DIRT: "Day Information Residue" Trading

Why would a perfectly good doom-capable writer, such as Ures truly, be planning to sell his airplane next year?  Probably May’ish to June?

I mean, sure, if the crop of doomsayers predicting “Central Banks Losing Control” and other such spittle are right, then Ure’s the fool.

The reason that I have been snoozing through the alarmists is two-fold.  One:  They are usually wrong.  And Two: I had a novel to finish which is now nearly done and looking for a publisher or good agent.   Make that three reasons:  They’re also perpetually wrong.

Did I waste my time?  No…never.  You see, as you’ll discover in this morning’s report, there is a significant linkage possible between what I call Day Information Residue that many people trade on.

We’ll delve into the psychology of trading after coffee and headlines, as is our Saturday habit around here.  Let’s start with the breaking news on consumer prices, shall we?

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A Purely Technical Discussion

No worries or long and strange words in the mix in this morning’s report.  Which will be very short and to the point.

The “Why” behind that is very important:  The markets, you see, are very much like Matryoshka dolls. There is a global market and the US markets “fit inside of that” in a manner of speaking.  Thus by looking first globally and then domestically for congruence’s, we can hopefully line up our expectations a little better than most. 

Except for the big quake possibly  coming around October 26, but we’ll get to that.

So grab some coffee – we’re into it.

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The Best – and Worst – Investments in Life

The Dow is about to get its ass kicked at the open this morning – the kind of thing our Trading Model has been telling us for about four out of the last five weeks.

With it, we are focusing on only two stories this morning in a good bit of depth, because getting things write in personal finance over the next six months might make – or break – you and your family’s financial future.

But, in case you’re wondering, the Best and Worst investments in Life are often (and paradoxically) the very same things!

We skip the superfluous headlines.  Meat and potatoes is all we’re serving today… we’ll pass on superfluous, especially those Distraction Rolls.

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Pretend We Have a King

Today we proudly present an interview with the King of America.

Not that we have a REAL King, of course.  One of the best things about America is what?  That we don’t have a monarchy.  Instead, we have divided power between the Courts, the Congress, and the Executive.

Except, as a result, all the functions of the Monarchy are still fulfilled and those in charge are abled to exact the same tribute as a King or despot.  Funny how history works out.

The downside to multi-personality (disordered) governance is that we don’t have one entity to hold to account when things go wrong.  Which, in turn explains why we have so much “he-said, she-said” and finger pointing.  What we have for breakfast, then, are a few notes on how illusory economic progress is – and the mechanics behind it.

All made so much easier if we pretend to have a King and follow the economic evidence from there.

So if you’re wondering how both parties can claim belief  in a balanced budget, yet nothing ever seems to get done about it, the model shown today will explain how things really work and show you the illusions hidden in the detail drill-down.

After our Trading Model and some headlines, of course.  And sure, several cups of coffee, too.

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The Death of Accountancy

Think robots won’t take your job if you are a CPA or if you push accounts (receivables or payables) around for a living? 

Think again.

Ures truly has been talking to his network of financial terrorists, again.

No, not the ones that shovel pennies around to ISIS/ISIL or the AQ type.  Nope, the financial terrorists I deal with are the ones who set up things like auto payments, micropayments, automated accounting systems and specialize in workforce/process automation.

If you think financial terrorism is something that springs from the mind of ideologues in the Middle East, wait till I show you the short-step process to kill most accounting jobs.

After a few headlines and our Trading Model update, of course.

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Thanksgiving Flash-Bang

img722This morning we go a-futuring…a futuring we go…

And who is this somewhat obscured fellow off to the right there?  (Unless you’re dyslexic, of course, in which case that’d be your left.) 

Why it’s none other than Lemony Snicket!

And…what’s this?  A big speed bump in the road during the Thanksgiving recess of Congress! 

How, pray tell, does all this fit into Long Wave Economics?

This morning we will examine one possible future that answers these and a lot more questions.  One that fits market wave counts, defense deliveries, and no one home in Washington.

But first, as few glimmers of hope, since we are now in the throes of sneaking up on the new high which usually happens in summer rallies in just a few short weeks.

After the Trading Model and some discussion or headlines.

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How to Slaughter the Bond Bulls

While the Fed announcement today is not likely to see an increase in rates (fall is more probable) there is still a very interesting bit of learning to be had by graphing out the ultra long-term Velocity of Money.

Not surprisingly, the Velocity now is wose than it has been at any time in the last 115 years.

