America’s Riskiest Time Ever?

We’ve been reporting on Peoplenomics for more than a quarter century and never before have so many factors been in the “this close” column. We have a least three major wars in the wings, a major national disaster just hit the Southeast and there is a hotly contested presidential contest to be decided in just over a month.  Talk about vulnerabilities stacking up!

This morning a few of the highlights.  Plus in the chart pack, we get into the paradox of a market (and whole world) which seems to be responding to a methodical bout of inflation instead of the facts right before us.

It’s a sobering time when yes, there are things that could be scarier than Halloween.

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Next Level Prepping (1)

No one seems to have noticed, except maybe us: FEMA has about totally botched its “civil defense” mission.  In fact, we went looking for evidence of how FEMA is prepared to defend the US from all hazards.  Wow! Were we disappointed.

Using a search engine, it’s clear while Civil Defense is a big deal elsewhere, America has already fallen into the cellar.

We’ll dig into that and do the charts and a few news items along the way, too.  Single cup issue this week – if you read fast.

To me, this was a troubling report to write. Because in it, there are two undeniable examples of how America is in process of “rolling over” into a second Roman collapse.  Sorry to report.

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A Recrod High – Or Was It?

Headlines galore about “stock market records” this week. But, as long time readers know, we take such headlines with a grain of salt.  Particularly when they are not based entirely on big picture and “apples to apples” analysis.

Again, we propose that our wider aperture using the Aggregate Index may offer some unusual insights.

Six weeks out from a presidential election – we are not surprised by a lack of public acuity, though.  It’s what the Mainstream has been peddling – and so far, it’s working…

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Fed Ahead & Ancient Nutrition

Three biggies on the docket today:  The Fed meeting results are due this afternoon, so we can all get into the water cooler pool on that one.  I’m in for 10-large.

Second is the latest chapter on my book on Anti-aging from a lay perspective.  And I have to tell you, when a writer enjoys writing a chapter it’s probably pretty good. Got good initial reviews.

And number 3?

Big Improvements for Subscribers are beginning a migration with today’s report.  Our ChartPack will no longer be individual charts, in most cases, but will be a series of higher resolution PDF files which will give much better visual appearance (and take a lot less of my time to prepare!).

In coming weeks, the plan is to roll Peoplenomics over into a content management platform which will give much better cross- device access.  However, we will keep links in place for the legacy HTML reports and those go back as far as Y2K (2000).

The migration will be a “from the hip” deal.  The intro of PDF charts (a series of multiple PDFs, actually) is only the first step.  The next one will be consolidating the half-dozen spreadsheets into a unified (monster) that that will take less headspace to manage.  (Ure’s getting older and link layers and recursives are not a good retirement pastime!). Unfortunately, in a world of hyper-complexity, sometimes we have to complicate to simplify, but all the same core material will remain – just where to click will wiggle around as we work out way through the process.

At the end of it, the same odd thinking style will still be present and maybe some new goodies.  Like a members only discussion group and (depending on complexity) we may even do some one-to-one convos; that’s something people have inquired about.  As always, if you have constructive ideas to pass along, please do.  This whole adventure has been a user-driven part of my life that just sprang to life on it’s own.

There should be no changes to any of the logon process – that’s holy an cast in stone.  Once you enter the site, however, you will see different web addresses for the content and such.

Thanks.

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The Short-term Future Matters Now

Monster Week could be coming up starting Tuesday.  So today we look at the event calendar and consider some of the sizzling fuses that are already lit.

Our objective is to get enough sense about what’s just ahead to avoid being run over by it. Oh, and if we make a few bucks along the way, why, that’d be OK, too.

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Avoiding the “Gotchas” (Home Safety)

Our book on anti-aging best practices is nine chapters deep with today’s report.  Where the focus is on people bespoke wish to live longer lives contrasted with what they really do.

We will also look in on the day’s round of “the Blame Game’. This is where Donald Trump had a very bad night, and Kamala Harris did so well that Wall Street (futures) are worried because taxes on capital gains will head into orbit with a democrat win.

All of which leaves the nonpartisan investor with some dandy moneymaking opportunities which we not only sketched out in advance Monday (and it all came off according to the playbook) but also it sets up an ideal Fed meeting next week.

So draw another cup of the bean and let’s deal out some harsh Reality, again.

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Next Week to Turn?

