Stats & Consequences

“Time to play the exciting world-wide financial game sensation!”  Why, I can almost see the television and streaming ads now:

“The Great Reset is becoming visible in the headlines…who will be the first to see it?”

As usual, our “first things section” will lay out how the Big Swindle – and de-wealthing” of the Commoners – has been set up.

Along with that, our usual 18-charts in the Aggregate Index view of financial markets.

And was that overnight quake off Oregon just a prequel if eclipse-driven events to come?

As luck would have it, our First Contestant for today’s round of Stats of Consequences is ready to click….

You.

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Weekend Shorting Notes

First question is: Is it brave or crazy?  With the markets bumping along at logically over-bought levels, it’s tempting to buy a short and “play for time.”

But this is riskier than it might appear.  Although we’ve been known to do it from time-to-time.

Backing up these observations will be a dozen and a half charts to keep us “middle of the channel.”

Plus in this morning’s report we reconsider that massacre in Russia Friday that has killed nearly 50 people and wounded another 150, or so.

Best get to it: Busy morning and we’re just getting started…

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Would You Invest in America?

It may seem an odd question, at least in some sense: Since we are all “investors” every time we pay taxes.  But what is seldom asked – and there’s no one really advocating – directly for shareholders – is the simple question: “What are we getting for our money today and how does that compare with times in America’s past?

No. I don’t usually put on the forensic economics hat, and I am not doing this exercise out of spite or malice.  But the question does come up from time to time either in conversations over drinks, chit-chat with people in general, or when I have to cut one of those quarterly tax payment checks.

Today, therefore, we’re looking into how Americans have been long-term victims to what is arguably the most long-running, pernicious, and evil of all financial crimes, dating back to when “money changers” were kicked out of temples in Biblical times.

Like then, the question today that keeps coming up is “What’s really going on with our money?”

First, a few headlines pre Fed announcement and, as always, our ChartPack view of things…

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Are We “Done”?

Quite the issue in today’s ChartPack.  Seems with a world on the verge of nuclear war, and the wrap up of the Russian elections this weekend, the odds of that peaceful “way forward” have just hit the skids.

Toss in the confusing Biden administration handling of Gaza, not to mention the pending Chinese move on Taiwan, and the world is likely to become a very “scarcity plagued place.”

Our focus today is on the most important question in economics. Which – as luck would have it – no one is bothering to ask. Yet, around here it’s the only question on the table..

And that is?

When certain forms of arcane finance are practiced – under the general heading “technical analysis” – should an adjustment be made in our long-term view of things based on the hard reality of long-term inflationary impacts on waveforms?

Ah, but we also have a few headlines to consider in all this, so best we jump right to it…

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Personal Deficiency Remediation Process

This is where we figure out what being a neat homemaker has in common with being a successful investor.  Which – sure – sounds a little “out there” until you drill down into how organizing works.

Then there’s actually a great deal to be learned.

A few headlines and a super-interesting ChartPack today – about 18 of ’em (but it’s early to count so high, lol).

Even on the “free side” we might hint that a good sell-off in markets today, could presage a smoking Retail Sales report tomorrow.  All that’s missing is whether this will be a “sell the rumor, buy the news” setup for Thursday when retail sales come in.

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When Money Stops Working

There we go, again, thinking the unthinkable,  Which is what Peoplenomics is about.

While we don’t think it will happen Tuesday, and might not even happen this year, it is increasing  “non-zero risk” to be taken into account.

A very short discussion to tweak some refinement of future plans, our morning review of the “creepy crawlers” but most important, perhaps, is the ChartPack.  Which, as you’ll see, is in the “waiting for end of Trend” to be our Bearish Friend.

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Living on $10,000 a Year – Now

A final book chapter, Fed testimony, fresh job numbers, and crypto crazies means a biggish report today.  Which  we will pick up and play through starting with the jobs picture.

Oh, and not anything especially shocking about the election results in Super Tuesday, to speak of.

Two cupper, for sure though because many puzzle pieces are in motion.

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From Crisis, Another Book?

