Recipe for “How to Control a Population”:

Take a bunch of numbers.

Put them in the number/blender.

Frappe for one minute.

Pour.  Serve as this morning’s Peoplenomics report – with a twist.

Garnish with the Tuesday Housing Report.  Serves 320-million.

This morning we’re going to reverse engineer the noise produced by monthly feeding frenzies of nonsensical data which are perpetually revised.

Even though your “useful economic life” is likely less than 70 years, it’s still good to know where reality is despite the hype and the harbingers of doom .

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

Post-Collapse Operations Part 2 this morning as we go through a personal checklist of things I have gotten wrong in 17 years of prepping.   Brought to my attention a couple of ways in the past week or three.

Once you have achieved your SORR (state of reasonable readiness) the problem changes from getting ready to maintaining readiness. 

And, of course, we will update the markets which are acting in curious ways, but not unexpected.  Analysis of what’s likely ahead is always a good thing.  To say that the end of the world crowd got present times wrong turns out to be the height of understatement.

But our work has consistently indicated it would be.

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

We are in one hell of a pickle.

Usually in the fall, the market will make a serious downward plunge, there will be an intervention or naturally occurring bottom.  Following that, everyone steps back from the abyss and figure “Well hell, Merle, that there was sure some excitin close brush with Economic Collapse, but shore looks lack we made it fer ‘nother year...”

Not that we have out of the woods – since the market still has plenty of time between now and the end of the year to collapse – but we are seeing some huge underlying shifts in how the “economic game” is played.

This morning we will go poking around the feedlot and see where some of the bull is.  Even if you don’t join us on the tour, though, the concept of a Feedlot Economy is a useful way of understanding what are some mighty curious changes in spending, saving, and consumption.

Plus:  We review the “Clinton Fix” – how she lost the debate to Bernie and still owns the MSM brainwashing machine.

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

We’ll chat this morning about life beyond prepping and PCO: post-collapse operations.  Let me ramble here and explain why.

When UrbanSurvival started down the “invincibly prepared” path in 1997, I was living on a 40-foot sailboat up in Seattle and wondering “Just how bad could it get, this Y2K stuff?”

As it turns out, while there were tons of small computer issues, massive code rewrites to deal with the date-rollover saved the day – at least for then.

Next came the events of 9/11 and we saw how financial markets could (and did) react to something going terribly wrong.  Money in markets was simply not available if instantly needed in the face of calamity. 

Although it’s popular to let the Bush administration off the hook, that the ensuing war was a manipulation in order to invent a “Security State” overnight (employing a million people, directly and indirectly) is hardly deniable.

We invaded the wrong country – which should have been Saudi Arabia because that’s where the perps were from – and the freedom of Saudi Royals to fly American airspace when lawful citizens were forbidden is conveniently forgotten in the government rush to trample formerly free people’s rights.  Welcome, too, the Surveillance State.

Then came 2008 where the PowersThatBe engineered a catastrophic near-miss for the Global Economy to both hold up taxpayers (via government bail-outs) but also to reassert control over government policy.  Oh, and beggar millions who were unable to keep the homes they had purchased at highly inflated prices.

Which brings us to the present in the Big Scheme of Cyclical Economics (and shakedowns of the chattel class):  What should be we preparing for now?

UrbanSurvival’s Inside Report was one of the first sites on the net to deal with prepping in a meaningful way.  Now,  Peoplenomics will move into a new area in addition to our focus on economics and wheedling out a few coins:  Collapse (and post-collapse) operations.

We begin this week with “Arrival Protocols.”  It’s not something you’ll find much about today, but then again, we do like to be early for the party – and have been for decades.

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

Want to know where Bitcoin will be in 40-years or so?

That’s one of the topics we cover in this morning’s report. So is Ben’s new book.

Another thing this morning is learning to play “the waiting game” while we find out if our low probability, high return option play comes together.

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

Yeah, I look really stupid doing the happy dance, but since our report on  Wednesday in which I outlined a new approach to forecasting market action at two very specific places in the Elliott Wave structure, I was totally blown away by the Market’s behavior.

As Friday began, I was pouty and snippy – my system seemed (momentarily) like it would eat my lunch.  But the pure absolute magic happened at mid session and the S&P ended up over the 1,950 level for the week – as expected and forecast right here.

Halla-freaking-lujah!

Oh, and a reader asked me to offer a bit of advice for managing personal wealth at a time like this…so discussion coming up there (with no personally identifiable information) because he raised such a damn fine question.

So pour ’em up and let’s roll…

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

What could sound more boring than “An investigation of waveform similarities between the current Wave 4 and the previous Wave 2?”

But I bet if I mention the potential for a 30-50 TIMES return in a trade of less than a month’s duration, you’d be interested.

You see, there is hardly anything more satisfying than wandering down the banks of a fresh water river that is running cool and clear, then enticing at monster trout to take a fly and playing him well on 5-pound test with nothing more than skill and 11-feet of hand-wrapped bamboo rod to help.

Well, maybe there is one thing that it equally rewarding as stalking the wild trout (or steelhead in winter):  Finding new relationships in the stock market. Ones you can potentially make money one.  And we’re not talking bait money here – we’re talking boat and airplane money.

