A blow-off high at the market close Friday could face disappointment this coming week.  Not only is there a Fed meeting on June 13-14,, but we also have recent less-than-stellar news about inflation.

In all, while we admit to – even plan for – a continuing market rise for another two months, the late July (and onward) timeframe this year seems fraught with risk.

Still, on Main Street, the sense of “normalcy” pervades.  And who are we to argue with the Masses?

Therefore, a kind of “chill” look today as we work on bringing down blood pressure and adrenaline to stable levels…

Some “calm before the storm” seems prudent in here. It’s what holidays are for.

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Graceful engineering ideas time – something to FWD to Elon Musk? – as we consider the Surgeon General’s concerns on Social and propose radical solutions. This is as discussion about the Magic Bullet that could save Twitter  for Musk and turn it to a “best of class” concern, again.

No, it’s not turning off your computer; though that might work, too.  Instead, we have a whole different take on social media.  Including a roughed-out website (and some future Peoplenomics articles which may become web pages) to get some software “legs under the idea.“

This is one of those horribly obvious fallouts from TRIZ thinking.  Which, frankly we are surprised Elon Musk has not already invented – because it is just so obvious to us.

Anyway, the idea is useful, doable, scalable and changes the whole ballgame for social media.

Which we will lay out right after a few warm-up headlines and the morning ChartPack.

But then we leap into it:  A world obsessed with the climate scam has missed the Global #1 *with a bullet* problem afoot today:  Thought Pollution.  Take it with big enough doses of Woke disease and robots posting and you have an environment where nitrogen and carbon emissions look positively inviting.

So, a side of Budget hype with them eggs, today, pardnah?  Then let’s get real about Social’s role in Thought Pollution.

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A Quest for Answers. Markets this week closed above a critical “trading box” so it means its time to start penciling out more inflection points ahead.  As we figure it now, without a Chinese move on Taiwan or the (eventual) escalation of to tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine (besides depleted uranium which will poison their land) we  could still make it into a summer rally and maybe even until the end of the year.

Macro bounding events are all over the place.  One of which is the coming Fed hikes while another is the outcome of budget negotiations.

But our weekend focus here is simple: Now that we can collapse any time, what will be the “right” indicator of pending collapse?

Therein lies the quandary!

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Mediterranean? Keto? Paleo?  Bewildering choices, We have a few ideas.  Which is well-timed since right after this morning’s post, Elaine and I go in for fasting blood draws.

Key to us is the idea of “instrumentation” of senior health. In addition to the electronics of aging – a recording pulse-ox, CPAP data software, and a BP cuff, we add even more science to health monitoring this week.

Meanwhile, in the markets, we are back to looking “toppy” with a hard break up – or down – expected as immediate future resolves issues like use of nukes and budget loggerheads.

Plus the ChartPack.,  So let’s roll-em up, make a fist, and see what the numbers are telling us about your health – financial and biological.

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Our main focus today is on the balance of this month and into next from an economics and charts perspective.  Because there is a split – quite obvious when you read financial headlines.

One faction is expecting “recession avoidance” because of the big, powerful, American economy.  The other still sees dead banks walking as the commercial real estate debacle is likely to take years to be fully revealed and acknowledged.

Of course a few headlines and such.  But for this particular weekend?  Making money always helps and we’re pleased with prospects for the period just ahead.

You may not be able to remain “married to optimism” though, and still get the most out of it.

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It all begins with rent.  From there, we see a computer software design pattern kick it.  From a single act of systemic compliance, a whole shitshow of logical consequences follows.  One on the previous, day after night.

There is a problem – existential in nature – that lurks with this “commerce model.”  Specifically, the issue is “How high can a deck of cards be stacked?”

Soon, all those Marxist backed “social movements” become as predictable as the DIM ARRAY command.

Our concern is now more elevated.  Because just as power used to be a two-dimensional world, we are now living in a multidimensional world.

No worries, it will all make sense when we build up the data model and kick it around a bit.

After the morning ChartPack, of course , and a few headlines.  While our charts focus on the odds of a bloodbath in markets ahead. Like this month…

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Which we hinted at in the UrbanSurvival. column Friday.  Today, we look into the rabbit hole and see how our “lookahead” is looking, if that makes sense.

Quiet and busy spring day and the scent of coronation silliness hangs heavy in the air.

So let’s focus on the useful part: Making a little money in markets and buying a solid defense against a chilling future.

We start by ordaining 3Chuck (Marketed as Chucky Kingness) and tell you about a Deep Fake video of the Fed boss, first…

No point getting too serious – it would wreck the weekend.

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This week, our research focuses on calendars behind human cycle recognition.  Ever since the (failed) 2012 “End of the World” predictions of others, we have been fascinated with the question “What did they get wrong?”

Turns out, there is plenty of opportunity to have screwed up a lot.

