With markets in free-fall, we are again looking back at critical lessons to have internalized right now – like today –  before we get into the Replay of 1929 any deeper.  There are two main ones that come to mind.

The first has to do with invention.  So, in this regard, we’ll be focused on some troubling aspects of the latest U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO.gov) data reports.

The second has to do with thrift.  Which seems to be a lost art except for some of the recent arrivals from elsewhere who oftentimes have a better way to pinch a penny than people who’s had too much, for too long, and won’t be able to cope without help.

Toss in a real-life performance report on our new Starlink system (and how to set it up without an IoS or Android device) and then some speculation as to who might be responsible for blowing the Nordstream II pipeline and it will be a grand report, for sure.

Especially when you see how our ChartPack continues to closely track a similar time period in the 1929 debacle.

A few headlines including the Trade and Inventory data just crossing, too…  Do we know how to party, or what?

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We stick to our economic long wave roots this morning.  With the market breaking (for a while) below June lows, our “worst case” outlook is (unfortunately!) beginning to firm up..

With it a few headlines, but mainly this is a time when the game of future may be won, or lost, depending on the prepping choices made in the next month or three.  Especially if the market blow down continues stepwise in the footsteps of the 1929-37 debacle.  So far, it’s tracking.

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Welcome to Fed Day and the afternoon adventure of “How High Will They go?”  As we collapse down into the Second Depression (our use of the term ought to be obvious within a year) we spot and tell you how to fix two of America’s dumbest decisions.  This won’t be painful, except if you find yourself feeling the pain of saying “How could we have been so stupid?”

The answer – sadly – is that last sentence is not in past tense just yet.  We are still being stupid with more being served up daily.

The fix is easy – but it will involve going back to a time in America most have forgotten about.  A time when everything was the Mission. A quantum leap from today’s self-aggrandizement festivals on the social media platforms screaming “Me! Me! Me!” 24/7.

Fortunately, some relief as we look at stock prices in our charts and compare things now with what was – once upon a time – long ago.

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Step right up, folks!  With the long-term market peak in, we’re gonna play Crash Call!  It’s a game where everyone can win – and everyone can lose.

Get the date right?  Got the right financial instruments in your pocket?  You could be the Big Winner.  Why the odds would embarrass Publisher’s Clearinghouse.

Except, for one thing:  The money in play is not especially reliable.

But we’ll get into this after a few headlines and the ChartPack which is really a doozy!

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America’s end is at hand when massive financializations replace the production of real goods and services.  Which is peering out at us through the data this week.  Inflation is high and the early line on a Fed hike next week of 0.75 percent (or more) was over 80-percent.

As a result, we have finally figured out how government has been able to keep spending progressively more without the whole economic system imploding.

So, pour a second cup and we take you on a tour de crooks.  How asset stripping is being played by a government near you.

After a few headlines and the ChartPack, of course.

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A more detailed look at a possible wave count that – if it continues on track – may be the harbinger or horror, the bringer of bummer, and the foreshadow of famine as the year rolls along.  Yes, it’s likely to be even worse than our alliterations.

The foreshadowing is seen in charts, murmured by economics, dismissed by Bidenistas, and yet, right on cue, our secondary Wave bounce rally came in Friday at 50 percent.

ChartPack first this morning with headlines filling in the speculation of what’s ahead.

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The idea of a “lost spiritual technology” that may slow (or halt) the Aging Process is up this morning.  Wide-ranging discussion, too.  Everything from latest results in transcranial low level laser work, which we described in our “Light Crown” project here in 2016, to some interesting results using “earthing” as a strategy to augment Covid-19 treatment.

But all these (cool and brain-candy though they are) are only the “warm-up” act to some interesting concepts that arise from looking at human Death as an industrial process.  One of those “Crazy George” ideas that seems to be supported in the data.

First, however, some (routine) Trade numbers and 14-charts as the ChartPack finds us still waiting to resolve if this will be Wave 3 down, or whether a truncated Wave (5) or the larger wave 2 is yet to come?

