment of symbols.

From here Life changes a bit.  For not only are we “processes of doing things” collectors, but we are also the “template pickers.”

A role which defines the future and makes serious human folly semi-predictable.

We’ll start with a few headlines to make the case..

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My latest adventures in the world of medicine – like a recent nuclear treadmill test – have lit a series of interesting linkages.  This morning we raise some fascinating questions about prophesy, the role of hypoxia, and then wonder is sleep apnea exists to “pave the way” into our personal future.

This may seem like woo-woo but it’s really more “science behind the woo-woo” stuff.

A few headlines and the morning ChartPack get us into a summer weekend mood.

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Let me see: The stock market has dropped 10.6 percent in the last 12 calendar days and you wonder why this topic and why now?  You are welcome to remain skeptical of our long wave economic views, but unfortunately, the replay of history is continuing as a bad rhyme with little reason. Seen BTC yet today?

You’ll miss the Future if you don’t see the whole woke/virtue/me-me as being a spin (or rhyme) on the Flapper Era.  Which was a kind of sexual blow-off in 1920’s society in which young women expressed their sexual liberation.

Here in rhyme-time, the new and “improved” version, men, women, and even a few species of barnyard animals have been “liberated.”

Today begins Closing Time. for the long wave Replay. There’s no denying what’s in our ChartPack.  Seems that no matter what the Federal Reserve does with rates today, it will be adjudged wrong by someone. Smelling the smoke in the crowded theater, yet?

Our outlook for the coming year ranges from famine to mushrooms.  Soaring prices, falling spirits.  National emotional bankruptcy is at the door.

Of course, if you pass off the presently devolving drought as “just a dry spell?”  Well, just remember de Nile is not just a river in Egypt, is it?

No matter what happens next – geo-econ-and-sociologically – we do plan on continue eating a couple of thousand calories per day.  Gardens matter.

No B.S. Our Biden Garden is bound to help out – especially in 2023 as runaway inflation will likely (in our view) place food out of reach for many.  Today’s No B.S. Survival Gardening was written as a useful compression of many scattered gardening resources.  We’re coming to a period when compressed knowledge will matter.

While our story leads there – to potential for a failed “American families dream”  the information age is going bankrupt. Late from the theater may not work out.

Today’s First Things data will include the Retail Sales, Empire State Manufacturing, and Import/Export prices report, too.

These and our long wave ChartPack – are today’s “snow markers” as we plough blindly along the abyss.

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Economics is much like meteorology, we reckon. Today’s report is as much for me (personally) as it is for subscribers as we line up the “match points” between the Great Depression and what’s evolving.

Rather interesting exercise to try next time you can’t sleep and it’s 2 AM.  Really ought to try it.  Many have observed that when the Earth faces away from the Sun, there’s a certain kind of “mental quiet” that occurs.  Perhaps as radio bands change, the F2 layer lowers, and summer noise abates if only for a few hours…

What really matters now is that our long-term view – hence outcome – is gaining, not losing in strength.

Which should scare the hell out of the FedGov.  Which is all too busy missing historical contexts while selling 2022 hysteria against a former president.

With so much that might be done, we live in Ostricheville.

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This is really a report on faddish Accounting, because it drives so much else. Including retirement. Or, given there is a shortage of workers in the country, de-retirement.

Jacob Soll’s book The Reckoning: Financial Accountability and the Rise and Fall of Nations provided some of the impetus for the ideas herein.

Soll’s  next book, Free Market: The History of an Idea will be released in early September, perhaps just in time for collapse this fall. Free markets are a good idea, but when jobs go offshore – and when vulture capitalism reigns – let alone when we live with a U.S. central bank that “makes up bonds” and they buys those bonds itself?  Well, let’s just say that the “free market idea” gets complicated to say the least.

Which has no doubt been set-up by an excessive focus on pure financializations.

As his first book, Soll points out with genuine historical pedigree, that Accounting wasn’t supposed to be that way.  CDO’s and Enron and whoever will be along shortly…

Instead, accounting was once used in Rome to really imbue excellence in government and in a People.  Behind economic cycles, Soll nails changes in accounting. FASB notions aside, we think of Accounting in  the same light as the Supreme Court.  Not supposed to change with fads, but what’cha going to do?

All useful grist for understanding today’s world.  Though we’ll warm up to it slowly to avoid sudden thinking shock.  Some headlines and this morning’s ChartPack should be the right tonic for that.