So this morning we have us a sit-down with coffee and a lot at some charts and how we, too…the market nimrods…can bag an occasional big one.

Think of this morning as a Spreadsheet Class with a purpose – getting filthy rich would be nice.  But even if we simply avoid being too poor?  Well, in today’s crappy investment climate that would be a fine thing, too.  It just won’t press us into those higher tax brackets we all aspire to…

Oh…and a note for our UrbanSurvival readers:  That rally we talked about last Friday starts this morning, lol..

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

A simple (and short) report this morning as we conclude our outlook for Q4.

I could go on about how other stories will impact our outlook, depending on the news flows and the like, but the fact is we have made far more money (and resultant net worth increases) by simply playing the big long-term waves than we have ever made on short-term noise trading.

Geared toward people with retirement nest eggs like ours, playing the short side is always tempting in declines.  Fast, easy money is always tempting.  But we tend to enjoy the sound sleep that comes with long side plays and holding cash in the a TreasuryDirect account.

“Bears make money, bulls make money, but pigs get slaughtered” is not lost on us.

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

If you’ve ever wondered how I compose the charts and expectations used in Peoplenomics outlooks, this is the issue for you…today and Saturday’s will be “chart school.”

All those damn “squiggly lines” will not only make sense, but hopefully some money for you!

This morning we will interleave the drawing of lines on charts with a discussion of prospects for Q4 which should get us into the new year.

Normally, I would say something about how useful this information is to anyone – even people who think they are non-investors because they have their money in “safe.” retirement vehicles.

Sorry to say, but nothing is really .safe. anymore.

But there is a reason this is a two-part report.  The first part is devoted to a discussion of how I go about tackling the problem of divining the future.  So if you’ve ever wondered “what is the Aggregate Index:” stuff all about – and how can I make money with it – you have come to the right place.

We may not have all the answers, but we are slowly evolving a set of ideas.

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

This is one of those “good news, bad news, and in-between news” mornings for you.

A couple of news stories this week have us asking un comfortable questions about whether the joint Canadian/U.S. Great Lakes is a catastrophe waiting to happen.  That’s the bad news.

The in-between is our outlook on the markets, which as I mentioned in passing on the UrbanSurvival.com site, is quite bearish for the next several weeks…but there’s a lot of detail to cover there including the charts of harmonics of past market declines and recoveries.

And then there’s the good news.  Elaine and I have been continuing our dialog on “What do we want to be when we grow up?” and – as a corollary to that…where might that be?  Some really neat options appear that can be done on a simple Social Security income.  *(for however long that lasts…)

So pour the mug (or coffee) and hoist it.  We’re off into the wild black and white and read all over…

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

Where do YOU want to be when TSHTF?

I happened to be chatting with a fellow in town this week who’s a pretty good trader and he got to asking me what I’d do with a house of value X and payoff Y.   Where Y equaled about 1/2X.

It didn’t take me but a second to answer him:  Sell the house and get something you can own free and clear.  The focus on minimizing your monthly operating costs because, especially on the north side of 60, there is what I figure to be an even-money chance that Social Security benefits will be cut due to budget calamity long before you pass on to the ultimate tax-shelter six-feet under.

We haven’t talked about prepping for a while, but we have talked a bit about unloading certain assets, but this morning a bit deeper look at this is in order while we twiddled our thumbs to see how See-N-N can overhype the Final 10, which is the final 11, or can some not count?

The Fed meeting is this morning – and I am waiting like everyone else for the announcement tomorrow on rates  – sorry but my personal clock has been running a day ahead of time, of late.

A few comments on the charts, though, is the main thing, including a dart or two on when the market low should arrive and how far into next year to hold things.

So coffee up and let’s roll.

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

(Somewhere south of New Orleans)  The Peoplenomics Cruise 2015 will be docking Sunday morning with (as we expected) no market panic.

However, just because we escaped the Big Bad Mean Depression II for now doesn’t imply that we’re out of the woods.  The Day of Reckoning has simply been (as anticipated) pushed back for a bit.

What will decide our future is an uneven stew – a mulligan is more like it – of Federal Reserve Policy, resource depletion, American presidential politics, and the wild cards thrown in by Asia’s major players and the solvency of Europe.

That’s a good framework to update since I’m a believer that if you start with the Big Picture stuff – and get THAT right – then the small stuff will fall into place, including trades to be made or cash positions to be held.

If, or when, you make trades with real money in the market, my hope is that you would “peel the whole onion” – from the Global/outer layer first – and then work analysis back from there.

I know it should be obvious, but that’s not always the case.  I’ve seen so many people make “blind trades” – and get hammered as a result – that it would make your head spin.

That and more as we conclude a week of mostly clear-thinking at sea…

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center

(Somewhere off Cuba)  This morning’s report is truncated.  That’s because we are doing exactly what our Model had been saying.

In short, we are now in a buying wave that will either end today or tomorrow,  and we should finish next week with a good….

Wait!

Let’s just get right to the lesson about backtesting and I show you how “Schmita” theories fared against my Trading Model in the 2008-2009 decline.  If you’re not a subscriber, the two word summary is “kicked ass.”

More for Subscribers       |||        SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||      Subscriber Help Center