Seven Paradoxes of Technology

We’re focused today on the subtle – but world-wrecking differences – between Numerical Accounting and what we’d label Natural Accounting. OK, it may seem like an odd place to attempt changing the world from, but go with me on this for a second.

Natural Accounting is about all possible measurements.  Climate, resource depletion, impact of under-tested medicines and the like.

Numerical accounting – which shows up in long wave economic cycles are a twist-up of numbers provides a much more singular focus.

Before we get to that, however, a look at a few headlines – we have fresh data just dropping this morning – and then a review of our ChartPack.  Which is still sorting out whether the major Wave 2 up we’ve been in since fall of 2022 is ready to “stick a fork in it” and – at last – be “done.”

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Charts Whisper a Grim Future

IF (and is still iffy) the top of Wave 2 is in – and the market continues sliding into a major Wave 3 Down – certain aspects and timing about Future become clear.  Because while there was much hype Friday about a “coup in Russia – like it was good news in some way – the fact is that could be a worst possible outcome.

The reason is simple:  Vlad Putin is not the worst president Russia could have.  The hard liners would likely have already escalated to tactical weapons use by now – and that would have opened doors to a global war already.

‘The psychology of next week is what concerns us most today, however.  Make it or break it time for Wave  2.

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Avoiding a “Solar Fleece”

A number of readers have asked me how to judge an investment in solar power.  Today we will take a deep look at solarnomics.  However, as you’ll discover, there’s a legal cloud – not so much an accounting  issue – that lurks as great peril to solar investors.

Yeah, including us.  I got “bit” too.

It’s a useful tale.

We’ll also cover the near-term future in our ChartPack section.  Where things are ideally positioned for an “Insert Big Event” in the next few days.  Something large enough to be a scapegoat on which blame for financial calamity could be blamed.

Stick around…things are getting “Interesting.”

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Biden’s (Internet) Hostage Crisis?

Digital preparedness has been one focus on the UrbanSurvival.com site this week.  Now the “reason why” is coming into focus with headlines today like U.S. Energy Dept gets two ransom notices as MOVEit hack claims more victims have been crossing.

Normally, were it a corporation, there would likely have been a major uptick in Bitcoin prices concurrently. As BTC is one of the favored means of payment to digital hijackers.

Today, reports have us researching recent BTC prices.  Because from Thursday’s lows around $24,870 we have popped up to the $26,700 region overnight (Friday into Saturday).

That’s a gain of  more than eighteen hundred dollars.  Which looks to us like speculation that a major ransom might be paid.  But, we’re thinking the opposite:  The U.S. is likely – in our view – to do many more things.  But paying ransom may not be on the list.

Some important conjecture this weekend about how the “Pre-Nuke” part of global conflict escalation plays out.

As we roll through the Juneteenth Holiday and wonder when the “wage slaves” will be freed, as well?

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Cause Economics

Two remarkable events are tabled this morning. Our BrainAmp spreadsheet projected Wave 2 Fibonacci high was hit at Tuesday’s close (within a point).  And in the other, we are increasingly concerned that non-banker socioeconomic tools are wresting control of our economic future away from those entrusted to manage it.

Pretty serious stuff.

Plus, we’ll look at some of the factors behind the coming collapse of the Commercial Office Space bubble and consider how that will become an [additive driver] to the Second Depression.

Now toss in the FOMC decision this afternoon and it’s a joyful day ahead, no doubt.

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Oversold Bull!

Park the Bull Market Talk.

We don’t mean to be critical of the me-too press, but… Yeah, this morning a few hard facts the cheerleader pom-pom media didn’t bother to emphasize while driving the market higher this week.

This being the middle of summer sweats around here, we’re keeping our focus on the Charts and on the prospect of “big money” if things keep rolling our way.

Other than allegations against Donald Trump this week – to take him out of 2024 politics, very little has changed.

But there are some key points to remember…

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Should “Prepping” Become “War Planning?”

We’ve been writing about Prepping almost from the beginnings of the Internet. Now, things are changing.  Well in advance of the Y2K “non-event” we were prepping.  I’d even gone so far as to position our “escape pod sailboat” at a safe harbor outside of the Seattle metro area.  In the event something did go wrong, there’d be “no pretending and no do-overs.”

This week, we focus on how the general economics-driven version of “prepping” could evolve as America moves into a more risky period featuring the potential for Global War.  In short, Prepping becomes War Planning.

We have a fair bit of history for guidance, so the exercise is as much about fine-tuning, as anything else.  Still, important to change up as the times evolve.

Which we will get to shortly after a few headlines and a look at our ChartPack.

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Media Lies About the Job Numbers

Yeah – we need to piss test Wall Street. And the NYC Media Moguls.  A rally based on what, Friday, for crying out loud?