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Two parts to this morning’s report.  First, the non-mathematical reason why economic depression is semi-inevitable.  Stay tuned. It follows-on from wild price appreciation coming to virtually everything this fall.

After the “theory class” we hear from a long-time source – who has taken on a new nom de plume (moniker) although at the same rank).  His previous had worn itself out.  We may have to issue a field promotion after his latest effort.

That said, there are – to the good Captain’s eyes – at least 14-ways we can each change our behaviors in really minimalist ways to help save the Tree of Liberty. Chainsaws are warmed up all around it – and even within.

All of which (*no worries here!) are totally legal, peaceable, and downright inexpensive.

A few war-picks from The Daily Warring Form for the period ahead and the ChartPack, of course.

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Ever since December 2021, when we began advising it was time to learn gardening, conditions have been building toward Depression before 2023.  Even our moderate case for economic calamity, though, has gained strength as the modern Fed – while avoiding the same mistake of the 1929 Fed – has also mis-stepped and made up new errors.

We continue to admire the work of Ben Bernanke, who we’re pretty sure, would have disengaged his “helicopters of cash” at a more reasonable rate.

Still, during a Covid outbreak, serious witch hunts among the DC elites (plus Epstein’s ‘book’ and the Durham grand jury), what were you expecting, really? America’s collapse wasn’t going to be pretty.

This morning, a discussion of the “way ahead” and what could be brewing in 2023./  Plus, not to worry my cardiologist here, a few words about how to use SALT – Software-Assisted-Learning Tools.

In our ChartPack, the case for a large Elliott wave 3 down to place us on the backside of a modest 3(ii) rally.  Which means we’re likely to the 3-and-done part shortly.  Just frickin great.

But, it’s not likely we haven’t been planning for what’s coming.  And why we have invested in the objects of money, rather than the (deteriorating) paper itself.

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This being a holiday weekend, we will mainly focus on charts.  But that doesn’t mean there isn’t plenty going on.  It’s just some of it is below the surface.

We will, of course, “scratch that itch” a bit.  It’s what we do.

We also drop into a reflective mood in a snip from the Reporter’s Notebook.  Especially poignant given events in Uvalde, Texas.

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A Peoplenomics report today which is sure to get a large following, both with centrists and (probably) with fusion centers.

How many times have we told you how sick we get of people griping, whining, and becoming simple-minded, media-sucking, babies who don’t offer strong, effective, long-term solutions?

I don’t know about you, but I haven’t seen enough value to justify the payout (in income taxes, and such) to justify the input costs of government lately.

Government isn’t listening.  But even that won’t stop the patriotic backbone of America from getting back to the nation’s roots.

Here’s to the Peoplenomics reader base for being the Board of Directors for the AmRev2 project and site.

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Bear!  The report that the stock market (measured by the Dow Industrials) has now experienced its longest losing streak since 1923 is certainly no surprise around here.  Our subscribers have enjoyed the advantage of a multiple-index, equal dollar weighted average to help put present day – and historic al times – into perspective.

Overall, though, most Americans don’t really care.  They still parrot whatever the “financial products” sales crews are selling.  Believing somehow that an evolving serious recession from Q3 this year – accompanied by gasoline shortages along with insufficient food – can’t possibly happen to them.

Good luck with that.

For the rest of us, though?  We are crystal clear on what needs to be done.  Plan a course through the upcoming American Upheaval that will ensure as much risk and minimize personal disruptions as much as possible.

Although Elaine and I have been prepping since selling our sailboat and moving ashore in 2002, the real “topping off” for this sleigh ride commenced late last year when it became clear in our modeling of future, that it really was time to begin survival gardening in earnest

We’ve habitually been “early adopters” though.  So this morning a few notes and plenty of charts about how this “recognizing The Shift” might play out.

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Not enough on your plate to worry you? Time to become a “Seniorpreneur!”  Today we take up some very uncomfortable forward-thinking about what may lie ahead for America’s aging grays.  (Two of which we is.)

Beyond just lining-out the problem, though, we have some ideas for how to cope with hard times that you can start laying the groundwork for, right now.

We’ll run through some of the pressures that are just starting to build  on Social Security and then a couple of future scenarios as to how Collapse makes its appearance.

First however, as always, a few news stories to kick-over the brain cells a bit.  And our chart of the ongoing “replay of 1929” continues to both fascinate and reward those with enough patience and gumption to play what may, in the end, be a fool’s game…

Oh, and we look in on the collapse of social media that we’ve been quietly awaiting since my book Broken Web came out in 2012.  Like CB radio, silly fads seem to have about 10-year runs.

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