Can charts tell us what to expect this coming week? In several areas – cryptos, bonds, inflation, and war – we have concerns about what charts are telling us about the future.

An odd mix of regression channels, understanding how to apply the logistic function and implications of Elliott wave developments matter now.

This morning, after minimal headlines, we consider the integrated techniques of charting as we attempt to nail down the next major downside break in markets.

While the charts are instructive, events are running hard as fast on several fronts and major change for life on Earth doesn’t seem far away…

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Election Day-After Limbo is a dandy time for this topic; voters have spoken and will change follow?  (No) The general topic around here this week has been “How many people” are really needed in a company?

There are several ways to approach the problem:  Big picture, sampling of various companies by sector, and even building up a business model for a “perfect business.”

Which, we grudgingly note, some of the “social media companies” had the potential to become.

Except, they too have hit the skids getting top heavy with deadwood.  All with the blessings of the “empire builders” in Human Resources departments.

Yes, how American business injures itself – sometimes fatally – isn’t hard to see.  As we will demonstrate after the election clean-up report and the ChartPack.

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When there is a “known” event of major magnitude on the way, markets often hint in advance what to expect.  This is most often done with price changes.  Markets running up ahead of an event are called “Buy the rumor” and the decline following is often labeled the “Sell the news” aspect.

With (at best) incompetents in both political camps, we would not be surprised to see one of the largest stock market moves ever, when the vote counting – and the demonstrations fire up – along about Wednesday this week.

In the meanwhile, Biden’s War in Ukraine has not been an issue as the democrat party runs on issues – like Trump and abortion – that aren’t on the ballot.

Notwithstanding, if you’re really delusional, the week ahead promises to be a real peach.

In the meantime, let me fill you in on how a major “come to Jesus moment” is arriving for the stock market as Gold has started a possible take-off run that could see its prices triple to quadruple from recent levels.

As we explain an underlying relationship few bother to think about.

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If the first Industrial Revolution was water and steam power, while the second has been electricity and network-pushed, what will NEXT look like?  It’s not a silly question, at all.  And since the World may fall apart based on global economic consequences of War, Sanctions, Asset-Stripped Money, and  little side issues like a die-off and radiation, the problem seems pretty real.

Before we get into the details (and this could become another chapter of my book The 100-Year Toaster as a final, final, I promise FINAL chapter) there’s a new way of “future modeling” I’ve come to which I think you’ll find a useful thinking tool, as well.

First, a few headlines about the nutty market which is trying to figure out which way the Federal Reserve will call future interest rates this afternoon.  We think higher.

But after the ChartPack and some headlines, a “blocking and tackling” exercise in what the “world after all this shit” looks like.

Inspired and with a hat tip reader/subscribers LOOB and BIC who are tasked with answering to grandchildren those fuzzy and imprecise questions.

Like “What should I be when I grow up, grandpa?”

Spoiler alert: First, you need a World…

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Just 10-days to Elections and 26-days until the other turkeys show up.  And while we enter the solar shortage period of winter in the northern hemisphere, it’s a dandy time to look at energy prospects.

You see, a reader did some quickie calculations – that I haven’t been able to fault – which looks at highly-touted electric vehicles as THE answer to everyone’s climate worries.  And if you hug trees, ya’ll won’t like the data-based conclusions that come out of a hard look.

Throw in the latest chapters in the Adventures of Elon and the ChartPack view from Friday with new forward projections and a good time will be had by all.

Or not.

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When there is talk of nukes flashing off, the one critical vulnerability you will already need to have hedged is electricity.  People don’t generally consider how utterly reliant the world is on electricity.

Even more so in the past five-years, or so, as the iniquitous “wall warts” have become the USB charging ports on damn near everything that plugs into AC power, seems like.

This morning, a short discussions on the why and a checklist of things to keep at a constant state of readiness.  At least until the warring and confrontational mindset that has encircled the globe lists and calmer spirits prevail.

Judging by war talk and markets, might not be any time soon, though.

In response, we go through the personal EMP readiness checks today…what will you need?

