An “Ultimate Defensive Strategy”

There are lots of us – old men of the web who have been writing about pendency of collapse for 20-years (or longer) – and a quiet consensus is beginning to form. It’s not evident unless you either subscribe to a lot of specialist future-oriented publications, or whether (as many newsletter writers do) you simply listen to the tone of inquiries from readers.

This “tone” has turned extremely defensive.  And since Peoplenomics readers know how long we may have before the 1929 replay’s final roll-over, this is a good time to make plans. Just in case.

The global population clock just turned over 7.8 billion people this month.  A sobering number, considering that there are in the USA about 329,877,505  people, plus or minus a Covid outbreak (US Census data, July 2020).

Supporting those millions are 2,043,400 farms (includes ranches) as of 2019.  In fact, there were 2,204,600 farms in 2007 in the U.S. (Peak Farming)  Consolidation, costs, regulations. and an unnatural fascination with tech may have seen Peak Food” pass us by in 2007.

Peak Paper, as the market demonstrated Friday, may still be several weeks ahead.  But the time to plan for massive economic displacements is not during the “bonfire of the equities” but instead while online delivery is still operational.

More such seasonal cheer after a few headlines and our ChartPack.  For which we need a special holiday beverage:  Champagne for the Peak just ahead and Maalox for what likely follows.  ChamLox for breakfast it is, then.

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Covid-19: Social Problem-Solver?

One of our readers requested we turn a carefully tuned eye toward some of the longer-term outcomes of CV-19.  Among the question is “What is it doing to the divorce rate?”

We can already see a wide swath of “social destruction” because of the virus.  Yet, in the longer term, is it possible that “What doesn’t kill us might make us stronger?

Indeed a perplexing – and hardly Christmas-like – topic.  But in order to develop a clear-headed model of what’s ahead for next year, we need to begin on some of the really “big picture” items and see where they lead us.

It’s a big shopping cart, too.  So we’ll hop to it as soon as a few of the morning’s big data points (ADP report is just out, for example) and then we will look at the charts to divine what’s ahead.

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No Collapse for 30-Days?

That’s an interesting bet given the VIX was under 20 Friday.  Means no one is afraid.  Saw those levels in February, didn’t we?

We’re guessing there will be more presidential election concerns and possibly conflict.  The Middle East beckons.  Since war is the historical outcome of economic declines, we should expect something, somewhere to light up and head south.

Not out West, necessarily.

China talks as though Biden’s already seated. And on Wall Street, the good times are on a roll – one that has cost nearly $4-trillion worth of paper so far.

What few assets America has need to be carefully managed.  Because if we do see anything approaching an election reversal (or even widespread lack of faith in the outcome) in coming weeks, people are “wearing their politics on their sleaves.”  That’s the makings of domestic conflict.

We have crossed into an odd national head-space:  Me-me-me has become a strain of Us-us-us…but few have figured out yet that the very “coalitions” which begged for personal sign-ons will now (in good-old Bolshevik style) turn first on those who supported “them” most.

As a result, we expect that when (with a small asterisk by *if*) the dems get seated, they will be steered away from further devaluation.

The reason for this would be China.  Which holds a lot of U.S. assets.  By clever manipulations, they will continue to be able to use our drug money (via cartels, mixed by their financial alchemists and banks).  Which would allow the continued shopping spree to buy North America out from under the working class…

Mainly head lines and charts today.  Ure’s in down time.

This is the day we’re doing our turkey, since I worked Wednesday night. Champagne and “gimme the bird” had to wait.  Today, revenge is mine.

(continues for subscribers)

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High Data Density Day

Some interesting calculations about how the present-day “record Dow” is doing little more than a repeat of (gulp!) 1929. Want that target date for a possible “final high?”

Beyond that, however, there is a pre-turkey rasher of data to sort through since the Fed gov will be closed tomorrow (birds of a what?).  Friday will be a half-day for the market.

Also Friday, our annual Turkey Leftovers report…always a hit.

With all this – and a reminder don’t forget to defrost the bird – we launch into coffee and wondering how long this ol’ rock will hang together…

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2 Part Report: My Crypto Patent Filing & Tech Waves to 3D

Two concepts to kick around in today’s report.  One is a proposal which would overcome one of the major objections to crypto currencies.  Namely that they are more notional than fungible.  We propose a fix.

Second part of the report which is out there now because a lot of our subscribers “give large at Christmas.”  And I want to explain why the Ure’s gave away a 3D printing rig.  All about economics.

Then there’s the ChartPack – after a few headlines.  A small splash of nog and something for the noggin…

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Reality Busting Ahead

We are continuing our efforts toward making a real-life time machine. However, as it turns out, there’s a lot more than time involved.
So, today and update in our Real Time Machine project.
First, however, an even stranger, but so far more profitable question:  based on a few trades this week we need to ask “Is G-d a Parabolic Probability Function?”
Not your every day wake up questions to be processing, which is why we recommend a double-shot America with a shake for this morning’s episode.
Let that get the BP launched with a few warm-up headlines and then we begin…

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A “Trading Insurance” Policy?

