If – or likely when – wider war shows up, readers are already fearing a second-phase of the American die-off will arrive.  Reader Stephen2’s comments on drug supply chains are spot-on.  In war supply chains are likely to crumble. Rationing.  Even of meds.

Losing weight is hard, but dying could be harder.

Today we also tackle some recent news headlines and a precise look at the arrival of our expected rally Friday in financial markets and how we played it going by.

After a few “weight, warming, and warring notes on times ahead.

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While not offering advice, I did mention to subscribers I’d gone short last Friday. Odd things happen in the long wave economic cycles.  Positions of power and influence change.  With it, nations rise – and as we fear out west – they can also fall.

This will leave the U.S. to reprise the role of Great Britain in the Great Depression, which they suffered, as well.  While it’s not time to put in a potato crop, start saving tires and winter clothing, it is important to have a “feel” for how overly dependent Globalism/ists have made America on least-cost manufacturing meccas.

Which is why this morning we are focused on where markets could be headed next.  When events we have been eyeing could turn into something Bigly/Hugely later this month.  Circle July 27th – Av 9 – and let’s see how it rolls.

We also offer timing congrats to The Economics Fractalist, as well.

Holiday memories are all we have for the next 61-days. Between Av 9 and China bond payments, we wonder what kind of “celebration” Labor Day might be.

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Some major SupCo decisions this week and we find them most agreeable. But they are not popular, depending on which one(s) you talk about.

Today our main focus, being a holiday weekend, is on the charts.  We are eyeing the coming few weeks to see if the end of the Wave 2 rally will become apparent.

If it does, as The Economic Fractalist advises, the chance for a dramatic nonlinearity could go nonlinear.

That fact we went short 7-minutes before Friday’s close doesn’t mean we’re sure of trouble ahead.  It could just indicate we should seek an intervention from Gamblers Anonymous.

That decision should be more easily made next weekend.

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We’re focused today on the subtle – but world-wrecking differences – between Numerical Accounting and what we’d label Natural Accounting. OK, it may seem like an odd place to attempt changing the world from, but go with me on this for a second.

Natural Accounting is about all possible measurements.  Climate, resource depletion, impact of under-tested medicines and the like.

Numerical accounting – which shows up in long wave economic cycles are a twist-up of numbers provides a much more singular focus.

Before we get to that, however, a look at a few headlines – we have fresh data just dropping this morning – and then a review of our ChartPack.  Which is still sorting out whether the major Wave 2 up we’ve been in since fall of 2022 is ready to “stick a fork in it” and – at last – be “done.”

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IF (and is still iffy) the top of Wave 2 is in – and the market continues sliding into a major Wave 3 Down – certain aspects and timing about Future become clear.  Because while there was much hype Friday about a “coup in Russia – like it was good news in some way – the fact is that could be a worst possible outcome.

The reason is simple:  Vlad Putin is not the worst president Russia could have.  The hard liners would likely have already escalated to tactical weapons use by now – and that would have opened doors to a global war already.

‘The psychology of next week is what concerns us most today, however.  Make it or break it time for Wave  2.

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A number of readers have asked me how to judge an investment in solar power.  Today we will take a deep look at solarnomics.  However, as you’ll discover, there’s a legal cloud – not so much an accounting  issue – that lurks as great peril to solar investors.

Yeah, including us.  I got “bit” too.

It’s a useful tale.

We’ll also cover the near-term future in our ChartPack section.  Where things are ideally positioned for an “Insert Big Event” in the next few days.  Something large enough to be a scapegoat on which blame for financial calamity could be blamed.

Stick around…things are getting “Interesting.”

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Digital preparedness has been one focus on the UrbanSurvival.com site this week.  Now the “reason why” is coming into focus with headlines today like U.S. Energy Dept gets two ransom notices as MOVEit hack claims more victims have been crossing.

Normally, were it a corporation, there would likely have been a major uptick in Bitcoin prices concurrently. As BTC is one of the favored means of payment to digital hijackers.

Today, reports have us researching recent BTC prices.  Because from Thursday’s lows around $24,870 we have popped up to the $26,700 region overnight (Friday into Saturday).

That’s a gain of  more than eighteen hundred dollars.  Which looks to us like speculation that a major ransom might be paid.  But, we’re thinking the opposite:  The U.S. is likely – in our view – to do many more things.  But paying ransom may not be on the list.

