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Hot jobs numbers have just dropped before we get into that.  And sure, a check of some headlines. Humans really are, though, inefficient machines. Especially when comes to investing.

Also: our ChartPack is now in a nearly ideal position to rollover, or is that under?

Plus we have the Fed rate decision coming this afternoon.  Where may be less about the rates themselves as it’s about the Chairman’s nuances in the presser following. We’ll have to wait for what’s “signed and signified” in that one.

In fact, a lot of moving pieces are in play.  Need more?  Well, sometime shortly the USS Eisenhower will begin a transit of the Suez Canal to go hang out on Iran’s doorstep in the Middle East.

Where the U.S. is….oh, wait, here come the ADP Numbers…

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We did mention “OEB” means October Ends Badly”?  That was the UrbanSurvival headline Monday of this week.

When I wrote that, our (meta) Aggregate Index stood at 36,044.20.  Friday of this week? The close was 35,159.17. Almost a 2-1/2 percent loss.   This doesn’t seem like a lot. Unless you consider that the U.S. economy is going at not too much more than this – and taking 12-months (and crooked money being made up right and left) to do it.

Today we again return to our charts for ideas about what Future might bring.  Yet – due to an interesting set of circumstances, we did NOT short ahead of the Monday open.

Before those festivities, though, we have a few headlines and some thoughts about what one hell of a week could be coming up.

After all, it’s like this guy I know wrote almost a week ago, October Ends Badly.

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What you learn at the track may be more valuable than  classes in Business School.  No, seriously.  The pony pickers may offer better insights into making money than B-schools because they have disciplined picking skills and personal money management skills often overlooked by academics.

Trust me when I tell you the “sheepskin” is more like an HR lock picking set than a plan to actually make money.

So, grab a latte – we’re heading to the track.  Where the real investment skills become evident at the pay window.

After headlines and the daily war checks, of course.

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No, we did not take a short position ahead of expected weakness Monday.  But that in and of itself is a critical discussion every pari-mutuel investor needs to have (in advance) with themselves.

To state Friday’s problem, do you take a short position when the market has not – yet – hit it’s likely “ideal shorting” point?

Sometimes – in fact most times – when it comes to wagering (hiding in “investment clothing” we need to make such judgments and stick to them.

I have found being pragmatic about my wagers pays considerably better than playing the “hunches.”

The background news helps drive, so let’s start with that. Because in our work, present conditions hint at possibly one final blip up before Wave 3 spreads its wings and the swan dive follows.

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On break in another lifetime today. We have written many times of our interest in doing a past life regression.  Now, being enrolled in an online mixed media program, not only have I actually had one.  But I also wrote a detailed account of events which runs just north of 5,000 words.  That’s book chapter-length.

“On break in another lifetime” refers to the seeming reality of certain dreams.  Where we don’t so much imagine a time and place as recall it.  The effects are sensational.

Not a bad time to take a little break from events of the here and now:  No one likes hospitals being blown up in the Middle East, our SecState snubbed by the Saudis.  More to the point we have concerns for the personal safety of the American president.

He’s on the ground in troubled lands and it forces us to remember there were two or three different plans to kill the Archduke Ferdinand to light off World War One.

Are the rhymes of history this deep and troubling?  Pull up a cup and a chair…we’re going to check it out.

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We have it all lined up and served piping hot today.  Signs in the Sky (eclipse), wars and rumors of war, and talk about financial end times.

Of course, this kind of talk goes on all the time in the doom porn world.  But in coming weeks, a gnawing sense of worry hints some of that notional fear may cross into nominal nowness.

Lacking fresh entrails to scry, we’re do our best to make-do with the ChartPack and the business calendar look ahead into options week which is dawning.

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A reader brought the question to us (“Why does it feel like a Depression?“) driven by seeing how many under 50s still live with their parents, for example.

It’s a dandy question – which takes us on a 4-thousand word jaunt from Al Capone’s soup kitchen in Chicago to the parallels between hoboes and illegal immigrants.

You’ll also want to see the mechanics of how “financial friction” can help to hide inflation – which your tour guide will point out along the way.

After the Producer Prices data and the ChartPack, of course.

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A national holiday Monday was part of the reason we entered a short position ahead of the weekend.  In Wednesday’s report, we fretted about the odds of a large upside bolt as G20 nations are desperate to avoid the appearance of vulnerability of the global economic system to normal economic fluctuations.

Not that such things are bad.  It’s just that they can  get out of hand when conditions are just so.  Falling confidence – suspicious economic reports totally overblowing economic strength, and prospects for a better life.

We are, as some readers have expressed it, already in a “stealth Depression” which – with all the major homeless camps and illegals pouring in – sure have that Hooverville replay vibe to this.

This being the weekend, our focus is mainly on our ChartPack.  Based on the long-held idea here that a meta index – comprised of multiple indicators – can give a far more accurate view of market shenanigans than single indices.

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We continue to evolve a “soft science” of waveform similarities. But getting this part of the present market decline has been enjoyable so far.

One of my great joys in Life is being able to pay lots of income tax.  Not because Elaine can’t spend better than Congress. But because it means we are making enough that it’s all good.

