Crash Picking!

Step right up, folks!  With the long-term market peak in, we’re gonna play Crash Call!  It’s a game where everyone can win – and everyone can lose.

Get the date right?  Got the right financial instruments in your pocket?  You could be the Big Winner.  Why the odds would embarrass Publisher’s Clearinghouse.

Except, for one thing:  The money in play is not especially reliable.

But we’ll get into this after a few headlines and the ChartPack which is really a doozy!

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Asset Stripping by Government

America’s end is at hand when massive financializations replace the production of real goods and services.  Which is peering out at us through the data this week.  Inflation is high and the early line on a Fed hike next week of 0.75 percent (or more) was over 80-percent.

As a result, we have finally figured out how government has been able to keep spending progressively more without the whole economic system imploding.

So, pour a second cup and we take you on a tour de crooks.  How asset stripping is being played by a government near you.

After a few headlines and the ChartPack, of course.

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Wave II’s Goodbye?

A more detailed look at a possible wave count that – if it continues on track – may be the harbinger or horror, the bringer of bummer, and the foreshadow of famine as the year rolls along.  Yes, it’s likely to be even worse than our alliterations.

The foreshadowing is seen in charts, murmured by economics, dismissed by Bidenistas, and yet, right on cue, our secondary Wave bounce rally came in Friday at 50 percent.

ChartPack first this morning with headlines filling in the speculation of what’s ahead.

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A Spiritual Key to Anti-Aging?

The idea of a “lost spiritual technology” that may slow (or halt) the Aging Process is up this morning.  Wide-ranging discussion, too.  Everything from latest results in transcranial low level laser work, which we described in our “Light Crown” project here in 2016, to some interesting results using “earthing” as a strategy to augment Covid-19 treatment.

But all these (cool and brain-candy though they are) are only the “warm-up” act to some interesting concepts that arise from looking at human Death as an industrial process.  One of those “Crazy George” ideas that seems to be supported in the data.

First, however, some (routine) Trade numbers and 14-charts as the ChartPack finds us still waiting to resolve if this will be Wave 3 down, or whether a truncated Wave (5) or the larger wave 2 is yet to come?

Ready to be tantalized into using your wetware processor?

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Dependency Studies

With the market down to our “bounce or kiss” line, some views of how the fall could roll out.  Especially key will be how certain countries (China) are feeling the urgency to push forward with resource acquisitions.

Of course, these also involve acquiring whole countries (*Taiwan with Australia down the road), so it makes sense any futurist worth their salt would be considering the “gearing” of how all this works out.

Then we can toss in corporate-coopted government in the U.S. and begin to wonder if “climate change” isn’t really just an early jingoism to cover-up governmental climate modification as a NextGen war fighting tactic.

OK, not the most comfortable shell to encapsulate the rock, but the data is pointing again in the “heads we lose, tails we lose” direction.

A few warm-up headlines and charts first, however…

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Broken Country Fix-It Plans

Why. our headline today almost sounds like one of our ShopTalk Sunday reports, doesn’t it?  Except the task at hand is much larger:  How do we still “save America” and continue the rational assent of the Western World?

The task is mighty daunting:  We’re going into a risky war-kindling weekend in the Winds of War section.  Then, our charts look like crap – Markets are on the verge of bust.  But even before such nitty-gritty, we have to cope with ADP Employment numbers just out.

Which will be followed tomorrow with the Challenger Job Cuts report and Friday’s forced optimism in the Employment Situation report.  Remember, what matters on this one is the 2019 levels of employment.

Because we do not expect the total number of people working to exceed the high-water marks set in late 2019 and February of 2020 – ahead of lock-down disease.

As usual, we hope it will be a mind-expanding romp.  As we broach how to pop the enabler of economic collapse spawned by runaway government: The D.C. Bubble.

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Listening for the Tumblers

Trying to “crack the safe” in the investment world, are you?  Years ago, an outfit that made saw-sharpening and locksmithing gear, Foley-Belsaw – had a dandy locksmithing course. Turned out, it was a lot more feel and less touch than cartoons had made it seem to a young feller.

