Post Labor Day Concerns

We begin today decoding Jerome Powell’s remarks Friday. Then I’ll tell you what we think will happen when the Fed decision is announced in three weeks.

Then we go through the charts and they hold an interesting picture of potential Future; one where you might want to consider redeployment of assets to life-basics planning like food and water by late 2025.

One more week to a holiday and then we’re all “Going off the high board” into Fall.

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Feeding Your Work Habit

Might come as a shock what goes on in my office before you read a morning report.  But there’s a lot of very good science to it and it seems to pay off in a very low stress level. Good BP numbers, sound sleep (conducive to lucid dreams) and a youthful appearance and energy level that most find surprising.

And so, this morning we pick up and roll chapters 5 and 6 on the new anti-aging book., Which has tremendous application to all investors – large or small – because what’s the point of winning if you’re not going to be able to play with the prizes?

The usual headline assortment before we pull up stakes – and charts, too. Though here in the dog days of summer, we really think the convention is as much a filler for the national media as an actual news story. So our focus will be on the 18 charts and “show time in Jackson Hole” in two days time.

(Antiaging Book chapters 5 and 6)

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Honing Trading Skills While Driving

Since we can’t talk on cell phones and text, surely there must be something we can do that’s useful. Other than run over people who bother us and swearing at the top of our lungs…

Quite by accident this week, I invented a new way to hone my personal trading skills while driving.  You see, I was on the way back to the wild lands with a big load of groceries when…well, we’ll get to the story in a sec.

But wanted to mention there is a Holiday just two weeks away.  And my consigliere has a fine discourse on why the U.S. Navy should not be involved in boating, anymore.

That and a few miserable headlines before I break into a sweat. Because this is the Dog Days of summer.  And since dog body temperatures run 103-degrees Fahrenheit, sounds to us like things are going to the dogs in the forecast for us today.

Headlines, charts, story-time and a snooze; sounds like all the movement I can handle.

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Morning Stacks and Light Bathing

OK, how much money is an extra day, week, month, or year worth?  With all our work on equal dollar indices and charts, the money isn’t worth much if it can’t buy you more time.

So, we’re updating all of our research on anti-aging.  Including various supplement protocols and how they fare in actual science-based testing.  And remember that “George has gone weird” with his Light Crown work?  Well, there are nearly 1,700 trials now on the government’s ClinicalTrials.gov website.

We like to be early.  This seems to be no exception.

Our ChartPack today also has an interesting slant to it: “Can you hear the Falls, yet?”

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Movement in Models

It’s almost like a derivative function. But it’s designed as a pathway for the visually stimulated trader to make graphical observations over time that may improve trading.  I know, sounds a little “out there” but you might find otherwise when you see the case.

There’s always the small dose of overnight news flow to inspect, although in this part of summer (quiet) about the closest thing we can get to an earthquake is Japan because the political machinations in the US just don’t cut it for us.

Which then gets us to one of those occasional “woo-woo” notes.  And this morning, a short summary of my overnight adventure which came back from the Dream Realms with the title “Sailing the Mountains of Cho.”

We’ll keep it highly focused because “lawnmower surgery” is on tap at the ranch and it’s going to be another hot one.  Which happens now and then in deep summer.

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Anti-Aging Book Preview

Here we are, a few thousand points lower, and what’s George got to show for it?  A new book? May sound odd, but I really love to write and getting into the “writing trance” is really good for me.  Stresses of life just fade away and a new story unfolds.

There is already one book in process – I shared recently. Called “Farm School” it’s a front row review of what it has been like over the past 25-years walking out on the “corporate life” to live in the woods at the end of the string.

This new book is something different.  It’s the 20-years report on trying to “beat aging” and we have had some success at that.  The first couple of chapters runs 6,000 words and that doesn’t count the charts in today’s report of our snooty look at the snooze.

Guess we ought to get to it, huh?

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Widows, Orphans, and Computers

A funny thing happened this week as we busted through one of our long-expected trend channels.  What’s more, we are just at our 85-day/17-week moving average which – back tested to 1998, has been a reasonable alternative to the (more conventional) 50DMA ore the 100DMA trading indicators.

The computer part is woven in because this has been “Hell week” on that side.

