There is always opportunity in the midst of chaos, even with our Aggregate Trading indicator.  We used it to spot in advance the big move which would come later in the session.

And we took snapshots of how it evolved over time. Very useful indicator.

This morning, we discussion not only this useful tool, but also how the Aggregate Indicator is dowsing the way ahead for us.

After a few news items about the possible fulfillment of Nostradamus prophesies and the twice-weekly ChartPack.

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Is there a hidden history to meta-materials? About how the future could be defined by them? Could a materials analog to A.I. might even be machine-printable? Off on a quest for new meta materials.

“Why now,” you may be wondering. “Don’t we know there is a war on?”

Yes, of course.  But wars are interesting technology periods and WW II and the spike in UFOs right after?  Gives us something to ponder outside of Europe during what we’d have to call Putin’s “first consolidation” phase.

Rather than paw through mundane housekeeping chores, this sounded like a much-needed break.  War and rigged markets?  Old, well-worn tunes throughout history.

“But where UFOlogy Meets Wall Street?  Really?”

Yeah…really.

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As we watch the potential count-down clock to WW III, a discussion of time risk seems in order.  Not that we can do a damn thing about it.  It’s just that we have been watching events in Ukraine closely since last November.  And it has come down to this weekend for my “fish & chips bet” with one of my daughters.

My actual birthday is the marker, so we need to get out of “birthday weekend” with a chance of peace and no tanks rolling west in order for U.S.-Russian diplomatic talks next Wednesday.  Biden said that if there’s action this weekend, it will mean the door on peace has been slammed shut.

A few “headlines from the front” to tee up the day and then a discussion of how utterly devastating 2022 and beyond could be for financial markets as we seem ready to follow the Great Depression Trail.

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As something of a perma-Bear I am frequently found playing the short side of markets; betting things will get worse, not better.

No, I don’t suffer from depression, except insofar as we all do in a “do-nothing economy.”  Nor do we cower for fear of the future.

Still, being short – being right – and getting paid – and getting settlement – are four separate financial processes. In order to make money on the short side of markets, all four must be done in proper sequence.

Each has quirks you’d better know about if you go messing around shorting markets.  This is never financial advice, per se.  Rather it’s a discussion of useful points to remember when “Figuring to get rich off the outbreak of World War III.”

Which we’ll get into after a few headlines and the morning’s ChartPack which is showing some odd formations to consider…

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Although we had been pulling for a rally to appear Friday, markets sank and with it, odds of semi-global war in coming weeks and months increases. Except, few media are yet differentiating the role of digital partisans in what could be a “‘world-redefining change period.”

The pending Euro War, pressures on Taiwan, and of course the ongoing dance around the Leviathan oil and gas field off Syria all figure.  But we have concerns about the future health of the Internet.  Think a virus lockdown was bad, try going a few weeks “Transaction-Free.”

Mainly – since it’s Saturday – we will keep it a quick read and mainly the charts.

Yet, these too are important, and we issue first a reminder on market hysteresis…

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Where we ask “What will constitute “value” or “storehouse of value” 20-years from now? Once upon a time, this was such a simple damn question.

But, with the rate of change changing and technology obsoleting whole segments of “work” – we have to raise our heads up once in a while and ask the obvious – but seldom asked – where to park savings so they will appreciate?

It was so simple once:  A good house, a good spouse, and a good job.  Every consider finding any of those, lately?

After a few headlines, war-checks, and the ChartPack.  Which has the Bulls waving flags early…

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After putting on a good show part of Friday, markets weakened at the close.  And with the opening of the Beijing Olympics, we’re only 13-days from the wrap-up of events there.

Already, though, bullets are flying in Ukraine.  Not a lot of ’em, but enough to tell markets “This problem may not be going away.”

This morning, since we do mainly our ChartPack on Saturday’s, we’ll look at where markets are and where they could be by the time the Winter Games wrap up.

At which point, we will have two heavy factors weighing on markets: Putin’s action timing in Ukraine and Xi’s timing in Taiwan.

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We need to focus on Luck, once in a while.  Any discussion of Personal Finance that doesn’t include heavy weighting to Luck is absent a solid foundation.  Should be obvious to anyone who understands statistics and the long, deep schism between Religious and Reductionism.

More importantly is the matter of how event in physics are driving the world toward some earth-shaking revelations.  But these will come slowly.  Mass consciousness takes a while to “change then regain new momentum.”

Today we start this series of nerdographs about the MWI and a society-wide move towards the Ultimate Reconciliation Event.  (Suspicion of how that abbreviates?  You have gained 3-IQ points.)

Before that discussion, however, there are matters of the new Jobs data from ADP just out.  Then a few headlines – yes, war still lurks in our future – and then the Charts.  which for now are trying to break out of a real slump notched in January.

Strong coffee and a crisp view of things ahead is our first stop.

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As uncomfortable as 2021 was, 2022 is still setting up to be even worse.  This as shortages, a trucker’s convoy over Covid, and changes in seasonal weather appear. On top of Russia proximity to Ukraine and Taiwan jitters over what follows the Games.

In the meantime, markets seem to have genuinely lost even the last signs of rationality.

A few introductory items to get out of the way first, and then into the ChartPack.  Where another “running of the Bears” took place with gusto Friday.

Really, the good news is Russia is not likely rearming Cuba, now according to latest reports.  The bad news?  Odessa Monday.

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Personal Hysteresis and Latency Planning. Which is totally worth  (verging on absolutely  necessary) considering when markets are running hard and fast while we’re all trying to figure out how to make “the most” out of what have turned into very uncertain times.

We’ll begin with some basics of “cause and effect” then move to a discussion of the difference between latency and hysteresis.

How these apply to managing your personal life is seldom taught in schools, though Life’s a fine teacher for the attentive student.

First, a few headlines and then? Oh yeah! Them Charts. Wowzers.  Run them Bears is on today!

Do stock market trends foretell the future?  Within a set of bounding limits?  Yes, afraid so…

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WFA (word frequency analysis) time as we assess the week’s damage to markets.  When headlines begin to appear on major (MSM) websites like Drudge, we know enough to be on our toes for a turn…

The constant chatter, however, is only one indicator of the changing relationship of “fiat” to Reality.  The overnight dip of BTC under $35,000 (briefly) is another indicator to be incorporated into our future view.

Only a few headlines this morning, because the ChartPack commentary is long and kinda complicated…

If you’re a bear, though, pay attention.

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Forget the over-touted multiverse.  Parallel dimensions are likely real, not some computer simulations of reality.  And not to be confused with the “real-thing” Reality, after all.

Before we explain parallel universes intersecting with this one, however, we first need to spend some time understanding how the Future – yes, the real one – as in here and now – actually gets here.

Amazingly, we do know more than we think we know about Future.  But, as we’ll explain, we have not put enough neurons on task as a society to evolve new ways to think about future.  And wrest control of it back from those who have already hijacked it.

Which seems to be a reasonably interesting – mid half-week thinking point – as we size up how markets are evolving toward what should be a fascinating next week. And month end when war becomes pending.

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With a holiday weekend, we pause to consider our market charts, These show a most worrisome pattern and a critical level has been broken.

Which we will get into after only a few preliminary remarks.

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