America deserves full disclosure of who’s getting what money (perks and comps) for doing such a horrible spin on the economy and blowing the stock market skyward with smoke and hype.

Seriously, to anyone who can read and speak of it honestly of the experience (except us), did ANYONE mention the total number of people working was DOWN?

Seriously – a rally based on losing 319,999 workers is a cause to light ’em off?  Say WTF?

What kind of bullshit cheerleading of the sheep is being played on ewe?  You ever wonder?  We dive into just that.

We even put up the government’s own darn data. No, the fix was in.  Junker Joe just signed away the Debt Ceiling – which has become a joke.  Remnants of the GOP sold out Honest Accounting once again.  Thanks.  There’s a reason for our tiny website at Fired in ’24 – Free Citizens Will No Longer Stand for This Crap (firedin24.com)

Except for one thing:  We keep standing (*and sitting) for it.  Damn shame and proof for voting doesn’t keep out the crooks.  Who don’t read bills and who don’t understand cash basis accounting.  We’re on the government equivalent to the EBITDA disaster of Internet Bubble 1 (which brought us the Twin Towers).

Wonder what they’re setting up for, this time?

No, there’s something else going on.  And Maybe more than “At the peak of Wave 2s, there’s more bullishness than ever.?”

Our decision to focus on the charts – and some remedial accounting for  readers may prove useful.

So here we go…

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Time to Spinoff the West?

Socialism’s darlings on the West Coast are starting to find their future is dimming quickly. Today, we consider latest Housing numbers – where the declines are clearest in financial terms.  But, even beyond this, the ancillary data supports the notion of moving “Back East.”

Toss in a barrel full of liberal Constitutional abandonment and excess development considering water and power…why, it’s the makings of a technology-rich hell.

Which we’ll jump into after a few headlines and the ChartPack.

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Enjoy It While You Can

A blow-off high at the market close Friday could face disappointment this coming week.  Not only is there a Fed meeting on June 13-14,, but we also have recent less-than-stellar news about inflation.

In all, while we admit to – even plan for – a continuing market rise for another two months, the late July (and onward) timeframe this year seems fraught with risk.

Still, on Main Street, the sense of “normalcy” pervades.  And who are we to argue with the Masses?

Therefore, a kind of “chill” look today as we work on bringing down blood pressure and adrenaline to stable levels…

Some “calm before the storm” seems prudent in here. It’s what holidays are for.

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The “Solution to Social Media”

Graceful engineering ideas time – something to FWD to Elon Musk? – as we consider the Surgeon General’s concerns on Social and propose radical solutions. This is as discussion about the Magic Bullet that could save Twitter  for Musk and turn it to a “best of class” concern, again.

No, it’s not turning off your computer; though that might work, too.  Instead, we have a whole different take on social media.  Including a roughed-out website (and some future Peoplenomics articles which may become web pages) to get some software “legs under the idea.

This is one of those horribly obvious fallouts from TRIZ thinking.  Which, frankly we are surprised Elon Musk has not already invented – because it is just so obvious to us.

Anyway, the idea is useful, doable, scalable and changes the whole ballgame for social media.

Which we will lay out right after a few warm-up headlines and the morning ChartPack.

But then we leap into it:  A world obsessed with the climate scam has missed the Global #1 *with a bullet* problem afoot today:  Thought Pollution.  Take it with big enough doses of Woke disease and robots posting and you have an environment where nitrogen and carbon emissions look positively inviting.

So, a side of Budget hype with them eggs, today, pardnah?  Then let’s get real about Social’s role in Thought Pollution.

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How High? How Long?

A Quest for Answers. Markets this week closed above a critical “trading box” so it means its time to start penciling out more inflection points ahead.  As we figure it now, without a Chinese move on Taiwan or the (eventual) escalation of to tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine (besides depleted uranium which will poison their land) we  could still make it into a summer rally and maybe even until the end of the year.

Macro bounding events are all over the place.  One of which is the coming Fed hikes while another is the outcome of budget negotiations.

But our weekend focus here is simple: Now that we can collapse any time, what will be the “right” indicator of pending collapse?

Therein lies the quandary!

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A Senior View of Diets

Mediterranean? Keto? Paleo?  Bewildering choices, We have a few ideas.  Which is well-timed since right after this morning’s post, Elaine and I go in for fasting blood draws.

Key to us is the idea of “instrumentation” of senior health. In addition to the electronics of aging – a recording pulse-ox, CPAP data software, and a BP cuff, we add even more science to health monitoring this week.

Meanwhile, in the markets, we are back to looking “toppy” with a hard break up – or down – expected as immediate future resolves issues like use of nukes and budget loggerheads.

Plus the ChartPack.,  So let’s roll-em up, make a fist, and see what the numbers are telling us about your health – financial and biological.

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