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Two parts to this morning’s report.  First, the non-mathematical reason why economic depression is semi-inevitable.  Stay tuned. It follows-on from wild price appreciation coming to virtually everything this fall.

After the “theory class” we hear from a long-time source – who has taken on a new nom de plume (moniker) although at the same rank).  His previous had worn itself out.  We may have to issue a field promotion after his latest effort.

That said, there are – to the good Captain’s eyes – at least 14-ways we can each change our behaviors in really minimalist ways to help save the Tree of Liberty. Chainsaws are warmed up all around it – and even within.

All of which (*no worries here!) are totally legal, peaceable, and downright inexpensive.

A few war-picks from The Daily Warring Form for the period ahead and the ChartPack, of course.

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Ever since December 2021, when we began advising it was time to learn gardening, conditions have been building toward Depression before 2023.  Even our moderate case for economic calamity, though, has gained strength as the modern Fed – while avoiding the same mistake of the 1929 Fed – has also mis-stepped and made up new errors.

We continue to admire the work of Ben Bernanke, who we’re pretty sure, would have disengaged his “helicopters of cash” at a more reasonable rate.

Still, during a Covid outbreak, serious witch hunts among the DC elites (plus Epstein’s ‘book’ and the Durham grand jury), what were you expecting, really? America’s collapse wasn’t going to be pretty.

This morning, a discussion of the “way ahead” and what could be brewing in 2023./  Plus, not to worry my cardiologist here, a few words about how to use SALT – Software-Assisted-Learning Tools.

In our ChartPack, the case for a large Elliott wave 3 down to place us on the backside of a modest 3(ii) rally.  Which means we’re likely to the 3-and-done part shortly.  Just frickin great.

But, it’s not likely we haven’t been planning for what’s coming.  And why we have invested in the objects of money, rather than the (deteriorating) paper itself.

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This being a holiday weekend, we will mainly focus on charts.  But that doesn’t mean there isn’t plenty going on.  It’s just some of it is below the surface.

We will, of course, “scratch that itch” a bit.  It’s what we do.

We also drop into a reflective mood in a snip from the Reporter’s Notebook.  Especially poignant given events in Uvalde, Texas.

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A Peoplenomics report today which is sure to get a large following, both with centrists and (probably) with fusion centers.

How many times have we told you how sick we get of people griping, whining, and becoming simple-minded, media-sucking, babies who don’t offer strong, effective, long-term solutions?

I don’t know about you, but I haven’t seen enough value to justify the payout (in income taxes, and such) to justify the input costs of government lately.

Government isn’t listening.  But even that won’t stop the patriotic backbone of America from getting back to the nation’s roots.

Here’s to the Peoplenomics reader base for being the Board of Directors for the AmRev2 project and site.

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Bear!  The report that the stock market (measured by the Dow Industrials) has now experienced its longest losing streak since 1923 is certainly no surprise around here.  Our subscribers have enjoyed the advantage of a multiple-index, equal dollar weighted average to help put present day – and historic al times – into perspective.

Overall, though, most Americans don’t really care.  They still parrot whatever the “financial products” sales crews are selling.  Believing somehow that an evolving serious recession from Q3 this year – accompanied by gasoline shortages along with insufficient food – can’t possibly happen to them.

Good luck with that.

For the rest of us, though?  We are crystal clear on what needs to be done.  Plan a course through the upcoming American Upheaval that will ensure as much risk and minimize personal disruptions as much as possible.

Although Elaine and I have been prepping since selling our sailboat and moving ashore in 2002, the real “topping off” for this sleigh ride commenced late last year when it became clear in our modeling of future, that it really was time to begin survival gardening in earnest

We’ve habitually been “early adopters” though.  So this morning a few notes and plenty of charts about how this “recognizing The Shift” might play out.

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Not enough on your plate to worry you? Time to become a “Seniorpreneur!”  Today we take up some very uncomfortable forward-thinking about what may lie ahead for America’s aging grays.  (Two of which we is.)

Beyond just lining-out the problem, though, we have some ideas for how to cope with hard times that you can start laying the groundwork for, right now.

We’ll run through some of the pressures that are just starting to build  on Social Security and then a couple of future scenarios as to how Collapse makes its appearance.

First however, as always, a few news stories to kick-over the brain cells a bit.  And our chart of the ongoing “replay of 1929” continues to both fascinate and reward those with enough patience and gumption to play what may, in the end, be a fool’s game…

Oh, and we look in on the collapse of social media that we’ve been quietly awaiting since my book Broken Web came out in 2012.  Like CB radio, silly fads seem to have about 10-year runs.

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Another look over my shoulder as we use “alternative means” in our quest to beat markets.”  And as you can tell from the title, this experiment is in progress until Monday.

See, when markets are making big, powerful moves, you don’t want to get in the way of them.

And since the Fed has made it clear that they are still planning to raise rates…well, the inference is it’s not the time to be bullish.