Our Focus today is on trading discipline and tools.  As I have admitted many times, I can time markets OK but I’m by nature flighty and always second-guessing myself.  That costs me.
For whatever reason, I tend to  drop into second-guess and worry mode. So I’ve been looking for ways to improve returns.
Paradoxical as it may sound, the data I’ve collected on this Fool George give rise to the idea I need to spend more time playing and less time overthinking (and its profit-killing companion over-trading).
Counter-intuitively, the less I pay attention (except at key times), the more I seem to make.
We’ll talk about the odd quirk of personality after a few headlines and the morning’s longer view of charts.

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Navigating Lifestyle Collapse

Word that CV-19 has continued to accelerate comes as no surprise around here; we’ve been projecting it for months.  It’s how “compounding” works.
Yet, the arrival means more than draconian government regulations, there are the problems of “savings destruction” because that’s the stuff of which major Long Wave Depressions are made.
That and drought.  But, out West, we’re going through a serious dry spell and the long range forecasts are worrisome.
Rather than get wrapped around the axle of more “useless election news” (other than noting that Elaine and I are available for $100 per hour (each) to count votes – and we take direction on which way the count should come out very well…  (kidding, of course!)
Why, if we were in a more “marginal state” than Texas, such job credentials might start a bidding war…
Seriously, though, long-term goals are changing quickly now that many of the “assumptions of retirement” are being turned into “mass casualties of CV-19.”
We will do some spot checks after a few headlines and the charts.  Which are worrisome enough, too…
Important:  It’s Veterans Day – thank a Vet for their Service.

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Independent Human Research Groups (IHRGs)

Tired of wasting your time on social media and election jitters? This morning we outline a new concept to evolve the “next big steps” in human evolution.

While a lot of Americans have been wasting “personal processor clicks” on fears of riots, insurrections, and voter fraud allegations, we’ve been working on a tool that could be spun out of social media.

In a nutshell, insight and intelligence do not live on a Bell Curve.  Yet, as humans, we organize ourselves as-if it were the only way of ‘being.’

I assure you, it is not.

So, this morning, we begin inventing a new “system of inventing.”  One that harnesses the power of large bodies of humans and their intelligences in a way that’s never been done before.

After a few comments on elections, headlines, and our Aggregate Markets view of finance.

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Worst Possible Outcome

Stand by for America to “fix” a bunch of non-problems. As we awaken to a “revolution lacking but a match” it looks like lawyers – not voters or rational humans – will decide our next president.

Rather than our typical drill-down into some important aspect of life, we instead focus today on a collection of tell-tale data that will shape the soon-coming future.

And about that match?  Prime time and social media are are fumbling for it, already…

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Speed’s What Ails Us

This follows our recent take on William S. Lind’s  book Retroculture.  After some thought, much of what advocates of “the old days” are after really comes down to mainly one thing:  Speed.

Gone, for example, are times when people strove for individual breakthrough insights. Regardless of time spent getting there. In that style’s place has come group problem solving.  Going missing in it all?  Time to just “think about things.”

So this morning with a “break point” in the cultural paradigm at hand on Tuesday – that we fear will be marked by incredible stress and acting-out – we’ll consider the genuine benefits of just slowing the hell down.

First, though:  A little campaign dirt and a look at some charts that – in our view – foretell of a dangerous decline as socialist economics threaten America in 2021.  Why, toss in the drought and some more hurricane?

Maybe we won’t repeat the “Dust Bowl.”  Instead, could be swirling Tech Trash to be followed by the Famine Festival

So on to…

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“Global Reset” and a Vision

A curious hybrid report this morning: economics with a side of woo-woo. Much has been written of a possible global reset.  But word in the “dream realms” is there’s something else to keep an eye on.

As the election jitters continue to drive the markets down, we wonder just “how bad will it get” in 2021.  After all, when we back out the 35% increase in “money slosh” due to the Fed, it’s clear that economic growth this year has been largely illusion.

A few headlines and our ChartPack which offers some interesting “forward prospects.”  As soon as published, I’ll be pressing my Scrooge McDuck suit again with futures pointing lower.

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Noncomputational Economics & the Network of Creation

While looking for reasons why human telepathy doesn’t work, we may have found some (effectively) “CHMOD” locks built into humans. These may effectively control “interpersonal read-write access” at the psychic level.

Which has what to do with economics?  Well….that’s what the new book is about.  How the lower-level contexts work.

In an odd way, humans are evolving computers by building detuned replicas of themselves.

Hell of a topic, huh?  After a few headlines and our ChartPack, of course.

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