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A GroupThink Project: Sectorial Dependencies

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[Long report warning:  >7,000 words]

When someone says the word “GroupThink” I’m sure that there are some negative  connotations.  But in this morning’s context the term  “groupthink” is not a bad thing since we’ll to be using it to help (as a  group project for our mutual benefit) to come up with a different way of looking  at financial data.  Specifically what we’re after is to define interlocking dependencies which can then hone our investing returns not just  in the market but also in day-to-day decision-making about life in general.  Before  starting  this new look into mechanistic causality in complex systems though, there’s nothing to starting the  day with some headlines as we wait for the idiotic mainstream press to deliver  word of the first royal diaper being filled.  Oh, wait!  That’s already been done...so back to our battle between complexity theory  and good old-fashioned economic reductionism.

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A Course in Surveillance Algorithms

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An algorithm is simply a set of instructions for a computer system to follow in a particular order.  In the case of Big Data, the steps are capture, organize, integrate, analyze, and act.  Using this approach, we can build a fine example of the many trip-wires an innocent civilian could stumble over in the modern surveillance society.  Plus we have our monthly check of west coast port data with is oftentimes a decent truth detector about the economy and an update on many headlines and our trading model.  You may need a third cup for this morning’s report…

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A Digital Tulip Progress Check

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It is reliably reported that during the peak of Tulip Mania,
offers were made to buy as much as 12-acres of land with a single tulip bulb.  Surely, something was amiss, a reasonable person might have argued at the time, but the market price was what it was….and until the mania broke (and fortunes were spilt right and left) it seems for a while like tulips had become a kind of
money.  In  a previous report, I pointed out some of the fallacy of
Bitcoins, not the least of which is their total reliance on electricity (which
makes them useless in a post-collapse economy) but I also projected a major
decline from then peaks.  This morning, we shall update our thinking and
look ahead.  After, that is, a nibble of this and a sup of that…this
being breakfast and the sups of Mrs. Olson’s half-caf to brace us for the
descent into digital madness.

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Capt. Midnight’s Parts 3-5

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Since “going off the farm” for a  bit, a number of realizations wandered into my personal headspace, a good thing  overall, but they are serious tasks which will keep me busy for many months to  come.  I’m refocusing on self-sufficiency and with good reason.   You’ll see why as we serve up the remainder of Capt. Midnight’s  five-parter (which will be parsed out in three more “shorties” on the free site,  plus we will go into some details about one topic in particular, namely peak oil  (thanks to Oilman 2).  But first, before rolling up our sleeves, we have a  few things to talk about including one topic which I’ve been wrestling with for  several weeks for a book I’ve been asked to write…

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A Technical Trading Note

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(Columbus, OH)  As we have a demanding travel schedule today, we are posting this morning’s report ahead of time.  Our particular focus today is on technical trading… a nice way of saying we’re going to try to keep the bastards in the bankster-class from eating every last dollar of our retirement dreams by keeping one step ahead of things…

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The Prepper’s Dream Shop

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While this week’s report was to  have focused on the effect Alfven Waves have on human, hence market, behaviors,  we found it downright curious that the very week when we might have been able to  draw some solid conclusions about how electricity impacts markets, the HAARP  data pages at the University of Alaska disappeared.  My, my, well ain’t  that curious?  While we wait for their crackerjack IT dept. to get them  back on line, we will instead focus on the Prepper’s Dream Shop…how to set up  for whatever this way comes.  After, of course, Mrs. Olson stumbles through  with another dose of half-caf.

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Now, About That Recovery

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Time once again to get really grounded in our view of the
U.S. economy using the most non-partisan economic report I can think of:  A
check of actual port traffic coming in from Asia via the US west coast.  I
won’t spoil the surprise by telling you what to expect, we’ll just roll with
data, as always.  Meantime, we also have a dandy ChartPack update which
features a sizeable bounce that we anticipated in last week’s report.  But
first, deck the halls with boughs of coffee…time to welcome this morning’s
second cup of Mrs. Olson’s half-caf and get on to our First Things topic…

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