Eye on Two Turkeys

One, of course, will be the bird destined for the table in a week and a half. But the other is making waves in all kinds of ways this weekend.

With the imminent expansion of the Middle East warfare to a 1,500-mile front stretching from Kiev to Egypt, a rational person might ask “With war in the air, why is the market going up?”

Damn fine question, that.  We begin the trail to truth in New York City, of all places. Where the feds have been busy.

Oh, yes, the detective work extends to the ChartPack, as well where we may be seeing signs of a manic break just ahead…

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What Has Happened to Prepping?

The times they are a-changing, and us with them. Makes for a good perspective to look back over almost 40 years of prepping work and see what thingswere stable and which pieces were changed.

Plus, in our ChartPack today, we look at a simple way to extract some “rules for trading” from a table of stock information.  May be able to pick up some new ideas on how to “shade your bets.”

Our morning warfront travelog (bring your own bullets) will check the 1500 mile war zone north (UKR) to south (Gaza border of Egypt).

But first, we have to take corporate media to task for some real BS spin on Tuesday election returns. Because it wasn’t a “MAGA loss” as some of the lefties hold. It’s that people just want to remain free. Partisan labeling is a scam of controllers and charlatans, as we see it.

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Jacking Up Markets, DNA Regression

Shocking rise of markets this week that almost has the odor of manipulation.  But it may portend the “worst news ever” (nukwar?) based on “buy the rumor, sell the news” theory.

Which is almost as interesting, though not of as much usefulness, as our latest adventures into past life regressions.

As few headlines and coffee to begin.

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Inefficient Machines

Hot jobs numbers have just dropped before we get into that.  And sure, a check of some headlines. Humans really are, though, inefficient machines. Especially when comes to investing.

Also: our ChartPack is now in a nearly ideal position to rollover, or is that under?

Plus we have the Fed rate decision coming this afternoon.  Where may be less about the rates themselves as it’s about the Chairman’s nuances in the presser following. We’ll have to wait for what’s “signed and signified” in that one.

In fact, a lot of moving pieces are in play.  Need more?  Well, sometime shortly the USS Eisenhower will begin a transit of the Suez Canal to go hang out on Iran’s doorstep in the Middle East.

Where the U.S. is….oh, wait, here come the ADP Numbers…

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Grim, Grimmer, Grimmest

We did mention “OEB” means October Ends Badly”?  That was the UrbanSurvival headline Monday of this week.

When I wrote that, our (meta) Aggregate Index stood at 36,044.20.  Friday of this week? The close was 35,159.17. Almost a 2-1/2 percent loss.   This doesn’t seem like a lot. Unless you consider that the U.S. economy is going at not too much more than this – and taking 12-months (and crooked money being made up right and left) to do it.

Today we again return to our charts for ideas about what Future might bring.  Yet – due to an interesting set of circumstances, we did NOT short ahead of the Monday open.

Before those festivities, though, we have a few headlines and some thoughts about what one hell of a week could be coming up.

After all, it’s like this guy I know wrote almost a week ago, October Ends Badly.

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Thinking Skills of a Pari-mutuel Investor

What you learn at the track may be more valuable than  classes in Business School.  No, seriously.  The pony pickers may offer better insights into making money than B-schools because they have disciplined picking skills and personal money management skills often overlooked by academics.

Trust me when I tell you the “sheepskin” is more like an HR lock picking set than a plan to actually make money.

So, grab a latte – we’re heading to the track.  Where the real investment skills become evident at the pay window.

After headlines and the daily war checks, of course.

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Risks of Monday

No, we did not take a short position ahead of expected weakness Monday.  But that in and of itself is a critical discussion every pari-mutuel investor needs to have (in advance) with themselves.

To state Friday’s problem, do you take a short position when the market has not – yet – hit it’s likely “ideal shorting” point?

Sometimes – in fact most times – when it comes to wagering (hiding in “investment clothing” we need to make such judgments and stick to them.

I have found being pragmatic about my wagers pays considerably better than playing the “hunches.”

The background news helps drive, so let’s start with that. Because in our work, present conditions hint at possibly one final blip up before Wave 3 spreads its wings and the swan dive follows.

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Past Life Regression Firsthand

On break in another lifetime today. We have written many times of our interest in doing a past life regression.  Now, being enrolled in an online mixed media program, not only have I actually had one.  But I also wrote a detailed account of events which runs just north of 5,000 words.  That’s book chapter-length.

On break in another lifetime” refers to the seeming reality of certain dreams.  Where we don’t so much imagine a time and place as recall itThe effects are sensational.

