PT, CPT and Quantum Bounding of Choice

Oh-oh!  Into Prospect Theory (PT), Cumulative Prospect Theory (*CPT) and whether investment choices are driven by quantum bounding or, conversely, give rise to it? A little early to “go heavy and deep” but over the past couple of weeks a strangelet of quantumness has been nagging at me.  Specifically, how free choice may indeed be bounded by a choicing matrix few handle consciously.

Admittedly, this is creepy-strange stuff for a (nominally) lifestyle, futuring, and small-time investor’s newsletter.

But if we can help you scalp better through improved apprehension of decision biases we all hold?  Sure, we’re down with ‘take the money.’

We’ll launch into the morning’s pot of idea stew after our usual headlines and a look at what MIGHT have been “turnaround Tuesday” – which got lost on its way.

Leaving the hard call (“Where is the ideal re-short position?“) for today’s time-in-chair-trading.

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Week of Destiny?

We’ve never seen charts like the ones this weekend in more than 50-years of financial writing. Everything lines up for the period from Monday out to two weeks from Wednesday.

What will happen is anyone’s guess. But we focus heavily on the charts today because they offer a lot to think about.

So, sit down, belt-in, and read on..

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Lifeboat Homes (2)

As Ukraine ramps up, we share another couple of chapters of an upcoming book on Lifeboat Homes – homes that help you survive.  Pictures from the Depression era frame things plus we dig into the cost/benefit numbers as we move towards transitioning to environment-friendly living.

Along the way, we have some PPI numbers and the usual economic outlooks.

Plus, there’s the little matter of the Dow which earlier was trying to continue a modest rally started late in the Tuesday session.

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Now We Wait

Charts and prospects as we watch the train wreck of an economy implode.  Like dropping another 630 points off the Dow wasn’t a hint?

We have written for years on this site about our focus “Replaying 1929.” Now that we’re within spitting distance not only of the long wave economics playing out as forecast, we’re also seeing how this could turn into a “long-term research success” but a World Failure.

Oh well.

While we wait for things to sort themselves out next week,,.what to do?

More charts, headlines and (oh yeah), wait.

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Lifeboats & Earthships

A study of charts, early futures, ADP Jobs data, and a fresh book chapter on tap here.  After a manic running of the bears Tuesday, reason seems to be back with futures pointing lower ahead of the opening.

Our focus is back on the “what’s personally actionable” aspect of future living.

Imagine, if you will, that it’s late 1929 but the Crash has not yet happened, and you have some money in the bank.  What would you do, buy, where would you move, how would you live…that kind of context is how we’re set up today.

A check of recent headlines should explain why

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Prepping: Last Train Out?

Although we don’t dwell on what it would be like to seriously prepare for global economic collapse, markets are driving today’s discussion.  Because if even a modest disruption in the Supply Chain can cause truck and auto deliveries to falter, and certain foods to become “unobtainium” we wonder what else might become scarce in the uncertain future?

This morning after our ChartPack displaying how close to *(but actually worse than) the 1929 market decline track we’re on, we outline some very serious steps to mediate possible personal impacts.

We won’t even attempt to do the encyclopedic in-depth part of prepping.  Other sites do that much better (though with less emphasis on tracking fundamental economic drivers) than we do.

Instead, we focus on our Fall 2022 spending plans and what burning through a fair bit of savings is buying us for 2023 and beyond that will have value no matter whether the market and the global financial system can be saved, or not.

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The Teaching Moments Ahead

With markets in free-fall, we are again looking back at critical lessons to have internalized right now – like today –  before we get into the Replay of 1929 any deeper.  There are two main ones that come to mind.

The first has to do with invention.  So, in this regard, we’ll be focused on some troubling aspects of the latest U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO.gov) data reports.

The second has to do with thrift.  Which seems to be a lost art except for some of the recent arrivals from elsewhere who oftentimes have a better way to pinch a penny than people who’s had too much, for too long, and won’t be able to cope without help.

Toss in a real-life performance report on our new Starlink system (and how to set it up without an IoS or Android device) and then some speculation as to who might be responsible for blowing the Nordstream II pipeline and it will be a grand report, for sure.

Especially when you see how our ChartPack continues to closely track a similar time period in the 1929 debacle.

A few headlines including the Trade and Inventory data just crossing, too…  Do we know how to party, or what?

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Red Friday Breakdown

We stick to our economic long wave roots this morning.  With the market breaking (for a while) below June lows, our “worst case” outlook is (unfortunately!) beginning to firm up..

With it a few headlines, but mainly this is a time when the game of future may be won, or lost, depending on the prepping choices made in the next month or three.  Especially if the market blow down continues stepwise in the footsteps of the 1929-37 debacle.  So far, it’s tracking.

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Where America Went Wrong

Welcome to Fed Day and the afternoon adventure of “How High Will They go?”  As we collapse down into the Second Depression (our use of the term ought to be obvious within a year) we spot and tell you how to fix two of America’s dumbest decisions.  This won’t be painful, except if you find yourself feeling the pain of saying “How could we have been so stupid?”

The answer – sadly – is that last sentence is not in past tense just yet.  We are still being stupid with more being served up daily.

The fix is easy – but it will involve going back to a time in America most have forgotten about.  A time when everything was the Mission. A quantum leap from today’s self-aggrandizement festivals on the social media platforms screaming “Me! Me! Me!” 24/7.

Fortunately, some relief as we look at stock prices in our charts and compare things now with what was – once upon a time – long ago.

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Crash Picking!

Step right up, folks!  With the long-term market peak in, we’re gonna play Crash Call!  It’s a game where everyone can win – and everyone can lose.

Get the date right?  Got the right financial instruments in your pocket?  You could be the Big Winner.  Why the odds would embarrass Publisher’s Clearinghouse.

Except, for one thing:  The money in play is not especially reliable.

But we’ll get into this after a few headlines and the ChartPack which is really a doozy!

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Asset Stripping by Government

America’s end is at hand when massive financializations replace the production of real goods and services.  Which is peering out at us through the data this week.  Inflation is high and the early line on a Fed hike next week of 0.75 percent (or more) was over 80-percent.

As a result, we have finally figured out how government has been able to keep spending progressively more without the whole economic system imploding.

So, pour a second cup and we take you on a tour de crooks.  How asset stripping is being played by a government near you.

After a few headlines and the ChartPack, of course.

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Wave II’s Goodbye?

A more detailed look at a possible wave count that – if it continues on track – may be the harbinger or horror, the bringer of bummer, and the foreshadow of famine as the year rolls along.  Yes, it’s likely to be even worse than our alliterations.

The foreshadowing is seen in charts, murmured by economics, dismissed by Bidenistas, and yet, right on cue, our secondary Wave bounce rally came in Friday at 50 percent.

ChartPack first this morning with headlines filling in the speculation of what’s ahead.

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A Spiritual Key to Anti-Aging?

The idea of a “lost spiritual technology” that may slow (or halt) the Aging Process is up this morning.  Wide-ranging discussion, too.  Everything from latest results in transcranial low level laser work, which we described in our “Light Crown” project here in 2016, to some interesting results using “earthing” as a strategy to augment Covid-19 treatment.

But all these (cool and brain-candy though they are) are only the “warm-up” act to some interesting concepts that arise from looking at human Death as an industrial process.  One of those “Crazy George” ideas that seems to be supported in the data.

First, however, some (routine) Trade numbers and 14-charts as the ChartPack finds us still waiting to resolve if this will be Wave 3 down, or whether a truncated Wave (5) or the larger wave 2 is yet to come?

Ready to be tantalized into using your wetware processor?

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