Plotting the Economy’s New Future

With markets at new (nominal) highs this weekend, a look to see where the runaway train is headed seems to make sense.  Will we hit a turn and “jump the tracks?”

As we ponder this, the Russians have gained more ground in the area of Donetsk where future-critical petroleum reserves are located.  Plus now we’re hearing about energy deposits becoming a major turning point in South America as well.

If you’re new to Peoplenomics these developments – while a horror to level-headed, peaceful persons – are very predictable.  Since there are more than 8-billion people in the world and we are eating the planet barren at an astounding rate.  As I’ve told you again this week, energy is “future food.”

More coffee, then,  as we follow the twists and turns of Life at the edge of the Petri Dish.  With a ChartPack update featuring more than a dozen charts showing where the market wants to go…

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Personal Arks Book (1)

Getting hard to “run away to the frontier” to craft a new kind of life these days.  But that doesn’t mean it can’t be done. It just takes a little different mindset to pull it off.

Today, the first 7,000-word chunk of how to pull it off.  Everything from escape to the backwoods, the sea, and even dry camping forever in an RV.

Before we do that, however, into the markets and a slug of new data just out.  Which will lead into the two Fed Chair Powell Appearances on Friday.

Pour a little more coffee than usual as we head out in search of Next America.

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Fateball and the dma-x

Today we venture into the Twilight Zone between woo-woo and financial analytics.  Which, if you had asked me about last week, I’d have admitted is unlikely to exist. But now, thanks to “Living Two Lives” – a waking world and an amazing Dream Realm existence, I’m pretty sure it exists.

And forget Michigan and Ohio State this weekend.  In the Dream Realms the future that matters is ruled by something called Fateball.

Out of which arose (Friday afternoon) a new way to ferret the future – hidden in market data – which says (I’ll explain why) that the week ahead will be a downer.

Toss in the ongoing problems of war, hostages, and global politics, and we are on the 50-yard line where numerical and computational advances on the one hand (like A.I.) are still unable to end non-computational mathematical outcomes like love and hate, peace and war.

Yes sir, been a really interesting week…

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Personal Landing Zones

Feeling up for a book chapter-length discussion of Personal Landing Zones?  5,000 words on topic, but first we have other pressing business.

Still, I think you’re going to enjoy this morning’s survey. Because we’re going to show you how “prepping” is only part of a process that leads from setting up your personal “landing zone” to prepping and then on to arking.  Which is the bigger picture long-term self-sufficiency planning for you, you loved ones, and your heirs.

“Kentucky windage” will be required over time, however, to whatever shots are taken early. The Future is pretty slippery stuff and holding it is – at best – like eel wrestling.

The usual “roar of the grease paint and smell of the crowds” as we roll into the holiday. With our consigliere on hand, no shortage of new ideas to debate and conjecture over America’s way forward from here; if there’s to be one, that is.

Thursday will be an actual day off, which means only a shorter column, more’n likely. Ham radio antenna hanging is in the works thanks to my Potensic and his DJI. If you don’t know what those are, time to widen your tech horizons a bit.

Bean up – we have much to cover…

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The Turkey Day Briefer

The State of America is the annual topic around here when the turkey comes out.  Though, unlike many American households, there’s usually very little spread of opinion.  Because, when everyone at the table is over 70, they have been kicked-around enough by Life to have moderated most previously held extreme (or stupid) views.

Notwithstanding, we will begin today’s column with a short list of things than are showing up in headlines which could be harbingers of the Future.

This Turkey Day will be among the riskiest ever, we expect.  Partly because of the thousands upon thousands of OTM illegals the (retarded) administration has allowed to infiltrate the “Next Front of WW3″ via the southern border.  So bad, in fact that the FBI this week issued a terrorism warning about the period ahead.

Despite people elected to office (and not) the job of “securing America” has become something of a joke.  The crooks go unpunished (or to Nantucket) for the holiday.

An early hats off, therefore, before we begin, to the First Responders of fire, police, and medicine, plus convenience store clerks and travel workers who make the annual brush with insanity tolerable. At least to some extent.

With that as the set-up, and a reminder to keep your ears open and eyes out for “Exit” signs in public places where (Middle East-backed) terror could be applied as leverage, let’s commence “talking turkey.”

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Personal Financial Train Wreck, Anyone?

Or, how I turned a 40% gain into a 10% gain by modifying a successful trading approach.  Not a tale of woe (though anyone who says “It’s only money” is a damned liar). It’s really about the soaring cost of a good market education when you’re out on the theoretical edge.

Death may have the marketing slogan “Grim Reaper” but looks to us like A.I. is becoming the “Grim Thinker.” Which we will examine in detail this morning.

