Sure everyone has heard about the Super Bowl Indicator.  Basically, this weekend if the 9’ers win, the market should soar. But if it’s KC?  Then the indicator says best lookout below.

What everyone should also know is that the indicator – which has been around since at least 1978 is not especially good at predicting the Future.

So today, we look at the charts and see what the underlying technical view may be telling us about who to be cheering tomorrow.

Along with the usual assorted news-n-noise, too.  But we’re not here to wreck the weekend.

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The problem with Covid is that no one has been held accountable.  Which becomes an incentive for a repeat use.  So, while wars seem to rage on the surface in places like Ukraine, Gaza, and Yemen, the personal question far off to the side is “Which weapon next? “

The answer may be staring at us in the ChartPack.

This leads to our discussion of a short “action list” of things you might consider as preparatory moves.  Like the lockdowns weren’t enough.

Before we roll, though: Fresh international trade data, a word or two about Nikki’s bad night in Vegas and more than a dozen charts on where the economy goes next.

Set for another day of peak woke in a climate scam world?

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The Future is getting more predictable by the day it seems.  So this morning, a few thoughts on how it could roll out in coming days and weeks.

Plus our anticipated rally to fill a critical trading box? Well, we almost got there Friday.Or, did we?

Toss in an earthquake in Oklahoma and floods coming to L.A. and a dandy time will be had by all.

Sort of.

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You see, Life is kinda like that point in checkers where you can move anywhere, but so can your opponent.  In order to win, the key lesson is always being “one jump ahead.”

Except, we don’t habitually think in this aggressive, in charge, pro-active mode.  People just react to “whatever” and that’s a shortcut to losing as we see it.  As we lay out in the latest chapter of my latest book, serialized as it’s being written for Peoplenomics subscribers.

But we won’t get to that until after the “action points” of the day which includes the ADP job numbers, a sit-rep on MessWorld and well over a dozen charts.

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We make more money being short the market. But in the short term some NY Fed data out Friday bears a closer look. Which we will do as well as we size up the rest of the economy.

I think the bottom line might surprise you. It did us.

Then we’ll review the real-life inflation data which the Universe served up this week in our Focus section. It was a chance to see where real inflation takes place.

A short two-cupper it is…

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With Bitcoin scrapping at the $40,000 level, we ponder where all the made-up Covid money will eventually take root.  Some of it has gone into plain-old higher prices, sure.  But the charts are interesting.

Another chapter in my latest book Building a Personal Ark is shared,

And what morning would be complete without a side of politics, and a dash of war?

The new America is sure acting a lot like the old one, isn’t it?

Bring your reading glasses this morning. 18 charts to go over….

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Yes the market roared higher but our charts tell a different tale. One which is oddly different than the mainstream view.

Plus we also go on a swing through woo-woo land.  Where adventures in The Realms were teaching us how to poison a real estate foreclosure, about a major city earthquake to come, and a major electronics acquisition due Wednesday of this week.

Obviously, that’s all “just crazy” but then we get to the “But Wait! There’s More!” part.  A first look at how drones are now in position to replace radio towers.

May be down to 19F on the thermometer again, but the brain cells are still on fire…

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Busy but cold as we roll into the ChartPack this morning.  After that, another chapter of Building Your Personal Ark.

Our column review of headlines will be somewhat abbreviated due to the weather. But we will have Retail Sales and the Trade data.

Weather here is supposed to warm up into the 40’s later on.  But we likely lost the tomato plants in the greenhouse even with the diesel heat on.  They just don’t like cold temps.  Still, been gathering lots of useful vegtel along the way. Never a plant lost without teaching us some of the errors of our gardening plans.

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With all the Global Warming shills missing, we ponder another angle to cold weather: Trading risks for the small investor.  Because out here, those are very real considerations.

We won’t just look at “How do you trade with the power down.”  Goes a lot deeper than power, my friend.

