2016: Cross-Migrations, Europe’s Pending Implosion

imageYou see, there are two sets of migrations underway on the planet presently.

One of these is obvious, physical, and emotionally impacting:  That is the physical relocation processes underway in places like Europe, but oddly, not in the core Middle East.

The second migration is the “other” one – as people get “off planet” and into augmented mind “space” with social media and the [useless drivel] of social video games.

Still, in order to understand what lies ahead, pretend we’re standing at a busy traffic light.
One street is filled with physical refugees who are being manipulated into new locations for some unspoken agenda.

On  the other street are “presently-located” people who are spending the majority of their  waking hours in virtual spaces.

To make matters more complicated, the traffic light is showing green in all directions.  And the migrants themselves are all blind.

So stand by as we provide some economic insight into how the “Crossing Migrations of 2016” are likely to work out.

Sadly, most American – and Westerners, for that matter – have almost no appreciation for the fact we’re all being “virtualized.” 

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Scoring 2015

imageAs something of a year-end retrospective, we check back on a few of this year’s views and outlooks to see how well we did.

Right at the outset however, one thing is clear:  While many of the Internet’s soothsaying and doom porn sites were predicting a bitter end to the financial world, Peoplenomics has the rare distinction of being more right than most – including a fair slice of those $300+ per year newsletters – in calling not only for no End of World events, but indeed a possible major rally to new all-time highs in 2016.

Beyond just getting what to do with our money right, we continue the task of squeezing the most value out of each dollar earned.  And again, the score isn’t bad… Plus our Trading Model absolutely rocked.

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Some Year-End Predictions

imageDue to the proximity to the holiday – and the fact that most of our readers will be focused on prepping for Christmas and New Years, not the End of the World (EoW) we will focus only on markets present and where things seem likely to head in the New Year in this morning’s report.

Also:  Details of our Skype subscriber call-in Christmas Day.

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BPR the Federal Government!

imageI don’t want to be a whiner who sounds perpetually negative about the outlook for America.
Our outlook for coming years is great, but ONLY if we actually figure out what isn’t working with our present system.

Using a formal process called “BPR” – business process re-engineering, we can quickly see that there are many ways to improve the caliber of government – and make it more responsible to the middle of the American political spectrum.

But that isn’t happening because the current system is – to put it in computer virus terms – easily exploited by special interests who have massive financial horsepower.
This morning, a short description of the problem, the tools, the obstacles to organizational change, and why we really are hopelessly screwed.

We’ll conclude with a short discussion of faux choice.

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7-Billion Ants and One Gorilla

image(Shreveport, LA.)  Fed Day and Experiment time!  This morning we have a nice, short, to the point column.  Not one of those 3-thousand word diatribes that you go around all day wondering “Gee, what was Ure getting at?

No sir, none of that for us.

Being just a few hours ahead of the rate announcement by the Fed – one which should parallel the moves done prior to the Great Crash in 1929, we will briefly hover over the problem described in our headline this morning…with some additional discussion about where the markets could go from here.

However, if currently rolling economic stories are any indication, this will be a day when the real “blaming of the Fed” and/or “blaming of Obama” gets going in earnest….
Oh!  The experiment:  We will also discuss an “Experiment with Luck” that needs a casino (got one handy here) and a Fed Decision and a cell phone to be carried out…

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Functions of War (Iron Mountain, II) Part 2

imageThis morning we look at how many of the expectations for the future, as seen in 1967 in the book “Report from Iron Mountain” have worked out.
It’s almost spooky how close the book has been at predicting the macro-trends.
Almost as frightening, in fact, as what is ahead for markets over the next couple of weeks.
No headlines today…we will stay close to our major function of keeping people “in the game” with their nest eggs bouncing into the future.  If with no smile on their face, at least a little more money to their credit than would otherwise be the case.
Instead, we will lay out a likely trajectory to the Second Depression low due in January of 2020.

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Terrible Tactical Troubles

imageA report very much geared to the immensely important problem of where to park your retained earnings is on tap this morning.

While that would have been an easy question for us to answer back in 2003 when our Simple Strategy was to buy gold at $275 and put an equal amount of dough into U.S. Savings Bonds, the problems in today’s world are incredibly more complex.  At some points, rates will bottom and head up again.

More importantly, though, is that the whole matter of politics is in the process of blowing-over the existing ruling paradigm.  With a simple suggestion that we close immigration from Muslim countries until we can get some confidence in a vetting system, Donald Trump has again out-foxed all the other candidates by making himself the only one talking atthe gut-level that American workers understand. 

