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Economics eyes a new systemic stressor this week.  As though fresh economics warnings, earnings disappointment, recurrent disease outbreaks and expanding war fronts aren’t enough?

Today, a few quick thoughts on this anti-aging problem.

Plus, a few notes on our upcoming change in appearance as we plan a dramatic shift of styles in the near future.  All in the wake of an Excel near-disaster which I will tell you about and explain how to avoid and recover.

NOT the way I did:  A complete rebuild of an entire complex computing platform in the last 24-hours.

Headlines and the ChartPack, too.  Plus the breaking PPI and Retail numbers.  Fed data on Industrial Production will be out 15-minutes ahead of the open.

Even more important is our Peoplenomics expansion plan which may include user conferencing and the too-long delayed switch to a phone-friendly platform.  Check out the “Way Forward” comments after the ChartPack.

In every crisis – even one driven by a quirk in Excel – there is opportunity.

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Ground stop on the nation’s air traffic this week triggered some mighty odd memories this week.  From a previous incarnation when – at age 19 – I was one of the Cold War’s remote site “whiz kids” with an “O-something” equivalency. Operations matter. SitReps (situation reports) also matter.  However transient their data.

Ah, the Cold War.  Lived in  a BOQ and to drink a good scotch, it took only a checkmark on the “honor bar” tab in the O club to pour some very good 12-year-old.

“Operation Snowtime” happened back then, though the name was common and I won’t tell you which one.

But there is a pressure – and it marks you for life if you’ve ever been affiliated with DoD ops.  BS leaves and it’s almost too real.

The penalties for non-performance were financial and severe.  A five-minute comms outage (after a 5-minute grace period)  could quickly turn into a six-figure issue…

This is not to claim specific knowledge of anything since 1969, or so.  But the pressure and the impacts (not to mention the risks)..those were real.  It was childhood’s end. Bell’s palsy from stress, too.

Which is, perhaps, why ever since, I have looked at the world differently than most.  More as a chess player than citizen, though I’ve only played one Grand Master.

My consigliere plays SitRep daily, too.  His motivation (aside from tax attorney/CPA) is a family steeped in years of government service to country at Foggy Bottom.

Since this is a 3-day weekend for markets, we’ll take a little different tack in this weekend’s report.  Rather than a “bullet point” approach, I’ll frame you up a whole worldview so as to see where the “data bubble” of events is drifting.  Then leave it for you to imagine what can be done to change a damn thing by what Darby O’Gill called the Little People.

Yes, the ChartPack is a part of it, too.  Bean up.  It’s time.

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Where to make the Ure family’s last stand?  Or, what’s the future of Big Cities….really? These get to be very important things for a head of household to consider.  Families being teams, there’s no time like the present to “step out of time” and look a ways down the railroad tracks toward what’s ahead.

Many people aren’t able to do this.  We have been acculturated into “instant everything” to such a high level that thinking ahead isn’t presently in favor or fashion.

Although, as you’ll see by the end of this discussion, this may be exactly when such perspectives matter the most.

Along with the ChartPack and a heaping load of economic highlights and news notes, as well.

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Wow – some rally Friday, huh? Gobs of jobs. But real?  That’s what we tackle in our ChartPack today because antics of the swamp aside, there is nothing more important than hanging on to the money you have so you can get things of value.

Which – rather remarkably – used to be a simple thing to figure.  You remember the fairytale, right?  Work hard, nose to the grindstone, save money, and all that.

Yet, in the modern world, as my friend the Ecuador ExPat reminds, “Money in banks is no longer yours.  It’s now considered a loan to the bank so in case of bankruptcy, you need to get in line with other creditors.

I correct him, noting that FDIC hasn’t failed us yet.  But his point then rolls to “When?”

Makes the brain hurt just thinking about it.  Still, after a few headlines, bring the Excedrin for this morning’s ChartPack.  For it’s either the Crack-Up Boom or a mega running of the shorts.

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Once upon a time, “Value Investing” meant something.  Back in a time when companies had “positive book values.”  In other words, when the plant, equipment, and other valuables were sold (like patents and branding) there would be something left over.  This positive number was then compared with the most recent market price to establish a standard accounting ratio:  Book to Market ratio.

From this eminently rational use of accounting principles, great investors (Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett are two well-known examples) arose.

But times have changed as exemplified by people like Elon Musk.  Whose investments, it could be argued from a classical standpoint, are more speculations than precision valuation exercises.

Because, as we have explained here many times, the “rational market” packed up and left…in stages.

Today, because a subscriber asked me to elucidate on how Ure plays the market (poorly) I’m forced not to begin with great insights into fundamentals.  Rather, we liken market plays to a back-alley craps game.

Which we’ll explore a bit after a few headlines and charts.

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The human genome is in the driver’s seat and that’s not something to look forward to in the coming year.  2023 has a ton of very dangerous trends converging in H1 (Q1 + Q2) and the odds of continuing to sink into a Second Depression are high.

A look ahead including a longer-range planning view to contemplate while we wait for “our balls” to drop…er…as it were!

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Right.  But is that hours or the year 2024?  This morning we consider the structural problem of “quantum futuring” and ponder our simplistic views of probability over time contained in our language and thinking styles..

We don’t propose any novel new ways to approach such profound Truths – as what lays ahead for the upright apes.

However, what we can do is begin to sketch out an approach to the problem which is likely to pay off well down the road a bit.

