Mainly, we consider charts today because resolution is upon us and always occurs. Since we have a good bead on things now, some wild speculation is maybe in order.
A little something for conspiracy buffs as well as war-mongers in the headlines.
But mainly the charts, the way and wars ahead, seems a reasonable focus ahead of holiday-mindsets.
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Been asked by a new subscriber to explain how Elaine and I came to Texas almost 20-years ago. Pretty good tale, turns out. Very Monty Python: “And now for something completely different…”
After all, why would a couple in their early 50s walk out on five of the hottest cities in the country? Seattle, San Francisco, San Diego, Boca Raton, and Burbank?
It’s a useful story from the investment standpoint, of course. But more so from the “What do we really stand for?” aspect. The “How does it grow us the way we’d like to be?”
Turns out, this “adaptive lifestyle” has also become a marvelous defensive way forward into future, as you’ll figure out as we go.
Would we do things any differently in 2021? We review some of the long-term data which has, of course, changed a bit over time. But a lot hasn’t.
Tales to be told after we roll through some headlines. Sucky inflation. And the still bubbly ChartPack. Because some news – like the CPI data just out – does matter.
Although, so does “Flee the City! They’re unaffordable and will eventually collapse under the weight of their own spending!“
(Pardon the length of this morning’s discussion…bit long but I hope you’ll pan some nuggets from it.)
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That’s short for Military Operations Other Than War. And over the coming year (or three) it could be very useful to have not only a grip on basics of MOOTW, but also in the changes of “nation posture” ahead of such change at the systemic level.
Of course, before we get into this, a few headlines and the ChartPack to move those spike proteins around, eh?
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After a look at the breaking ADP job report... and sizing up the McAwful night for dems in Virginia…we propose that a drone is not a bad prepping tool to have on hand.
After getting my remote pilot license, we started kicking-around what possible benefit it could be for us. Amazingly – a lot!
All this after headlines and the charts. Which are awaiting this afternoons tap-dancing by the Fed Boss to see how they can taper and still puff on the bubble a little more. Should be fun!
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Although there’s a chance of collapse in coming weeks, the powering ahead to new all-time-highs has interesting implications. Some of which may turn into good, old-fashioned, money-making propositions.
This morning, not only will we consider the nature of “fifth waves” but we’ll do some research training along the way.
Right after a few headlines and a look-ahead at the coming week.
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OK, let’s say – just for the halibut – that we wake up some morning like tomorrow – and our worst fears all show up. What is our immediate reaction? Got “salvation” preset to roll in one click?
Years ago, we talked about how fire departments operated in the “old days.” This was before databases – and even VLSI’s come to think of it… For every call that came in, there was a “running card.”
Every home, building, office – you name it – in the city had a running card. Building inspections and assessments of fire risks were all pre-annotated. If there’s smoke, send a first response of units X, Y, and Z. If flames were visible, send in a chief, two more engine companies, and a ladder truck. First alarm right up through a 3-11 (3rd alarm).
Saved tons of time, prevented errors and indecisions. Yet, in an even more complex “battlefield of corporate earth” does anyone really have this kind of programmatic response pre-tailored and ready to rock and roll?
In how many clicks?
Our topic this morning after a few headlines and the soaring charts…
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Instead of a “focus report” this morning, we focus on charts. Because the market is – in our view – at a critical inflection point this weekend that may color America’s future for years to come.
Depending, of course, on which way things fall next week in markets. So without further ado…
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That’s a “Science-Based Religion” plugin? An add-on for religions (and political parties). Which only sounds crazy until you consider the increasing levels of interpersonal warfare underway in digital realms.
Humans are – to a large degree – stimulus mirrors. If you have institutions that hate and people swim in that polluted space all day, of course their behavior will mirror to cope in that environment. If religions – along with education, media, and politics – pass messages of hate around (damned if you don’t comply in this or that) a sub-optimal human is the only outcome likely. We need to get hold of our input controls.
Naturally, a workable SBR would need to be non-denominational. It would need to be adaptive as well.
Importantly, though, many of the traditional roles of religion are being filled in today’s world with excess partisanship, monetization of differences between humans, and an over-sized political dimension that’s both wasteful and inefficient.
We need a migration path to universal and inclusive. Like climate change promoters have worked their non-denominational “science” but with interdisciplinary shoulders such as income, food production, and economic balance.
If humankind is to survive, we reckon, more brainpower applied to the reduction of conflict-supporting variability of violence supporting “gulf-building” likely offers a way forward without fallout, meltdowns, or additional bioweapon use.
Which we will get to right after a few transitory headlines and our ChartPack….
In the meantime, even if you’re not a subscriber, ask yourself “What would a universal (science-based) belief plug-in…for the soul.. look like?”
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Wherein we look at Future’s “deal” over the next couple of years. Expanding with personal responses that follow the Friday UrbanSurvival column outline.
While we await the next “turns of the screws” – indicated by the market opening bell Monday. Our eyes will be scanning the western horizon for hints about how Taiwan will play out.
At the same time, however, a nervous glance over the shoulder at the middle east will be noticed as Iran still have it out for Israel and visa versa.
Before digging deeply, however, a churn through some Saturday headlines and this week’s leftovers to clean out the mind while the coffee kicks-in.
Then into our ChartPack and some wild-eye speculation on how the future may yet unfold.
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A series of thought-experiments to ponder. Which may be useful, given this morning’s release of CPI data which we will get to right away.
We’re actually in a Depression right now. But it’s being effectively papered-over. We see through the fog of collapse by looking at some units sold figures.
Also today: Ways to extend failing eyesight due to aging.
Thing is, money supplies are a lot more complex than most people realize. For one, it’s always relative to the amount of goods available. Price-demand curves and such.
For another…oh-oh – there we go with letting the cat out. Let’s do some headlines, look at the CPI and how our ChartPack is guiding us and then think deeply on inflation, shall we?
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A number of people have asked me to lay out this “Lunch Money Trading System” I keep talking about. So in answer, here’s the whole thing.
Of course we disavow any use you might make of this. And, please don’t ask one of our subscribers how it works. The more people that use a trading system, the less it works.
Thing is it’s also an agnostic system. Don’t matter a whit whether you are a Bull at heart or a Bear. Just got to like the color green.
Before class, though, we get into a few headlines and a look ahead to next week.
So bean up and let’s roll. First column on my new computer!
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Wherein we look at “marginal rates of return on additional effort.” Which, with containerships backing up off of Los Angeles is a rather vexing problem for industry.
You see, there’s an assumption in marketing that….wait!
We need to roll a few headlines and do the ChartPack. Then I can huff-up on the white-board marker and get into the frightening discussion of declining marginal rates of return spawning the disappearance of demand…
Which – if you hadn’t guessed it – is what causes Depressions but (take solace if you’re woke) it will solve global warming for a while..
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Sure, some social harmonies. But show us the Money! Which is what we will be focusing on today because when the market opens Monday, it will mark a possible turning point week for stocks – again.
Just a few headlines today. Because someone you know has been spending too much screen time making his lunch money!
A break for headlines and then we’re into it.
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