Worse is that the Mayan Long Count isn’t the only thing off.  Understand if some of this is right – even here and there – even things like Nostradamus might be off several years – which is why 1999 dating might be wrong to us, but have been right back then.

To make sure a fine time is had by all, however, we will begin this morning with $53 million in cash, crypto, and more Europol agents than you can count.  Seems the long-expected government crack-down on crypto as a crime tool has begun in earnest.

Then we have Fed Day – and we’ll see this afternoon how crazy things will get – next.

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A “mini focus” in our ChartPack considers “Country Rotation” of Super Powers – something which has been in place for more than 700-years.  Not often described, it’s more of a driver behind modern events than most realize.

Fed week is about to begin and with it, odd of at least a quarter point rate hike seems unavoidable.  But, behind this is another, less publicly debated issue.

Which we will discuss “behind closed doors” this morning.

After “the usual” hod heaped with headlines, we’ll inspect the rate issue a little deeper in our ChartPack section.

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Past global wars have never to such an extend, relied on the continued construction and operation of foreign assets.  As tensions continue to increase worldwide, but most noticeably in Ukraine and Taiwan, we can appreciate the changing role of “foreign assets.”

Today, we use our thought frameworks to look ahead to the coming few months for clues as to how life will evolved.

Like the classic “good news/bad news” jokes, we do have some “good news” (spoiler: No nuclear war) but some bad news; massive shortages of certain goods and a possible “line stop” on advances in technology.

Toss in our economic press releases of the day coupled with our ChartPack, and it’s another glorious spring day.

Or not.

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We call today’s discourse “Thousand Paper Cuts Trading” with good reason.

We begin this fine spring weekend by asking what do Sophia Loren, Stephen Boyd, Alec Guinness, James Mason, Christopher Plummer, Mel Ferrer, and Omar Sharif have in common?  If you guessed “That 1964 blockbuster “The Fall of the Roman Empire” you’d be right.

Which is really our main point this morning: Since to some of us old “geezerly” types, current events are popping right out of the Western Empire playbook.

With paper instead of a genuine coin of the realm.

With Bitcoin at $27,262 at press time, we think the global picture is on the verge of dimming, considerably.

Some navigation into Future discussion ahead in this morning’s extended ChartPack presentation is in order.

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“How do we sunset?  Let me count the ways…” Despite all the hype, Climate Change doesn’t even move our meter in today’s cold, hard viewing of Reality.

The smell of Depression is in the air.  For example, Public pessimism on the economy hits a new high, CNBC survey shows.  And about the leaders of the pack?  Depositors pull nearly $60bn from three US banks as Apple raises pressure are but two examples.  Mood swings, anyone?.

“Distraction issues” are failing the smell test.  For, if climate change was really going to happen, do you think insurance companies would still offer waterfront property coverage? Would China still be bringing new coal plants online?

A highly skilled entrepreneur I worked for (not too long ago) told me recently his 6th floor A-1A condo in South Florida (with a two story great room viewing the Intercoastal and the Atlantic) hasn’t had so much as a blip in getting heavyweight property and casualty insurance.

The way thinking people look at things, if the threat was real, waterfront homeowners would be dumping because their mortgages require insurance. Interesting to hear about Dan Pena’s views in this context.

My buddy’s condo is post-and-tension concrete. He sure as hell wouldn’t want to live in that kind of building in, oh, California, for fears of it “going 880” on he and his wife and their assistant.  But for hurricanes? About perfect with the extra heavy glass.

Post and tension is not our favorite, though.  With reason.  Check out 1 person killed, five injured in NYC parking garage collapse (nypost.com).

Still, having laid to rest immediate concerns on one front, the statistical reality of the Cosmic Russian Roulette game deserves a serious review along with other life-ending strategic threats.

In fact, according to the Fed itself, there hasn’t been a convertible domestic U.S. Dollar for over half a century.

“The $1 notes were authorized in 1963 as a replacement for $1 silver certificates that were being discontinued because of the need for silver coinage; $2 notes were authorized at the same time but were not printed and issued until 1976.”

So far, the paperhangers are winning, but we’ll see over time.

More immediate concerns threaten us now, so after a few headlines and the ChartPack we’ll be transitioning from “dismal science” to “dismal endings.”

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Some time back – perhaps a month or two – we mentioned a slight chance of a major rally based on use of “trading boxes.”  In our unconventional way of looking at markets, drawing of rectangles on charts offers some occasionally useful insights.

This weekend, a drill down a bit into the “trading boxes” which offer the idea that at least in the short term, there is a possibility of higher markets to nearly month-end.

Not that we do any more than “lunch money trading” but trading boxes have kept us from playing in the dangerous middle of the financial freeway this week.

Before that, a few headlines and a rather positive client note from my consigliere., Except that it moves up WW III.

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