I probably couldn’t have chosen a worse time to change from day trading to position trading if I had tried. It is real money, sure, but I can make it back, no problem. Just ticks me off (at myself) that I didn’t see it coming, better.  Lessons learned?

Based on our doctor visit results Tuesday, we will likely live at least long enough to recoup, since our health is excellent, even though our change-of strategies timing ain’t.

Market data dumps are on the way plus there’s the matter of craziness ahead…ah, that.  Need to sample water from that end of the pool, too.

Trader’s ponder du jour? Coffee, tea, or flee?

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Eye on Two Turkeys

One, of course, will be the bird destined for the table in a week and a half. But the other is making waves in all kinds of ways this weekend.

With the imminent expansion of the Middle East warfare to a 1,500-mile front stretching from Kiev to Egypt, a rational person might ask “With war in the air, why is the market going up?”

Damn fine question, that.  We begin the trail to truth in New York City, of all places. Where the feds have been busy.

Oh, yes, the detective work extends to the ChartPack, as well where we may be seeing signs of a manic break just ahead…

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What Has Happened to Prepping?

The times they are a-changing, and us with them. Makes for a good perspective to look back over almost 40 years of prepping work and see what thingswere stable and which pieces were changed.

Plus, in our ChartPack today, we look at a simple way to extract some “rules for trading” from a table of stock information.  May be able to pick up some new ideas on how to “shade your bets.”

Our morning warfront travelog (bring your own bullets) will check the 1500 mile war zone north (UKR) to south (Gaza border of Egypt).

But first, we have to take corporate media to task for some real BS spin on Tuesday election returns. Because it wasn’t a “MAGA loss” as some of the lefties hold. It’s that people just want to remain free. Partisan labeling is a scam of controllers and charlatans, as we see it.

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Jacking Up Markets, DNA Regression

Shocking rise of markets this week that almost has the odor of manipulation.  But it may portend the “worst news ever” (nukwar?) based on “buy the rumor, sell the news” theory.

Which is almost as interesting, though not of as much usefulness, as our latest adventures into past life regressions.

As few headlines and coffee to begin.

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Inefficient Machines

Hot jobs numbers have just dropped before we get into that.  And sure, a check of some headlines. Humans really are, though, inefficient machines. Especially when comes to investing.

Also: our ChartPack is now in a nearly ideal position to rollover, or is that under?

Plus we have the Fed rate decision coming this afternoon.  Where may be less about the rates themselves as it’s about the Chairman’s nuances in the presser following. We’ll have to wait for what’s “signed and signified” in that one.

In fact, a lot of moving pieces are in play.  Need more?  Well, sometime shortly the USS Eisenhower will begin a transit of the Suez Canal to go hang out on Iran’s doorstep in the Middle East.

Where the U.S. is….oh, wait, here come the ADP Numbers…

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Grim, Grimmer, Grimmest

We did mention “OEB” means October Ends Badly”?  That was the UrbanSurvival headline Monday of this week.

When I wrote that, our (meta) Aggregate Index stood at 36,044.20.  Friday of this week? The close was 35,159.17. Almost a 2-1/2 percent loss.   This doesn’t seem like a lot. Unless you consider that the U.S. economy is going at not too much more than this – and taking 12-months (and crooked money being made up right and left) to do it.

Today we again return to our charts for ideas about what Future might bring.  Yet – due to an interesting set of circumstances, we did NOT short ahead of the Monday open.

Before those festivities, though, we have a few headlines and some thoughts about what one hell of a week could be coming up.

After all, it’s like this guy I know wrote almost a week ago, October Ends Badly.

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Thinking Skills of a Pari-mutuel Investor

What you learn at the track may be more valuable than  classes in Business School.  No, seriously.  The pony pickers may offer better insights into making money than B-schools because they have disciplined picking skills and personal money management skills often overlooked by academics.

Trust me when I tell you the “sheepskin” is more like an HR lock picking set than a plan to actually make money.

So, grab a latte – we’re heading to the track.  Where the real investment skills become evident at the pay window.

After headlines and the daily war checks, of course.

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Risks of Monday

No, we did not take a short position ahead of expected weakness Monday.  But that in and of itself is a critical discussion every pari-mutuel investor needs to have (in advance) with themselves.

To state Friday’s problem, do you take a short position when the market has not – yet – hit it’s likely “ideal shorting” point?

Sometimes – in fact most times – when it comes to wagering (hiding in “investment clothing” we need to make such judgments and stick to them.

I have found being pragmatic about my wagers pays considerably better than playing the “hunches.”

The background news helps drive, so let’s start with that. Because in our work, present conditions hint at possibly one final blip up before Wave 3 spreads its wings and the swan dive follows.

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