Market Statistics Worth Study

Is there an easier way to track the “mood of the market?”  It’s a useful question to ask, particularly with so much trading being online and done by algorithms.

Today, a look at one of the “simple enough to do in your head” ideas that may help you improve your buy/sell timing in markets.

After we “run the numbers” and we have plenty of them to consider.

Also just posted is Podcast episode #20 over here. 33-minutes of coffee with Ure pal…

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Moving Wealth Through Time

Some of us are getting old and want to “pass something along.”  The problem is?  If you have another 1-to-20 years to run in this Life, what are the best vehicles to transfer wealth to future generations.

Not a “big deal?”  Maybe once upon a time.  But, today with pandemic(s), the risk of nuclear war, failure of the internet, and resource depletion?  See how the problem gets a lot more complicated?

We’ll jump into it after the usual serving of headlines, outlooks, and our ChartPack view of the stock market.

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Jobs Down–Market’s Up: What Gives?

Is there a logical limit to the Fed’s Making Up Money interventions?  Briefly – as in flash-in-the-pan Making Up Money under the guise of playing Modern Monetary Theory seems to work.  The Fed throws how much?  $6-trillion is it?  And the price of paper goes up.

But, in the long run, is it viable?  We think not.  And there’s strong economic reasons why MMT seems to work in the short run, but in the long run, malinvestment and economic distortions not only remain – they also grow.

We will take a high-dive into this end of the pool after some more reasonable stories:  The global outbreak of death and the shameless promotion of an injectable solution to all that ails us. 

First, however, a few choice (,maybe even prime) headlines, and the ChartPack.  As the U.S. Fed continues ice skating with nitro glycerin.

No podcast today.  Just too damn busy this week.  If you like audio, though, you can right-click on some browsers (like MS Edge) and have the column read to you…

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Affording the “Golden Years”

One of the most important topics once you reach the “ripe old age of 50” as many of our readers have. Surprisingly, it’s less a matter of how much money you have.  Really more a matter of managing yourself and expectations.

Today we talk about the Art of Retiring. To where?  While “big city life” may be a constant buzz of “social and cultural” the CV-19 data is making ta strong case that cities may not be the best place to :happily ever-after”  Especially if you’re trying to “get something out of life” beyond a fat paycheck and a commute.

We won’t do too much math, but if you spend 30-minutes each way to work, that’s five-hours a week, or 250-hours per 50-week year.  Over 35-years of working?  218.75 forty-hour work-weeks.  Equivalent to 4.2-YEARS of work.  Just to show up…

Now imagine, if you will, having a commute time of zero…  Maybe we should be thanking CV-19 for reminding us how we’re each guilty of  personal malinvestment of time?

As a warm-up, we’ll serve a string of headlines and a run through the latest virus numbers and outlooks, plus those ADP Job numbers just crossing and how that impacts our ChartPack series including the 1929 replay view.

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Career Plans for Tomorrow

A look at some future “bounding problems” ahead for young people. Which from our standpoint, lately, is anyone 50 or younger…

On our podcast this morning, some discussion with Canadian author, broadcaster, serial entrepreneur and religious studies expert Chris Tyreman – who will give us some perspective on Covid-19 from north of the border.  Podcast 19 is here.

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Directorate 153: Quest to Take-Back the Future

Another one of those [possibly meaningful] lucid dreams of mine.  This time it’s about who “owns the future.”  What’s interesting is that ownership of that may be up for grabs. 

In the charts, we’re wondering when Wave II up (from the Feb. 19 high to the A-Fool’s low was 1-down and since we’ve been in 2-up) will be done.  We look at the problem through that spreadsheet downloadable on the Master Index page.

And we consider not only the “usual” virus impacts, but also some economic data..

So bean up and let’s do this…

– – –

A non-subscriber note:

People often ask “Is Peoplenomics kind of like a bulked up UrbanSurvival column?  Um, no…

Let me give you a “coded answer.”

Breitbart today is running a big headline “Producers Warn America Is Facing Protein Shortage in Coronavirus Era.”

This is a topic Peoplenomics readers take as “old news” – just taking a bit longer than expected to arrive.  The larger context, beyond the virus is laid out in our 06/25/2006 report: The Coming Protein Cost Explosion.  Follow the money, know the future.

You can work out the “value-proposition” for yourself. Although, do also notice how

all collides with paleo diets…

Food for thought, we trust…

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TTRTT?

Short for “Time To Re-Think Texas?” Don’t get me wrong, we love this place beyond belief.  It has almost everything we could want.