Not a bad time to take a little break from events of the here and now:  No one likes hospitals being blown up in the Middle East, our SecState snubbed by the Saudis.  More to the point we have concerns for the personal safety of the American president.

He’s on the ground in troubled lands and it forces us to remember there were two or three different plans to kill the Archduke Ferdinand to light off World War One.

Are the rhymes of history this deep and troubling?  Pull up a cup and a chair…we’re going to check it out.

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A Typical WW3 Weekend

We have it all lined up and served piping hot today.  Signs in the Sky (eclipse), wars and rumors of war, and talk about financial end times.

Of course, this kind of talk goes on all the time in the doom porn world.  But in coming weeks, a gnawing sense of worry hints some of that notional fear may cross into nominal nowness.

Lacking fresh entrails to scry, we’re do our best to make-do with the ChartPack and the business calendar look ahead into options week which is dawning.

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Feels Like a Depression, Eh?

A reader brought the question to us (“Why does it feel like a Depression?“) driven by seeing how many under 50s still live with their parents, for example.

It’s a dandy question – which takes us on a 4-thousand word jaunt from Al Capone’s soup kitchen in Chicago to the parallels between hoboes and illegal immigrants.

You’ll also want to see the mechanics of how “financial friction” can help to hide inflation – which your tour guide will point out along the way.

After the Producer Prices data and the ChartPack, of course.

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A “Double Ten” Short?

A national holiday Monday was part of the reason we entered a short position ahead of the weekend.  In Wednesday’s report, we fretted about the odds of a large upside bolt as G20 nations are desperate to avoid the appearance of vulnerability of the global economic system to normal economic fluctuations.

Not that such things are bad.  It’s just that they can  get out of hand when conditions are just so.  Falling confidence – suspicious economic reports totally overblowing economic strength, and prospects for a better life.

We are, as some readers have expressed it, already in a “stealth Depression” which – with all the major homeless camps and illegals pouring in – sure have that Hooverville replay vibe to this.

This being the weekend, our focus is mainly on our ChartPack.  Based on the long-held idea here that a meta index – comprised of multiple indicators – can give a far more accurate view of market shenanigans than single indices.

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Bounces and Dependencies

We continue to evolve a “soft science” of waveform similarities. But getting this part of the present market decline has been enjoyable so far.

One of my great joys in Life is being able to pay lots of income tax.  Not because Elaine can’t spend better than Congress. But because it means we are making enough that it’s all good.

Our topic selection this morning deals with “where next” and in this regard, the answer is “down, silly!”  The issue is not which train station, but which set of tracks to get there.

See, in our work on Futuring, one of the joys of a deep realization of the Many Worlds Interpretation MWI of quantum mechanics is that yes, the Future is constantly dividing and branching.  But, what most don’t realize is that there is a similar (if not equal) rejoining of branches.

Thus, one of the mechanisms of successful long-term predictors (like G.A. Stewart‘s work on Nostradamus quatrains) is that both the divergences/splits are comprehended, but so are the rejoins.

It’s in seeing this (at a deep, emotional level) that gives us an appreciation for the cyclicity behind history.  That is, Everything Under the Sun has been attempted (more or less).  Just not launched from present moment.

This means when you next experience a Mandela Effect moment, stop and ask yourself “Is this a break to a new timeline, or is it a rejoin of a previous line – one where Nelson Mandela did NOT die in jail. And where Jiffy peanut butter was not Jif.”

Sticky problems, these.  And that’s even before we get to the ChartPack!

So bean up, pahdnah and let’s ride. The ADP numbers have just crossed!

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Gambler’s Market

Our September only gains closed the month +9.8 percent. Yes, this pencils out to about 300 percent per year.   Remarkably, we have readers who are doing even better than us.

We don’t approach stocks as “investing” anymore.  We treat the market like a wager. When you do that, things like dollar-cost-averaging get tossed out the window.  You’d never go to the track and place half your bet before the bell and half on the stretch, would you?

In fact, it’s so simple – and so much like wagering – that I considered writing a book (and website) about the technique. I was going to call it “InvestorsAnonymous.org” – even lined up the name.

But my consigliere said “Why share? The more people that use it, the lower your returns will be.” And he’s right.   (Pssst! Buddy! Wanna buy a domain name – cheap?)

Still, since you’ve been so good to us (by subscribing) the least we can do is share some of this month’s stats and a few “gambling inspirations” to get you pointed in the right direction.

After we get through a few headlines and the ChartPack.

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