Two stories headline our Saturday morning thinking: Our previously “unthinkably bad Elliott Count has been validated. And some comments from a retired senior Air Force contributor shine an embarrassing Light of Truth on crooked political assassination efforts.
Either one is bad. Combined, they can be taken as a sure sign of more troubles and stress are just ahead.
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Let’s start with Collapse-Capable Electronics Operator training and why it’s a different cut of cloth than a ham radio operator. Nothing against hams – finest people in the world. And I’m an Extra Class (AC7X) who’s been “Banging brass” for 60-some years, now.
Everyone can benefit from a ham license – no Morse code required – that went away years ago.
But collapse? ARES and other ham radio groups do phenomenal work when disasters strike. But our focus this morning isn’t about those month-long drives of heroic public service.
It goes to how we reconstitute a low baud rate world when the Internet is taken down or attacked. When EMP happens and all those ugly possibilities.
That, I’m thinking, is a different kettle of fish. So this morning the outline and a few chapters of yet-another Peoplenomics prepping guide.
After the charts and that just breaking (good news) inflation report.
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There is a chance now, that within a year, stock prices will have fallen to half of present levels – and maybe lower. The pieces are just now sliding into place. But, when you consider some of the data – and the flow of world events – it has become an undeniable possibility.
This isn’t to suggest you run out and dump stocks. For me, though, it was one of those realizations that matters. A kind of “eyes wide shut” as we look at growing odds of TEOTWAWKI within a couple of years – or less.
A starting point is a note from a well-informed source. Another reason for hair to stand on end.
Along with the ChartPack – which is where the really bad news of the week has sprung from.
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“Oh my God- Another Book” begins the morning with the first chapters of yet-another book I’m thinking about writing. Well, maybe more than thinking about.
This one is all about the coming Digital Dark Age. The one that follows deteriorating relations with China, Iran, Russia and whoever else holds a grudge. As they all gang up on the U.S. and take down our backbone of modern Life the digital world. Imagine what is implied.
Food? Nope. Water? None – Ma Nature’s got that one on the string. Money? Naw…we’re already making up more than we can excuse.
The web? Toast. Ever get serious about penciling out just how truly awful it could be?
I don’t think people realize. This is a believe it, or not, book. One remembering a time before microwaves, before color TVs, before rigged elections, open borders, and communist leaning teachers who seem to program our kids to talk out of the left side of their mouths, too. Technical in some ways, like how hacking works out.
Which we will get to, after we check the Nancy Puddle (Pacific) for any big splashes and crashes. Oh, and a stop in the Chart Office, too.
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We are coming into a period when the term “high risk” could mean more than any other in our lifetimes. We are literally living in a “powder keg” world which could “go Archduke Ferdinand” at any second.
Plus with our ChartPack – and a market that has soared (as of mid-session Friday) more than nine percent in a single month.
These are unprecedented times. And to our way of thinking, time to prepare for any of what may be coming is quickly running out.
Although – for now – it has not deterred our study of global geopolitics or our ChartPack.
The real question this weekend is “Could the Charts be right? Or are we in a pre-War Bear Market Rally such has never been seen before?
Yes, it’s a “war jitters special” for breakfast.
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The paradox of growth versus environmental balance (finally) wraps up today. We out the final chapter of our next Peoplenomics ebook. These are included with your Peoplenomics.com subscription. However, some of the ebooks such as Power in the Second Depression are available on Amazon ($5.99).
This final chapter has taken more than a year to sort out. Because the “way forward” for nearly 8-billion competitive people (all of whom like to eat three-squares a day) is a nearly insolvable problem. What we come to is the policies problem. Because corporations and governments have merged along a jagged frontier of competing and cooperative interests.
Of course, no Peoplenomics report is complete without our twice-weekly ChartPack. And with the market futures early on the upside, we’re sensing the Fed announcement of a rate hike this afternoon could turn into a classic “Buy the Rumor – Sell the News” kind of event.
After a few other news items which are weighing not only on markets but the rational people who keep the world spinning forward.
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Yes. It’s true. I play both long (going up) positions and short (going down) plays. Remarkably, I make money either way things run.
It’s kinda like being a banker: If things go well, they make money on interest. If things go badly, they repossess assets and sell them off – oftentimes billing for any shortfalls, so they always make money.
The way we play the markets around here is similarly “direction independent.” Which is why our news analysis is often spot-on: We don’t have any interest in making a “logical case” one way, or the other.
Life is what it is.
Besides a relaxing summer weekend of considering this “heads you lose, tails I win” kind of approach, we’ll sort through the usual few headlines. But the ChartPack, will be an eye-opener for many. We play volatility and not direction. Partisanship has been on the skids for a long time.
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How would you like a brand-new home at less than half price? Not only is this possible, but there are people who do this all the time. So this morning, we push around some numbers and show you how you can build your own and make a sweet pile of equity in the process.