Crappy week for markets – if you were foolish enough to be long (Bullish) stocks after Labor Day. Both the Dow and the NASDAQ were down more than 1,000 points each while the S&P was down more than 200.

This morning, we sort through some of the drivers and – in our usual 18-chart collection – will look at where recent data has suggested we’re going next.

Honestly, presidential politics has become rather boring now that Donald Trump will not be running from behind bars. Thus, avoiding the full-on revolution that some have predicted.

Still, there’s the little matter of the neocons, who have “bellows to the fire” trying to get even a limited nuclear exchange going before elections in order to further their uni-party goals.

Not the most exciting plans to consider, but sadly the “grownup thing to do” at this time in life.

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Bleeding Markets and Personal Health

I can’t think of two more important topics this month. Especially as the world careens toward a nuclear showdown, China slobbers on Taiwan, and down on Wall Street, our Aggregate Index work has been right, again.

The Nikkei was down more than 4-1/4 percent overnight and the picture in Europe isn’t pretty, either. Now imagine a whole week of Tuesdays. Might come to that, but we will see.

Yesterday doesn’t matter on this side of the sunrise, though.  In our charts it will be all eyes on “Gee, how bad could it get?”  (Very if not nuclear at midmonth, still pretty bad.)

We loaded up the hamburger fund Tuesday, but didn’t stay into the bitter end.  Ran out of QuikClot.  Ever try talking sense to a stampede?

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EGGS and Time

More musings into the Princeton EGGs as we ponder the state of congruence and entrainment further.

Of course, a short column because it is the holiday weekend, after all.  And I did win the Scotch bet but Tuesday will be another day. Lots of distance to travel before then.

So a few headlines, a ramble into the preconscious projections of future and then on to

 Boy Time in the shop in order to have something worth sharing on ShopTalk Monday.

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The Anti-Aging Convergence

Are anti-aging effects additive and cumulative? Today we have some insights in our latest (non-medical) book. Where I write about my personal experiments with anti-aging protocols that don’t involve expensive prescriptions.

A slog through some headlines is in order including the latest – silly – reindictment of Donald Trump by a Democratville Grand jury.

After that we move on to the really important part of the column: status of the Scotch bet.  Which – so far – is leaning my way but with NVidia reporting after the today, we’re stuck between going to the moon or the mortuary at the close.

A fine time will be had by all, we’re sure. Except for the lowers who are, um, most of us.

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Post Labor Day Concerns

We begin today decoding Jerome Powell’s remarks Friday. Then I’ll tell you what we think will happen when the Fed decision is announced in three weeks.

Then we go through the charts and they hold an interesting picture of potential Future; one where you might want to consider redeployment of assets to life-basics planning like food and water by late 2025.

One more week to a holiday and then we’re all “Going off the high board” into Fall.

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Feeding Your Work Habit

Might come as a shock what goes on in my office before you read a morning report.  But there’s a lot of very good science to it and it seems to pay off in a very low stress level. Good BP numbers, sound sleep (conducive to lucid dreams) and a youthful appearance and energy level that most find surprising.

And so, this morning we pick up and roll chapters 5 and 6 on the new anti-aging book., Which has tremendous application to all investors – large or small – because what’s the point of winning if you’re not going to be able to play with the prizes?

The usual headline assortment before we pull up stakes – and charts, too. Though here in the dog days of summer, we really think the convention is as much a filler for the national media as an actual news story. So our focus will be on the 18 charts and “show time in Jackson Hole” in two days time.

(Antiaging Book chapters 5 and 6)

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Honing Trading Skills While Driving

Since we can’t talk on cell phones and text, surely there must be something we can do that’s useful. Other than run over people who bother us and swearing at the top of our lungs…

Quite by accident this week, I invented a new way to hone my personal trading skills while driving.  You see, I was on the way back to the wild lands with a big load of groceries when…well, we’ll get to the story in a sec.

But wanted to mention there is a Holiday just two weeks away.  And my consigliere has a fine discourse on why the U.S. Navy should not be involved in boating, anymore.

That and a few miserable headlines before I break into a sweat. Because this is the Dog Days of summer.  And since dog body temperatures run 103-degrees Fahrenheit, sounds to us like things are going to the dogs in the forecast for us today.

Headlines, charts, story-time and a snooze; sounds like all the movement I can handle.

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