Our topic selection this morning deals with “where next” and in this regard, the answer is “down, silly!”  The issue is not which train station, but which set of tracks to get there.

See, in our work on Futuring, one of the joys of a deep realization of the Many Worlds Interpretation MWI of quantum mechanics is that yes, the Future is constantly dividing and branching.  But, what most don’t realize is that there is a similar (if not equal) rejoining of branches.

Thus, one of the mechanisms of successful long-term predictors (like G.A. Stewart‘s work on Nostradamus quatrains) is that both the divergences/splits are comprehended, but so are the rejoins.

It’s in seeing this (at a deep, emotional level) that gives us an appreciation for the cyclicity behind history.  That is, Everything Under the Sun has been attempted (more or less).  Just not launched from present moment.

This means when you next experience a Mandela Effect moment, stop and ask yourself “Is this a break to a new timeline, or is it a rejoin of a previous line – one where Nelson Mandela did NOT die in jail. And where Jiffy peanut butter was not Jif.”

Sticky problems, these.  And that’s even before we get to the ChartPack!

So bean up, pahdnah and let’s ride. The ADP numbers have just crossed!

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Our September only gains closed the month +9.8 percent. Yes, this pencils out to about 300 percent per year.   Remarkably, we have readers who are doing even better than us.

We don’t approach stocks as “investing” anymore.  We treat the market like a wager. When you do that, things like dollar-cost-averaging get tossed out the window.  You’d never go to the track and place half your bet before the bell and half on the stretch, would you?

In fact, it’s so simple – and so much like wagering – that I considered writing a book (and website) about the technique. I was going to call it “InvestorsAnonymous.org” – even lined up the name.

But my consigliere said “Why share? The more people that use it, the lower your returns will be.” And he’s right.   (Pssst! Buddy! Wanna buy a domain name – cheap?)

Still, since you’ve been so good to us (by subscribing) the least we can do is share some of this month’s stats and a few “gambling inspirations” to get you pointed in the right direction.

After we get through a few headlines and the ChartPack.

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Our outlooks provide for a drop of more than 1,000 Dow points before month-end. Today is Bounce. Though we have to admit a certain fascination with learning whether the Replay/Rhyme on 1929 can possibly be that deterministic.

In other words, one path forward through a chaos theory window is to conduct high-intensity study of starting points.  Since theory holds that the more is known about initiation states, the more range-bound solution sets (to chaos) become.  Hence, improved insight into Future.

In case you already know this (and our love of differential stochastics), we offer a short discussion of how to become a “Vicious Consumer” as mentioned on UrbanSurvival.com this week.

Looking ahead, while a projected thousand-point crash (in a day) may seem like a very Big Deal, it’s really not. Since percentagewise it’s relatively common for this portion of the major Wave 3 Decline of the economic long wave. We could have 10 such drops (circuit breakers notwithstanding) through the end of this year. In fact, before Turkey!

Because if the rhyme doesn’t change, we could be in for a decline of more than six-thousand points in a two-day period before Thanksgiving. Try first week of November.

Yes, things are getting serious and about to go totally off the rails. But remember who was telling you in August to get the Fall garden in?

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Calling market tops is dicey at best. But, we have been calling the July 31st top as “it” for over a month now.  But that’s only a small part of the forecaster’s dilemma. The attending problem is “Where to from here?”

Today, a deep-dive into waveforms, history, momentum dynamics, and even some high-leverage gambling notes.

A few headlines first – which is the kind of thing that adds meaning and context to not sleeping in on a Saturday morning…

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Weren’t we offering this same kind of advice back in the fall of 2008?  Yes, sad to say. But if we toss in Turkey as a coming front (with Greece) there are 9-fronts open today (or is it 10?) and goods are topped up, you have plans for survival gardening as season permit and you have a “bridge” of stored food to get you to the next planting and growing season.  Hopefully, nothing will go wrong.

We are, however, unlike 2008, not on the verge of a well-contained economic debacle (did anyone ever go to jail? No?  World War 3 is more about 8-billion hungry humans trying to work out who will end up with enough long-term resources to persist into the second half of this century.

With wars active in Palestine, Syria, more recently in Armenia and Ukraine, plus with war in the wings for Taiwan (potentially as early as this weekend) and with North Korea setting itself up in an arms-for-food relationship with Russia, one could argue that a World War is what’s brewing up. ..

Now toss in the cartel alignment with Russia via Mexico, the leaky narco-state next door and toss in a Pollyanna administration which is fighting the wrong war (climate and pronouns, not food and energy) and certainly nothing could go wrong. Right!  At least that’s the watery pabulum served by corporate media which dares not upset the financial apple cart.

Which we will roll through today along with our most worrisome ChartPack,; which has a Puetz window opening Friday and a potential decline to a crash window next week, since the all-time of this Wave 2 rally that we’ve been in seems to be in and the Big Drop just ahead.

Like the Log Jammer at Magic Mountain, a few decades back, except this ride will feature different screams and the splashing of fake money, not water of the sluice.

You in line for that?

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