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Wherein we look at a nearly 800-point increase in the Dow and wonder “WTF?”  There was no driving news, the Fed will still meet and raise rates. The Davos crowd is still pressing for its Global Reset to scam World Government into being.  AND we still see gasoline prices rising this week.

While “down here on the farm” off-road diesel was $4.57 a gallon.  And we can walk to the oil pumps in the 600-acre reserve just across the street.

Of course, we knew something would soon “be up with energy” 9-months ago.  Because that’s when we started receiving unsolicited offers to buy a 15 acre parcel which is likely drillable.  We know from years past work that we have gas around 7,000 to 8,000 feet down and oil below that.

[We won’t go Beverly Hillbilly’s on you – we own surface rights only.  In Texas there’s a huge business in subsurface rights.]

But look, gas prices going UP should not drag the stock market up – at least on any rational planet.

So, after a few headlines, our ChartPack will ponder-as-we-go “Where’s the money coming from?”

Deerstalker hat and some Jamaican Blue at the ready?

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Oh-oh!  Into Prospect Theory (PT), Cumulative Prospect Theory (*CPT) and whether investment choices are driven by quantum bounding or, conversely, give rise to it? A little early to “go heavy and deep” but over the past couple of weeks a strangelet of quantumness has been nagging at me.  Specifically, how free choice may indeed be bounded by a choicing matrix few handle consciously.

Admittedly, this is creepy-strange stuff for a (nominally) lifestyle, futuring, and small-time investor’s newsletter.

But if we can help you scalp better through improved apprehension of decision biases we all hold?  Sure, we’re down with ‘take the money.’

We’ll launch into the morning’s pot of idea stew after our usual headlines and a look at what MIGHT have been “turnaround Tuesday” – which got lost on its way.

Leaving the hard call (“Where is the ideal re-short position?“) for today’s time-in-chair-trading.

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We’ve never seen charts like the ones this weekend in more than 50-years of financial writing. Everything lines up for the period from Monday out to two weeks from Wednesday.

What will happen is anyone’s guess. But we focus heavily on the charts today because they offer a lot to think about.

So, sit down, belt-in, and read on..

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As Ukraine ramps up, we share another couple of chapters of an upcoming book on Lifeboat Homes – homes that help you survive.  Pictures from the Depression era frame things plus we dig into the cost/benefit numbers as we move towards transitioning to environment-friendly living.

Along the way, we have some PPI numbers and the usual economic outlooks.

Plus, there’s the little matter of the Dow which earlier was trying to continue a modest rally started late in the Tuesday session.

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Charts and prospects as we watch the train wreck of an economy implode.  Like dropping another 630 points off the Dow wasn’t a hint?

We have written for years on this site about our focus “Replaying 1929.” Now that we’re within spitting distance not only of the long wave economics playing out as forecast, we’re also seeing how this could turn into a “long-term research success” but a World Failure.

Oh well.

While we wait for things to sort themselves out next week,,.what to do?

More charts, headlines and (oh yeah), wait.

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A study of charts, early futures, ADP Jobs data, and a fresh book chapter on tap here.  After a manic running of the bears Tuesday, reason seems to be back with futures pointing lower ahead of the opening.

Our focus is back on the “what’s personally actionable” aspect of future living.

Imagine, if you will, that it’s late 1929 but the Crash has not yet happened, and you have some money in the bank.  What would you do, buy, where would you move, how would you live…that kind of context is how we’re set up today.

A check of recent headlines should explain why…

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Although we don’t dwell on what it would be like to seriously prepare for global economic collapse, markets are driving today’s discussion.  Because if even a modest disruption in the Supply Chain can cause truck and auto deliveries to falter, and certain foods to become “unobtainium” we wonder what else might become scarce in the uncertain future?

This morning after our ChartPack displaying how close to *(but actually worse than) the 1929 market decline track we’re on, we outline some very serious steps to mediate possible personal impacts.

We won’t even attempt to do the encyclopedic in-depth part of prepping.  Other sites do that much better (though with less emphasis on tracking fundamental economic drivers) than we do.

Instead, we focus on our Fall 2022 spending plans and what burning through a fair bit of savings is buying us for 2023 and beyond that will have value no matter whether the market and the global financial system can be saved, or not.

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