Some important conjecture this weekend about how the “Pre-Nuke” part of global conflict escalation plays out.

As we roll through the Juneteenth Holiday and wonder when the “wage slaves” will be freed, as well?

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Two remarkable events are tabled this morning. Our BrainAmp spreadsheet projected Wave 2 Fibonacci high was hit at Tuesday’s close (within a point).  And in the other, we are increasingly concerned that non-banker socioeconomic tools are wresting control of our economic future away from those entrusted to manage it.

Pretty serious stuff.

Plus, we’ll look at some of the factors behind the coming collapse of the Commercial Office Space bubble and consider how that will become an [additive driver] to the Second Depression.

Now toss in the FOMC decision this afternoon and it’s a joyful day ahead, no doubt.

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Park the Bull Market Talk.

We don’t mean to be critical of the me-too press, but… Yeah, this morning a few hard facts the cheerleader pom-pom media didn’t bother to emphasize while driving the market higher this week.

This being the middle of summer sweats around here, we’re keeping our focus on the Charts and on the prospect of “big money” if things keep rolling our way.

Other than allegations against Donald Trump this week – to take him out of 2024 politics, very little has changed.

But there are some key points to remember…

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We’ve been writing about Prepping almost from the beginnings of the Internet. Now, things are changing.  Well in advance of the Y2K “non-event” we were prepping.  I’d even gone so far as to position our “escape pod sailboat” at a safe harbor outside of the Seattle metro area.  In the event something did go wrong, there’d be “no pretending and no do-overs.”

This week, we focus on how the general economics-driven version of “prepping” could evolve as America moves into a more risky period featuring the potential for Global War.  In short, Prepping becomes War Planning.

We have a fair bit of history for guidance, so the exercise is as much about fine-tuning, as anything else.  Still, important to change up as the times evolve.

Which we will get to shortly after a few headlines and a look at our ChartPack.

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Yeah – we need to piss test Wall Street. And the NYC Media Moguls.  A rally based on what, Friday, for crying out loud?

America deserves full disclosure of who’s getting what money (perks and comps) for doing such a horrible spin on the economy and blowing the stock market skyward with smoke and hype.

Seriously, to anyone who can read and speak of it honestly of the experience (except us), did ANYONE mention the total number of people working was DOWN?

Seriously – a rally based on losing 319,999 workers is a cause to light ’em off?  Say WTF?

What kind of bullshit cheerleading of the sheep is being played on ewe?  You ever wonder?  We dive into just that.

We even put up the government’s own darn data. No, the fix was in.  Junker Joe just signed away the Debt Ceiling – which has become a joke.  Remnants of the GOP sold out Honest Accounting once again.  Thanks.  There’s a reason for our tiny website at Fired in ’24 – Free Citizens Will No Longer Stand for This Crap (firedin24.com)

Except for one thing:  We keep standing (*and sitting) for it.  Damn shame and proof for voting doesn’t keep out the crooks.  Who don’t read bills and who don’t understand cash basis accounting.  We’re on the government equivalent to the EBITDA disaster of Internet Bubble 1 (which brought us the Twin Towers).

Wonder what they’re setting up for, this time?

No, there’s something else going on.  And Maybe more than “At the peak of Wave 2s, there’s more bullishness than ever.?”

Our decision to focus on the charts – and some remedial accounting for  readers may prove useful.

So here we go…

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Socialism’s darlings on the West Coast are starting to find their future is dimming quickly. Today, we consider latest Housing numbers – where the declines are clearest in financial terms.  But, even beyond this, the ancillary data supports the notion of moving “Back East.”

Toss in a barrel full of liberal Constitutional abandonment and excess development considering water and power…why, it’s the makings of a technology-rich hell.

Which we’ll jump into after a few headlines and the ChartPack.

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A blow-off high at the market close Friday could face disappointment this coming week.  Not only is there a Fed meeting on June 13-14,, but we also have recent less-than-stellar news about inflation.

In all, while we admit to – even plan for – a continuing market rise for another two months, the late July (and onward) timeframe this year seems fraught with risk.

Still, on Main Street, the sense of “normalcy” pervades.  And who are we to argue with the Masses?

Therefore, a kind of “chill” look today as we work on bringing down blood pressure and adrenaline to stable levels…

Some “calm before the storm” seems prudent in here. It’s what holidays are for.

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