Ready to be tantalized into using your wetware processor?

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With the market down to our “bounce or kiss” line, some views of how the fall could roll out.  Especially key will be how certain countries (China) are feeling the urgency to push forward with resource acquisitions.

Of course, these also involve acquiring whole countries (*Taiwan with Australia down the road), so it makes sense any futurist worth their salt would be considering the “gearing” of how all this works out.

Then we can toss in corporate-coopted government in the U.S. and begin to wonder if “climate change” isn’t really just an early jingoism to cover-up governmental climate modification as a NextGen war fighting tactic.

OK, not the most comfortable shell to encapsulate the rock, but the data is pointing again in the “heads we lose, tails we lose” direction.

A few warm-up headlines and charts first, however…

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Why. our headline today almost sounds like one of our ShopTalk Sunday reports, doesn’t it?  Except the task at hand is much larger:  How do we still “save America” and continue the rational assent of the Western World?

The task is mighty daunting:  We’re going into a risky war-kindling weekend in the Winds of War section.  Then, our charts look like crap – Markets are on the verge of bust.  But even before such nitty-gritty, we have to cope with ADP Employment numbers just out.

Which will be followed tomorrow with the Challenger Job Cuts report and Friday’s forced optimism in the Employment Situation report.  Remember, what matters on this one is the 2019 levels of employment.

Because we do not expect the total number of people working to exceed the high-water marks set in late 2019 and February of 2020 – ahead of lock-down disease.

As usual, we hope it will be a mind-expanding romp.  As we broach how to pop the enabler of economic collapse spawned by runaway government: The D.C. Bubble.

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Trying to “crack the safe” in the investment world, are you?  Years ago, an outfit that made saw-sharpening and locksmithing gear, Foley-Belsaw – had a dandy locksmithing course. Turned out, it was a lot more feel and less touch than cartoons had made it seem to a young feller.

Point is, in really unlocking investments, there is a lot more time than brains involved, at some long-term market inflection points.

Odds seem pretty good we’re in such a period right now.  Which we will dig into with the ChartPack this morning as we diagnose the harsh Jerome Powell remarks – and resulting nosebleed (which becomes an epistaxis after med school) on Wall Street Friday.

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Odds appear to be increasing that we are entering the larger Wave 3 down in markets.  Not that we won’t rally first; of course we will.

But consider where our Aggregate Index work was on November 8, 2021:  41,953.86 .  Based on the close Tuesday, it had rallied from a low of 30,870.04 June 16th of this year.  In financial market wave theory, this was a drop of  26 percent.

The good news is that since the mid-June low, we had rallied (to last Wednesday) 18.87% which was a fine run.

Today – for entertainment purposes only – we continue looking for clues as to what is likely next.  If you’re thinking “Well, a wave 1 down, a wave 2 up, means we wave 3 down is pending?”  Give yourself a gold star.

Even if we make another rally  into early September (9th) the word “pending” quickly evaporates.

But more as we take a deep dive into financial history to figure out what presentry may have in store for us.

After Durable Goods and a check of the sideshows, of course.

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Every time a Bubble arises, supporters of the “new paradigm” argue that somehow “This time it’s different.“    The data says it hasn’t been different yet.

One of these days that may be true.  However, we have come up with a method by which similarities may become clear between non-equivalent markets with wide temporal separation.

Which may sound like gibberish until events this fall roll out that are seemingly now cast in stone.

After a few headlines and a second cup of tea, natch!

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Short for “Operations Tempo” it’s the kind of thing military commanders coordinate.  One flank moves at a certain speed while another moves at something else.  Between, an enemy is “herded” into a disadvantageous position.

In markets, there is an OPTEMPO, as well. Sometimes sector moves are fast, or at other times, painfully slow.

This morning in addition to retail sales numbers just out, and another 35-more pages of my Collapse-Capable Electronics Operator book, we will look at recent structural moves that may drive back fall events.  But make thing worse long-term since it will all seemingly “hit the fan” about the same time.

Details and the ChartPack are both scary and interesting.

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