A few headlines, 18-charts, and meh? Another weekend is here…

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Carry Trade Dynamics, Farm School (2)

Japan’s Central Bank has decided to raise rates – which is almost certain to press on U.S. markets – higher.  Along with this we offer another chapter in “Farm School” which we hope you will find both entertaining and educational.

Next, toss in the usual 18 charts on markets from the perspective of our proprietary Aggregate Index and a sampler plate of the news du jour and its hardly the Dog Days of Summer.

To work, then? Happy Fed day…

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DeMorgan’s Theorem Calls Markets & Election?

When Donald Trump ran for president the first time, he was touted as a billionaire and the label may have helped.  It sure didn’t hurt.  This time around will be different. His financial condition is now somewhat questionable and the opposing candidate packs a ton of appeal to People of Color (POCs) (or, at least the Obama’s).

Even more interesting to us has been the reaction of the stock market to recent news – so in today’s ChartPack (*extended) we will mix up politics, or Aggregate Index and see how the liberal rich are lining things up for (themselves to benefit) from the election.  forgetting that an avowed Marxist is one of the choices.

Who needs a constitution or open conventions with power, dynamics and law-faring are at work.

Oh, some headlines along the way, as well.  Bean up and let’s read…

Because after this morning’s column, you should be able to talk extemporaneously for at least 15-minutes on in-built dynamic market tension and DeMorgan’s laws.

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Predictive Entrainment

Who’d have thought? A new approach to predict market outlooks is arising.   NO, not AI overstepping.  Naw. This could just be George having one of those “How We Know What Isn’t So” moments. Or, it could be a useful way of predicting markets. You get to judge.

Meanwhile, America is presently a bit overcome by politics. We are concerned in the forward-looking work about how 2025 will sort itself out.

A rather extended “ChartPack” is in order, then, because there is more than democrats playing charades going into the mid-August convention.

The usual quippish and snippish remarks may show up, as well. Though you never know about such things..

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Charts Scream Trouble!

OK – a few internet issues. But the big problem to consider this weekend is a major market break.  For this, we have our usual 18-charts in our ChartPack series.

These are useful because they are not “single index” measurements.  Because, as we learned from the Internet Bubble bursting back in 2000-2003, letting financial shills quote only one index (often selected in a dishonest, self-serving way) can mislead the public.

Then on the topic of the Internet outage, a few comments based on my 2012 book “Broken Web.”  Because, honestly, we’re surprised the web hasn’t experienced a major break like this previously.  And please note, it was only a few months back that we rolled the UrbanSurvival website onto a numerical IP address.

Mainly, it’s another one of those “Just the fact, ma’am” kind of days (following Friday, if you will…).

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The Future in Plain Sight

Between multiple forward-looking predictions, we now have (we think) enough data about the future to make some educated guesses. We will begin with some of the biblical references and concepts, move into how “personal contact with Future looks” and then use a couple of emails from colleagues to illustrate how possible futures “wander by” our minds all day, every day.

After all this, as a warm-up, we reduce it all to a handful of scenarios, one of which may be seen (in retrospect from the future historian’s viewpoint out in 2030) to have been maybe partially correct.

Though, as the old saying goes, “In the land of the Blind a one-eyed man can be King.” As luck would have it, I’ve got the ocular chops covered.

First, though, we have some economic data to roll: Housing Starts from Census and just ahead of the market, Fed Industrial Production numbers.

Now, toss in the usual “hearts of Romaine”: (*tossed headlines) and it will be a grand morning to digest another – too-long – word ramble.  Now, if I had just figured out how to “get paid by the word…

“Let’s see: 7,650 words in today’s report times….. “

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The “Top-Spotting” Game

Until the bad news about this fall begins to dawn on the (stupid) public, this market might move higher still.  In fact, as we reported Wednesday, another 10-14 percent is not off the table.

This being the weekend, we focus only on a few headlines and the ChartPack., But today, even after the hiccup Thursday, there remains reason to either hold long (risky) or (opportunistically) remain in cash and wait for the downside to do more than a 5-hour announcement of its arrival.

A few other news items, but this is getting into the time of year Editors hate. There’s so much heat, so many vacation days to burn off, and so very little worth writing about.  Except, of course, the “news schedules” demand it.,

Even if the topics are third-rate and the conclusions forgone.  This is us, doing our part, too.

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