Point is, in really unlocking investments, there is a lot more time than brains involved, at some long-term market inflection points.

Odds seem pretty good we’re in such a period right now.  Which we will dig into with the ChartPack this morning as we diagnose the harsh Jerome Powell remarks – and resulting nosebleed (which becomes an epistaxis after med school) on Wall Street Friday.

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Outlook from the ’29 Replay Model

Odds appear to be increasing that we are entering the larger Wave 3 down in markets.  Not that we won’t rally first; of course we will.

But consider where our Aggregate Index work was on November 8, 2021:  41,953.86 .  Based on the close Tuesday, it had rallied from a low of 30,870.04 June 16th of this year.  In financial market wave theory, this was a drop of  26 percent.

The good news is that since the mid-June low, we had rallied (to last Wednesday) 18.87% which was a fine run.

Today – for entertainment purposes only – we continue looking for clues as to what is likely next.  If you’re thinking “Well, a wave 1 down, a wave 2 up, means we wave 3 down is pending?”  Give yourself a gold star.

Even if we make another rally  into early September (9th) the word “pending” quickly evaporates.

But more as we take a deep dive into financial history to figure out what presentry may have in store for us.

After Durable Goods and a check of the sideshows, of course.

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A Macroprudential Paradox

Every time a Bubble arises, supporters of the “new paradigm” argue that somehow “This time it’s different.    The data says it hasn’t been different yet.

One of these days that may be true.  However, we have come up with a method by which similarities may become clear between non-equivalent markets with wide temporal separation.

Which may sound like gibberish until events this fall roll out that are seemingly now cast in stone.

After a few headlines and a second cup of tea, natch!

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Fall’s OPTEMPO

Short for “Operations Tempo” it’s the kind of thing military commanders coordinate.  One flank moves at a certain speed while another moves at something else.  Between, an enemy is “herded” into a disadvantageous position.

In markets, there is an OPTEMPO, as well. Sometimes sector moves are fast, or at other times, painfully slow.

This morning in addition to retail sales numbers just out, and another 35-more pages of my Collapse-Capable Electronics Operator book, we will look at recent structural moves that may drive back fall events.  But make thing worse long-term since it will all seemingly “hit the fan” about the same time.

Details and the ChartPack are both scary and interesting.

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Bad News – and Worse

Two stories headline our Saturday morning thinking:  Our previously “unthinkably bad Elliott Count has been validated.  And some comments from a retired senior Air Force contributor shine an embarrassing Light of Truth on crooked political assassination efforts.

Either one is bad.  Combined, they can be taken as a sure sign of more troubles and stress are just ahead.

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CCEO Training

Let’s start with Collapse-Capable Electronics Operator training and why it’s a different cut of cloth than a ham radio operator.  Nothing against hams – finest people in the world. And I’m an Extra Class (AC7X) who’s been “Banging brass” for 60-some years, now.

Everyone can benefit from a ham license – no Morse code required – that went away years ago.

But collapse?  ARES and other ham radio groups do phenomenal work when disasters strike.  But our focus this morning isn’t about those month-long drives of heroic public service.

It goes to how we reconstitute a low baud rate world when the Internet is taken down or attacked.  When EMP happens and all those ugly possibilities.

That, I’m thinking, is a different kettle of fish.  So this morning the  outline and  a few chapters of yet-another Peoplenomics prepping guide.

After the charts and that just breaking (good news) inflation report.

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The Wave Count We Hope is Wrong

There is a chance now, that within a year, stock prices will have fallen to half of present levels – and maybe lower.  The pieces are just now sliding into place.  But, when you consider some of the data – and the flow of world events – it has become an undeniable possibility.

This isn’t to suggest you run out and dump stocks. For me, though, it was one of those realizations that matters.  A kind of “eyes wide shut” as we look at growing odds of TEOTWAWKI within a couple of years – or less.

A starting point is a note from a well-informed source.  Another reason for hair to stand on end.

Along with the ChartPack – which is where the really bad news of the week has sprung from.

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