There is, however, one underlying educational requirement: You will need some basic woodworking skills. You can pick these up by volunteering to help others who are building property, there are night classes, and even books like David Snell’s book “Building Your Own Home (18th edition)” which makes the point that about a third of all new single-family detached homes are “self-built.”
In today’s world this means a $350,000 home can be self-built for about half that amount – and how would YOU like to step into a new home with $175,000 of equity and a house payment half as large (and about half as long) as others in your ‘hood?
First, though, some fresh data to sniff and then a tackle of the ChartPack as we try to wrap around the insane rally Tuesday.
Caffeine and calculator ready?
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Wherein we replace the programmatic news decided by the Powers and minion Editors. And instead, we use a “What keywords really matter in my Life?” approach.
We’ll give you the idea and you can dial it in to whatever your circumstances are.
It’s a reaction to wife Elaine’s sometimes habitual listening to the “all news” station out of San Antonio – a practice which loads her mind and weighs her down, oftentimes.
Cast off the control of media is then followed by our discussion of Christmas in July with the commercial’s big payday as the shorts were run to the ground at the options close Friday by a short-squeeze rally.
Pour and then pore to avoid poor.
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When TSHTF a lot of people will be in the dark wondering “What happened?” A few years ago, we presented a multipart series on keeping the lights on and the beer cold as economic collapse came stumbling across the world.
Today – in 160-pages of downloadable PDF eBook for subscribers, a discussion of D.C. power system design in the context of social collapse.
This is the first of two inexpensive eBooks I have plans to release publicly this year, based on past Peoplenomics reports. The other one – which will be along in a few weeks is “The 100-Year Toaster” which gets into the nuts and economic bolts of our global “disposable things” society.
Plan is to upload both of these as Amazon ebooks for Kindle over the next month, or two. They will not be expensive – thinking $4.99 each which is reasonable, even on this last Prime Day, lol.
Before downloading the .PDF, however, we’ll first roll out this morning’s C.P.I. report and see how markets take to that.
Which then segues neatly into the ChartPack where some of the mystery of ongoing decline will come into clearer focus.
Shall we, then?
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On multiple levels, the markets are poised for a major turn over the next month. We get into some “nimbleness training” as events across the board are ready to “hit the blender.”
The checklist for this morning includes Biden’s suspect trip to the Middle East, and odd trading patterns in our ChartPack.
Then there’s the whole “War Thing” including the possible financial collapse of Europe touched on this week on Urban. Where the “strength of the dollar” is a misnomer for the “grand weakening of European prospects.”
Your choices of “hot liquid caffeine’s include coffee, cocoa, or tea, We’ll keep it short enough so that a single cup may suffice as we size up the close-in views. Don’t want you getting “all jittery” from the bean.
Events will do enough of that, soon come.
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Who needs Russia and Ukraine when drought is coming and famine is in the wings? As so often happens, our political tools in office are trying to fix the barn after it’s on fire and the horses are gone.
The world needs water – because without it, kiss off crops and light the fuse of survival. Most people in America how much water they need even minimally per day (1.5 gallons for reasonable hydration, more if exercising) and how to get it locally when the power is down and services are shut down from hackers, EMP, of direction action by all those military-aged males sneaking in unopposed by the derelict president’s actions.
Time to “get real or get dead” in our thinking. While government focuses on “continuity of government” in their self-centered way, our reality is more along the lines of Continuity of Life for all citizens, not the pocket-lining few.
Oh, this is not a whine today.
Rather it’s a simple discussion of the longer-term avoidance plan if Drought turns into a city-emptying event for little bergs out west like Las Vegas, Denver, Los Angeles, and Phoenix.
But – unlike the nonsense of the Witch Trials over Trump, or the too-cozy Biden relations with Ukraine and China, there are specific, concrete, measurable, long-term actions the U.S. could be implementing right now. These could make up the core of what we would really like to see: A retooling of America as Depression sinks in during 2023-2025. The mother of all public works projects lies ahead.
Remember: The Great Depression wasn’t even called that until an economics book used the term in 1934. This informs us that we might already be IN a Depression and not even realize it – YET.
Rather than complain, we explore some major American canal building public works projects that will reform America for centuries to come. Much like China has reinvented itself. And in the process become a much more robust and sustainable country, overtaking the U.S.
After a few headlines and our ChartPack, of course.
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Event Arrows have been loosed that will shape the balance of 2022 and form our entry into 2023. We need to look closely at some of these. The Fourth of July has always been a good time to kick back, assess the year to date, and see where the “arrow of events” is pointing for the balance of the year. The bad news? Not too much is going as hoped. 2022 has turned into an historical turd, if you’ll forgive my directness.
Still, all work and no play is no good, either. With goodies on the men u like BBQ, maybe playing in water (if you can find it), and enjoying some well-deserved time off – that’s what makes for a good holiday.
This morning’s report will therefore be “not quite PowerPoint bullets. But we won’t mince words, either.
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