That is a terrible structural problem for the Fed to deal with – and in this morning’s analysis we’ll explain why and how it will impact you personally.

First, however, the usual:  A few news tidbits and other goodies like our Trading Model.  Plus many cups of coffee…

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Quest for “The Signal”

Forget about UFOs, ETs, life on other planets, or putting a few bucks a month into a SETI fund.

Not that these aren’t fine ways to spend money, after you have saved for retirement, paid off your car, student loans, and don’t owe anyone a dime ands have burned the mortgage… I mean they’re nice and all.  But where’s your priority?

Here lately I’m on on a question for something I call THE SIGNAL.

You know – the one that will tell you with adequate lead-time when to make this trade, or that, and which will result in becoming so fabulously wealthy that you will be able to buy a UFO, ET, or a whole large array for SETI to use.

This weekend, some design and theory notes on how to go signal sniffing for the one signal that could really make a difference in your life.

After we take cared of a few headline items and after we stare into the Trading Model to see where things are going in the short-term.

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Designing a Perfect Retirement Home

Oh, sure, you’re thinking “One of those places where old people go to die?

No.

I’m  talking about the average American couple who has looked after their health a bit, has a paid-for home, and wants to live out life there for as long as possible.

What will in take to make a home “work” well into the 80’s and (with any luck) beyond?

This week, we do a bit of planning in that direction, while we update the Trading Model and look at a few headlines along the way.

In keeping with the Peoplenomics outlook, we are not heavily into spending money, so much as we try t buy the right things that will give us a leg up on life.

Do that well and you’re way ahead of the pack…

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“Where Are the Good Guys?”

Time to think about doing away with insurance companies, I’m afraid.

Any time we have government telling us we MUST buy something, under penalty, whose bright idea was it to keep the middle-men involved to scam fat profits from the public which is REQUIRED to buy something?

That’s where our bottom line goes this morning, but along the way we will look at everything from Donald Trump’s rubbing shoulders with mobsters to the problem of exploitation of first people in Bolivia.

So yes, time to brace up with a strong cup of Arabica and see how the world really works, again. 

And in this morning’s ChartPack, how our Aggregate Index screams there is a huge rally possible, but only a short-term bounce for the rest of the world’s markets.

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“How Can You Afford It???”

The Secret of Happy Retirement is what?

Reduce your operating costs in advance of retiring.

A number of readers have written in (a few trolls, I suppose, too) and have whined about my recent travel discussion, pictures, and so forth.  Sorry, that’s not flaunting – that’s sharing.

While it’s true that we do get out and play a lot, there and months on end when we are living simply and saving money like crazy.  So this morning a discussion about how to live well and below your lifestyle in  order to maximize your FQ – your Fun Quotient.

First, though, we stare into the markets and try  to see what is driving our Peoplenomics Trading Model and where things could go next…  And as you might expect, a rather eye-opening report on our hypothetical Directorate 153 and the sordid background of the Iran deal.

The background that no one talks about…

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Hacktopolypse: The Processors Per Person Problem

This has been one hell of a week on the Internet. 

Today we have a couple of personal action steps you might want to consider to increase your personal resistance to being hacked.

Not only have we suffered a massive melt of computer trading that led to trading halts at mid-week, but we had the head of the Office of Policy Management step down as 21-million current and former federal workers had their personal information hacked.

As it’s not just in the government sector:  UrbanSurvival’s server farm was hit with a massive DDOS attack on Friday, as well.  Peoplenomics was down only briefly.

So what’s ahead?

This morning we sample the data, look at potential impacts, and wonder about the Processors Per Person Problem. 

After charts, a few headlines, and a look at our Trading Model which seems to be saying the current turbulence in life is not over, yet…

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Part of the Replay: How Digital Diaspora Mimics the 1920’s

(Tacoma, WA)  As we head out this morning (wheels up around 5:30 AM with any luck) we have gotten what we came for:  A key insight into what’s going on in the world.

As insights go, this one is pretty good:  The nutshell idea is that digital communications are having the same effects on the economy of the World that factory automation had on the United States in the run-up to the Great Depression of the 1930’s.

So yes, we will have the world’s first global depression.  And this is progress?  Well, yes, and no.  And that’s what we will address this morning.

First, however, we will check the cereal drama (sic) of the day’s news and look at our Trading Model, which – as is customary – has continued to perform better than 90% of stock analysts and pundits.  Pretty impressive, really.

So sit down, buckle in, and grab some prayer beads….this is gonna be a scary ride into your economic future.

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