So coffee up… miles to cover and it’s as muddy a minefield as we’ve ever seen, especially given the Tuesday market action and next week’s pending Fed decision; the one we already are questioning as possibly being off the table because it may be too late…

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Holiday Futuring Exercises

imageWith the Holidays immediately before us, a few notes on personal futuring are in order.

Whenever you have people over for the holidays that you don’t see all the time, it’s a unique opportunity to got “knowledge trolling.”

By the time most of us get to “investing age” (which we define as having more than $50 bucks left-over on payday), we have some fairly concrete expectations about the way we thing the world ought to work.

However, as our investing results often feed back to us, our expectations are often wrong about the future.

So forthwith, some ideas of turning some of those otherwise dreadfully boring holiday get-togethers into incredibly interesting (and possibly profitable) investment trolling sessions.

The amazing part to me?  Everyone has a piece of the future – and oftentimes the non-investor doesn’t realize the value of what’s stuck between their ears.

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The Annual Personal Financial Review

imageNow that TurboTax Home & Business 2015 Federal + State Taxes + Fed Efile Tax Preparation Software – PC/Mac Disc ($80, Amazon) is shipping and I’ve gotten it installed, it’s time to get serious about my “personal management plan” for 2016.

This is something that goes on all the time in real businesses:  There is a year-end review and the examination of all pertinent financial information is usually quite exhaustive.

Is it therefore any wonder than most corporations are extremely well-managed?  Hardly.  There is a combination of method and plan that leads to inevitable management success.

Odd as it may seem, however, only one-in-a-hundred of us “little people” bother to conduct this rigorous personal review for reasons that, frankly, don’t surprise me:  A laziness and lack of clear-headed thinking about the future.

While our other ongoing works (Functions of War, Iron Mountain II, part 2) are dandy mind-candy, they don’t have the hardcore payoff some of our other Lessons from Life have to offer.

This is one such Peoplenomics report…the kind that will help sweep the Nissan out of the driveway and replace it with a Lexus, if that’s what you want out of life.

After a few headlines, that is, and my explanation of contemporary climate hysteria including “How Trump Caused Global Warming.

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Functions of War: Iron Mountain II (pt. 1)

imageIf you like conspiracy thinking, and you have not yet read the complete book “Report from Iron Mountain (on the accessibility and desirability of Peace)” you really need to Google it or pick up a copy from a bookseller.

Although there has been much conversation in the public press about how this 1967 book published by Dial Press was likely a farce on the Vietnam War and the whole “war gaming mindset” we continue to extract huge swaths of meaning from the book in such diverse realms as computer programming and logical approaches to “unthinkable” problems.

Hence, this morning we tackle the first parts of Report from Iron Mountain with an eye not toward what is held by the crowd to be just a “farce.”

Because, as you’ll see as this series unfolds, when you look at the books “Substitutes for War” one topic – distinctly missing in 1967 – is terrorism.

As we will demonstrate, not only does it meet all the functions of war, but it does so in the most controlled manner possible.

Or hadn’t you noticed?

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Trouble: As in Turkey

image(Amarillo, TX)  Still trying to get back to our ranch-stead in what we call the East Texas Outback, at least eight-hours of driving lies ahead with both of us suffering from the misery of a cold/flu that has dogged us since Las Vegas.

On the way, we have been going back and forth as we travel about what the best personal financial strategies are for the period from now to 10-years out.

And it all comes down to turkey.

Not as the place to shoot-down a Russian jet, but of the sort that symbolizes the Holiday tomorrow.

And, as you’re about to read:  That turkey – the one of Thanksgiving – is in trouble at multiple levels.  And not only for this year…but for years to come.

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Traveler’s Prepping School

Yes, the column was late this morning, but for reasons that you’ll understand in a minute. And it all revolves around what I call traveler’s prepping issues.

After a few headlines, we’ll go through some of the shortcomings in our own travel preps and offer a checklist of items for the “totally prepped” auto adventure.

But the core of this morning’s report is an idea I call “Iron Mountain, II.” 

Turns out, we may be on to the underlying cause of all that goes on in the world…

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Slots, Life-Loops, and Investments…

image(Sedona, AZ)  Very much a “to the point” column this morning as we discuss our “secret mission” of the current road trip.  You didn’t think we would be driving and leaving the airplane home in the hangar without a damn good reason, do you?

Then, Saturday we will focus on the art of “investing” again, versus “trading.”  But this morning’s column is about the “softer side” of how that investing stuff takes place and how to trouble-shoot our own thinking when we start to make bad investment decisions.

So this morning a bit of analysis of investment and trading using a very neat tool called Life Loops.

It also happens that it ties in with our “secret mission,” and how we live (and score) this pony-ride called Life.

But let’s begin with the undisclosed other details of my slot machine approach which I promised yesterday…

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