A reader poll on whether a new book (serialized first on Peoplenomics before general release) is of any interest.  This, as a result of Elaine’s healthcare crisis this week. Which got both of us seriously refocused on Aging, the point of living Life, and how to live our important roles to the fullest.

In the midst of all this, the markets are “going to the Moon” and we’ll explain what we did in response going into the weekend.

Also, a role through some headlines as the “World going to hell…” is slithering ever closer.

Might need a cup-and-a-half for today’s report.

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The Changing Style of War

Wherein we describe a movement of warfare toward “Tainter Point Wars.”  Which we set about describing with plenty of historical references.

From there, we jump into Ure’s world of woo-woo dreams and get a glimpse of where the “new styles” of warfare seem to be leading us.

As one colleague in the review loop for this observed, “War is ugly. Civil War is uglier still.”

All the while, tiptoeing out on the ledge, a number of hot dates are expected soon.  Leaving us to ponder whether the Ides of March, or Ides of April will matter a damn in the long-term scoring.

So, we’ll kick off with the GDP numbers, followed by the Creepy Crawlers, into the ChartPack and ending with a good roll in the mud of history and a precognitive jump into a world on its way to us on the present paratime line.

With a nod to Oasis Technology for quantifying in the computational space, a notion that may be extensible into deeper philosophical and paraphysical realms.

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Focus on The Ides and Oddballs

As we wrap up February next week, The Ides of March loom large. Not that Julius Caesar will be assassinated again, but the World could be on a hard boil by then as global events remind us of an old Talking Heads song – “Lifetime Piling Up.

The good news, such as it can be when so many of the G.A. Stewart Nostradamus pieces are falling into place, is that many of our deepest questions about “Who was behind the Dump Trump” move has come into the open due to an amazing Tucker Carlson interview with Michael Benz in the past week.

A link to that – it’s worth every minute of the full hour to watch – is included.  Since we have entered the Post Constitution period. When self-righteous “defenders of America” are breaking the country on the pretext of “saving it.”

Against this outlandish (criminal) usurpation of power from the electorate, we also look in on that “free money to play stocks” deal run by the Bank of Japan that lit off another moonshot in the markets this week.

But will it all hang together, or are we at another one of those Beware the Ides of March deals?

Two cups and onward.

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31 Habits of Miserable People

Most folks become like the people they hang out with. But it seemed to me (on a reflective birthday weekend and all) that I really needed a more formalized checklist of “things to look for” in other people.

Not that I’m putting myself above anyone else, mind you. In fact, it’s the opposite.  I have enough problems on my own that hanging around with people who don’t offer a fair exchange is a real timewaster.

This was part of a larger internal symposium on “what’s left to win in Life?”  Again, not that I’ve done it all.  But what constitutes “winning” when all you can leave with is what’s between your ears?

A few notes from headlines, which are we warned of on UrbanSurvival earlier, were expected to run off on a media-orchestration of hating Vlad Putin for the death of a political opponent.  Yet, political opponents in America are somehow treated better?

Then there’s our ChartPack, which is pointing where gravity goes.  Plus, we’ll remind you to go read G.A. Stewart’s piece on what Nostradamus has in store for the world next month. And circle March 11 in red.

More coffee before we start into it?

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“Fat Lady” in the Charts

No, the “Fat Lady” hasn’t started singing, yet. But in our ChartPack today, you can definitely get the sense she’s “tuning up.”

Since this is a semi/sort-of Holiday Weekend, we will keep our remarks brief.  I have a birthday party to prepare for – although living an isolated life, that means thawing a prime rib and chilling champagne.

Which will lead to “chilling” before the Tuesday open.

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Retail Looms: Bounce and a Book Chapter…

Plus 18 charts and  forward projections in our ChartPack.  Boy, do we know how to have a good time, or what?

That nosebleed on Tuesday will not be far from our minds, though. Because if the Chiefs’ win holds as “the turning point” for this overpriced pig of a market, then coming weeks will see the Dow and other indices slide to frighteningly lower levels.

But there’s going to be times like that when gambling and investing get confused…

So, plan on two cups while we plot a course into a darkening future…

Valentines Day – don’tcha love it?

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