More than a million square feet of land.  Since there are 43,560 square fee, and there are 28.82 of them (more/or less) then 1.256 million square feet, or a square 1,120 feet (3-1/2 football fields) on a side.

There’s plenty of water, easy tree-growing, low taxes thanks to tree farm ag exemptions.  And some of the most capable and good-natured people in the world who believe in something bigger than a social media persona and the Constitution is honored.

Yet, there is one slim chance scenario that has been waking me up nights lately and it involves the country from whence came Wuhan.

The details of Ure’s latest bit of “pretzel logic ” after we do the body  count.  Both for markets and virus with charts on each.  For we are non-partisan in our battle space assessments.

At least until we see the “whites of their eyes.”

Podcast #18 will be here – hopefully before noon.  But I have this old AMD machine that has gotten cranky and I have to figure out why the audio is cutting out…

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New America? Check the Rearview

Wherein we “look ahead in the rearview” with a unique historical guidepost system most people don’t think about. Not saying that we are going back to the “past-Ure” but if you’re wondering what will need doing in the “Post-Tech world” business ideas abound.

Which will be grist for the brain after an assortment of headlines and our stunningly interesting ChartPack.

Stunningly?  Did the man say “Stunningly?”  Well, sure – but it’s no more over-hype than much of what the media is saying all-around.  Ad revenue is dying because the old America is passing from view.

Where we’re going?  I’m thinking 1948…

No Podcast Today.  Yes, Pod 18 is missing in actionSeems the studio PC has not been on the internet in a month or two and because of that (not being able to talk to some mother ship somewhere) the machine decided not to boot up today.

The case for Linux builds as survivable computing…

After pissing-away 2-hours (until 6:25 AM) getting Win-10 to work again, I stumbled upon one of those Big Cosmic Truths of Prepping:  Ask yourself (or Microsoft) is their OS will keep working for an indefinite period of time?

Adding insult to injury, when I got the PC working (barely) I discovered that I had to change my Microsoft account on that PC…  We may be only one driver update from calamity.

Which means when I got over to the office, I had to change that account to the new password.  And,  to top it off, I can’t use my old unhackable password (*15 characters of everything, upper, low, special chrs, numbers, and so on) because I had used it before.

Well, about here I was running out of time and brain cells so what we have is a delay of podcast 18 until next weekend…

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Knockdown: Lifestyles a’ Changing

An obituary this morning, to the good old days with a silver living. It’s a look at bunkering and how, while the uber-rich may think it’ll save their butts, I thinking it won’t…

The problem for the rich – and even for crooks – is that both classes became overly dependent on paper money, a service economy, personal greed, avarice, and social media.

Bad moves, all the way around, as we see it.

But where does it lead? 

A question we will endeavor to sketch out after the usual smattering of headlines, our virus spread estimates,  and that unbeatable ChartPack,

After those, off we go on this morning’s “great Safari.”  To be browsers – as it were – of the wreckage piling up in the corners of every-day Life…

That signpost up ahead?  Retail Sales…

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Easter Around the Ranch

While we wait for what seems like a Wave 2 rally to complete, a look at what life’s really like around here.  Sure, people talk about wanting to get back to simpler times, but when comes down to it, are you sure that getting reacquainted with sweat is something you’re interested in?

I mean a lot of people are quite happy going to work for the 40-70 hour workweek, as long as there’s an open latte stand along the way…

Nowadays, with fewer stands open, the simpler life may beckon,. but is it for you?

Podcast 17 is here, and on it, m y long-time friend Gaye Levy gives some perspective on how things are in Arizona.

Mainly, though, this is a kick-back weekend.  Work on the garden, and as you’ll see, a lot of plain old work that goes into living apart from those disease-carrying critters we all are learning to fear:

People.

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Soft-Start to a Hard Depressioni?

Think it’s been hard with the market decline, so far?  Brace yourself.  It could be getting a lot worse in short-order.

This morning we focus on concrete actions you can take to reinforce your future, if all of our charts, particularly the 1929 replay chart, haven’t gotten your attention, yet.

First up, a critical look at some of our forecast calls, and a look at possible turning points ahead.

After that, we’ll get into the  planning that even now can be done.  And it might keep you housed and fed if things go the way they could.

For the data doesn’t care about blame and party, anymore than the tide does.

Podcast #16 is up – runs about 35-minutes, or so and we talk about what to expect in next month’s unemployment data and a bit on the history of Bitcoin…

What matters is who are “the quick and the dead.”

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