Because despite mathematics and music, we have an supra problem with Future because we haven’t cleared the land between lies and probabilities…

After the Wars Check and the ChartPack, of course.

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Our Merry Christmas present for you is a list.  Of more than 30 distinct protocols and lifestyle actions that may extend your Life.

This list will be made public on the UrbanSurvival.com website on Monday prior to my Monday night appearance on Coast-to-Coast AM with George Noory.

But since subscribers go to the “front on the line” we wanted them to have “the List” ahead of time.

None of this is to be taken as medical advice.  Rather, please use this as a list of “starting points” for your own research into anti-aging.

And of course, we will also wrap up the ChartPack for the week and slather on some headlines to go with the Christmas turkey gravy…

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You do know the “worst of times” is when you might actually have time for a big project, right?

With the problems in the economy unfolding in the wake of last week’s Fed decision; and with more financial concerns about the period ahead, we step out of our usual “let’s make some money” reports to make sure you have the thinking tools to help get your own roof over your head.

Oh, sure, we will do the stock market outlook and charts as always (and they have been really prescient lately).  And we will look at the daily load of headlines.

But if you ever want to build your own home or get an idea what a person really has in a home on the materials side, listen up Bunkie.  Like the Bud commercials say “This one’s for you…”

If you are young and presently rent, this may open up some new vistas of thought for you.  How achievable our numbers are will depend on where you live.

In our rural Texas county, there is not even a Building or Health Department.  So, it follows, there’s no building permit needed.  We pick up our hammers and saw.

In other areas of the country, especially those whose growth has been high, but has leveled off, bureaucracies need a reason to exist.  The mere act of buying a couple of hunks of sheetrock can be an issue.  Seriously!  I went through this in California, 20-some years back.  (You don’t have to answer anyone’s questions in a hardware store!)

While we generally like building departments that are well run (the plans desk is one of the best places on earth to get sound building advice), not everyone is your friend.  The matter of power and politics cannot be trivialized. Don’t even bring up Zoning.

Government concerns are mainly predicated on America’s history of massive residential and commercial building fires (Great Chicago, the Seattle Fire, just about every city has one when you dig into it).  In order to “save the public from itself” taxes are raised, fees applied, and inspectors hired… Wet seals on plans weasel into the mix as the word gets out. Everyone has their hand out (for money) when comes to this business of becoming King of your own Castle. Double-especially if you DIY it.

It’s the American way. Ewe copy?

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Is there a Black Monday, or Tuesday, in our future?  Today, we not only do the “usual” Saturday ChartPack for subscribers, but we also leap the high board at the deep end.  Jumping into the mathematical structure of Universe.

Which, curiously, wandered by in one of my grand adventure dreams in the Dream Realms overnight.

We will also drop by the “frozen follies of fighting for finances” (Ukraine war) and the “misery of manufacturing mass monetizations” (China) plus the usual absurdity of the times.

In short, some wonder-widening writing that neuron neutered numbnuts will negate.

We serve the hasty punning after a few headlines.

All so that we can begin questioning how Radiative Reality works.

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Several events have reminded me recently to “write up a useable guide to reliability.”  Because, with the world quickly going to hell in a Fed basket, we not only need to plan for contingencies, but contingencies on top of those!

Which is why – with the Fed announcement some six hours from now (as I write this) we will have a chance to try out our “combinatorial contingency skills” in real-life trading conditions.

We will avoid too much mathematical jargon, but a simple table and some first-hand examples will be useful to study, we’re thinking.

First, however, let’s see how the Happy Talk Choir performance is holding up as we roll through our Aggregate Index view of things.

That’s an index that combines many indices into one (assuming equal dollar weighting in each) in order to see the “real” truth about money as opposed to the widely repeated (and often wrong-headed) views.

Even before this, we will get into how SBF sent $1-million to a Texas democrat before his financial shenanigans came to light…

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Feeling a bit compulsive, are we?  You bet. We are in “field position” (to toss in some sports book lingo) to really drop – and hard – before whatever the Fed decision is coming Wednesday afternoon.

One thing the charts are telling us?  I won’t say it – better that you should see for yourself.

But not without a break to look over our left shoulder first.  Because we’re on ultra-high alert for “Left Field Events” this weekend.  Our highest alert level of the year, so far.

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Our usual Peoplenomics fare is a hardnosed look at data involving cyclicity in long-term market directions.  However, have you noticed that the Markets of late look like they may be taking our call of a massive third wave down collapse very much to heart? America is entering a “beliefs and values” crisis.

Today we discuss and odd bit of evidence, from outside the crooked worlds of politics and finance, which puts a new slant on  what’s really going on.  The behind the scene motivator is a huge change in everyday people’s values and beliefs.  When these change, the world changes.

One of our sources is a doctor and hospital administrator who has shared with us some data just collected.  The data is shocking and, frankly, scares the hell out of us.

We will delve into it after headlines and the ChartPack.  Not going to be in the least big “preachy” – but a war on “human spirit” is now seen in data.

What’s worrying? The data is also lining up with long wave cycles here, the Nostradamus work (over on G.A. Stewart’s site), and a few other regional outposts of sanity that remain on the compromised web.

What’s emerging is a world of spiritual warfare, where not only are “nukes in the wings” but my consigliere’s “collapse of NATO around year-end, and Stu’s “Collapse of the House of Seven” analysis have just locked.

Spiritual warfare is in play, now.

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