How High? How Long?

A Quest for Answers. Markets this week closed above a critical “trading box” so it means its time to start penciling out more inflection points ahead.  As we figure it now, without a Chinese move on Taiwan or the (eventual) escalation of to tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine (besides depleted uranium which will poison their land) we  could still make it into a summer rally and maybe even until the end of the year.

Macro bounding events are all over the place.  One of which is the coming Fed hikes while another is the outcome of budget negotiations.

But our weekend focus here is simple: Now that we can collapse any time, what will be the “right” indicator of pending collapse?

Therein lies the quandary!

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