We have talked a lot the past couple of weeks about time management and of workstations and workflow.

Using these easily extensible concepts to build a trading scheme isn’t that hard…

Along with charts, it’s a two cupper.

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The companion to the mini ebook “A Life of Gods” on time and task management is unveiled this morning.  This one deals with workstations and workflows.  My thinking is that once something shows up as a task, we need the “power tools” to dispatch it to the “done list.”

A good bit of theory is involved in this.  Work is almost ghostlike in that it seems to be everywhere (and nowhere for the lazy).  Worth spending some coffee and brain cells on.

Because other than some pretty damn interesting market charts, the actual – non-distraction – news flow is hardly overwhelming.

Well, except the Take Taiwan window is opening now, notes my consigliere.

So, brace for that over the next week, or three, to reappear in the sold-out Mainstream Media to add to your mental disorientation.

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With the stock market in the biggest losing streak in decades, we are beginning to see what may be the outlines of systemic collapse filling-in around the edges.  There’s a bunch of trouble out there and a short survey of problems immediately ahead seems appropriate grist for today’s review.

In order to brace yourself for coming months, a reread of the UrbanSurvival column from mid April will be a good appetizer: UrbanSurvival Collapse of Complexity: Engineering Food Collapse?

Not to be a nag, but driven by petroleum issues rising, the Biden administration has not only managed to step on a trip wire, they’ve maneuvered the whole country into jumping up and down on the “energy IED” with sanctions.

Toss in Italy’s seizure of Vlad Putin’s Yacht and, well, let’s just note that while Russia figures out logistics for more pressure on Ukraine, the fine line between “scorched earth” and “glassed earth” is shrinking.

In addition, Mr. Mirth N..  Merriment is here to even further add to festivities with a ChartPack that looks like 1929 redux.

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A synthesis of goal planning and time management styles.  Since no one has “enough time” in the world, most “time management approaches” don’t focus enough on how things end up being scheduled in daily life.

Apologies in advance – this morning’s report is a 60-page .PDF but after we go through MBO, Pomodoro, and all the rest, it’s really important to build our first pass at Life Management software from the ground (spiritual, holistic) up.

Meanwhile, I’m now happily using the system and am quite pleased with the results.

Which we’ll get into after a preview of today’s Fed meeting which – by early indicators – could be a “buy the rumor, sell the news” affair.

A few headlines first, however.  Can rush off into the day “empty-headed” now, can we?

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Not only was our forecast of a “1,000 points down Week” mighty close… But it hints at what’s to come.  We are now looking at some models that could very well foretell key financial bits of the future.

And, while we’re doing that, some comment on the Biden administration’s latest overthrow the Constitution attempt.  While locking-in the Left’s ownership of the information high ground in America via something called the  “Disinformation Governance Board.”

Seriously?  Who is stupid enough to attack FREE SPEECH?  Two-bit dicks and dictators have been more subtle about it, than Slow Joe in his attempt to thwart the freedom to publish.  Including on the web.  It’s all really “going over the edge” now.

Still, it’s about to get worse, hint our models and charts. Coming months are shading grim and grimmer.  So we will focus on the data and the coming train wreck ahead…

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Sometimes, it’s hard to write directly about “what the data says.”  Because, many times, people will not accept ‘raw data.’ Our socialization programs us to think a certain way.  It’s hard to “bug out” of the dominant social paradigm.

Occasionally, though, bugouts happen – not due to any special onboard biasing. It can arise because not everyone is “equally awake” on this trip called life. Regardless of parenting and society pressure to conform.

That’s why people – like fish – school up, you see.  They auto-seek “fish” like themselves.  It’s a good thing – and bad.  Good because it makes for a degree of cohesion in politics and religion, for example.  Bad because schooling up – by its very nature – is not “new idea-friendly.”

Interestingly, after my ER visit last week, a strong vivid dream experience giving a much larger than expected perspective on Life and Death (and in turn, investing) wandered through my existence.  Yes, something of a woo-woo event.

While I’ll tell it in the form of fiction, it nevertheless is worth considering going forward. Since we all die, think of it as another useful “compiler run” of what the waking-state data around us points toward.

The “harder data first” though:  Our ChartPack today is profoundly interesting.  So is that fartstorm of “who has gas” stories in Europe.  A few headlines and economic data that’s sure to light up some neurons.

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The market tracked brilliantly (down) to our expectations this week.  However, the “Bernanke Paradox” is still driving. Down more than 900 points Friday the Dow decline is unlikely to delay an expected rate hike at the Fed’s upcoming meeting.

This morning, a few notes on how the charts – using our Aggregate Index approach – are painting the way ahead.  It’s an interesting game of future-guessing.

Which we will get to after a few headlines to kick-start the neurons.  You’re about to wrap your head around the whole world’s biggest-ever economic problem:  We call it the Bernanke Paradox.

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