Which we will get into as we look at the weather maps for what’s coming and George layers-up for a run into town for “pre-emptive supplies” that include things like PVC and CPVC pipe caps.  You just can’t be too prepared on winter weekends like this one looming.

Is it a little silly to frame “offshore storm tactics” with onshore day trading in markets?  Well, no, not this week. Not around here, anyway.  The template is pretty similar when you start thinking about it.

At any rate, purely a chart based discussion this morning because we are in an inflection zone where any of three possible future tracks will be decided in the coming week or two.  We’ll explain.

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You study the UrbanSurvival site, you read G.A. Stewart’s take and finally come to it: Time to “Get out of Dodge.”  Well, except for one thing: You don’t know how, exactly. Because getting out, even if you have time (when time comes, so to speak) is not likely to work unless you have laid in plans well ahead of time.

As part of my latest serialized book for Peoplenomics subscribers, Building Your Personal Ark, we take off this morning on the “getting out part”.  We look at cars, RV’s and even the “going Mountain Man option.

First though, we have to take a swipe at how the world is really working while we wait for the smelly stuff and the fan to collide.

After which, I will go back to wondering who put lines of HTML source a report that says  simply <musk>. Yeah, things are getting ever stranger as we roll…

By the way, Great Comments from G.A. Stewart in the UrbanSurvival comments overnight.  Go read his latest here.

Two cups worth, today. Maybe even three.  Not counting charts we’re over that 7,000 word range again..

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The next couple of weeks will likely be critical for the markets as well as the Future in general. The reasons are numerous and that’s our high level view of life on earth as we focus on the overarching issue.  Which is?  “When’s the right time to Take the Money and Run?”

Which ties into the next chapter of “Building a Personal Ark” which I cranked out another 33-pages on Friday, so plan on a longish report next Wednesday.

How about we begin with this?

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Technology and sociology are the weather forecasts of our Future. To have a great Future, check the forecasts!

Which is to say, if you’re planning a robust future, our chapter of Building a Person Ark today will be useful. It’s all about getting the Future right.  Do that and everything else is almost cake. Not in the next day or two maybe, but the bigger currents in society that work in slow-motion year long timescales will be on your side.

 We therefore consider the perspective of society-level changes. Which happens gradually, not usually overnight.  How are technology changes adopted and dispersed for example.  Work of four luminaries will be covered, as the rate of social progression is explored.

We can do this because the market is weak and on hold for the JOLTS report at 10 AM and the Fed Minutes at 2 PM today, we will consider the pickle traders have gotten themselves into, in our ChartPack.  Look up the word ursine.

Plus, as an extra bonus, the dream world logic behind our speculation that during World War II important experiments in psychology (and transcendence) may have gone missing from the historical record.  Yes, a woo-woo question brought over from the dream Realms.

At more than 8,000 words, today will be something of a deeper than usual dive.  Which happens when holidays allow too much computer time… Who needs 10,000 monkeys and the works of Shakespeare when there’s one George and the Internet, eh?

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“Yes Natasha, Fearless Leader has been struck by a flare-up of Acronym Disease!“

Except that it happens to mean something useful: Offset Moving Averages. And it goes hand-in-glove with what we were talking about earlier this week on the (free) UrbanSurvival site.  About STM (Short-term Memory) and how the differences between STM and LTM may offer hints as to the evolving (and ever-changing) future of stock prices.

Which, in Ure’s real-life living of the movie Pi/. Wherein: “Unemployed number theorist Max Cohen, who lives in a drab apartment in Chinatown, Manhattan, believes everything in nature can be understood through numbers…” Thus explaining what drove Ure out of bed at 3 AM on what was ostensibly to be a “holiday weekend.”  All to audit spreadsheets and propose novel conclusions.

Some of which have to do with the nonlinear nature of the immediate future.   Perturbations in linearity of expectations at the pre-conscious level – even beyond that cloud of dread when nukes are at hand and wars are raging in headlines.

Which Future will, in finance, will arrive next Tuesday when the market hangovers are done for another little while. Like til next Friday.

You with me, bubba?

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