Selling Us Down the River? Saturated Consumers & the TPA/TPP

I suppose you want me to explain what the secret TPP / TPA has to do with Jade Helm, don’t you?  Well, fine…but it’s two cups worth of reading…Global government has been rolled out.

One of our ongoing problem with the “Constant Growth Model” of the economy is it blows up without growth.  The long and short of this one (we’ll get into details) is that if growth indeed slows significantly, we will have a serious problem with economic things blowing up around the whole Pacific Rim and a lot of it will be aimed our way.

And that gets us to the second (related) discussion point.  Namely, what exactly is in the proposed (and still secret) discussions about TPP?

Oh, just the handover of America should we welch on our unpayable debts to China and Japan.  So yes, that’s why TPP is a secret.

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Templates, Boundaries, and Logical Limits

Thanks to a subscriber in Nebraska, and a call from my consigliore Monday, we have some important new concepts that are percolating around under the surface of economic discussions.

As you know, I hold that doom-sayers are often incorrect.  While it is tempting to listen to them, it is often disastrous, as well, when comes to preserving one’s lifestyle, financial assets, and happiness.

At the same time, however, embracing the future must be done carefully, as well, because if BitCoin is any model, the dangerous of excess optimism is what leads to buying BitBubbles much as it led to buying tulips back in 1634.

So what are the thinking tools that can help us to avoid such pitfalls?  This morning we discuss three.

After – that is – we get a daily dose of headlines and considers our Charts and Trading Model.  Accompanied by coffee and toast.

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Peoplenomics Cruise Details

A number of emails I’ve sent out to subscribers who were interested in our up coming Sept. 6th seven-day cruise in the Caribbean didn’t make it to recipients, so this morning I’ve put together a page on the cruise and booking information.

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10-Years After: Some Personal Scoring

Ah, sorry to disappoint, but the topic this morning has nothing to do with the 19670’s Rock & Roll band by that name (Ten Years After video here).  With apologies to Alvin Lee.

Nevertheless, in terms of economics, I’d still “like to change the world” (which makes sense only if you lived the 70s) and to do so, it takes a certain ability to “be hard on self.”

So this morning, we roll back the time machine and go through some of the views proposed in 2005 and see how our track was doing back then and whether our calls then were really any good, or not.

Should be an interesting adventure… after coffee, Trading Model and a few of those distraction-inducing headlines that pass for “news” these days.

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Is the Internet Wrecking Infrastructure?

We consider (between the rain and power blinks here in Texas) how soon we start seeing some real declines in things like hotel, rental cars, and travel as business is moving more and more to video conferencing in lieu of travel?

And, we take a look at what our Trading Model is doing in the wake of the sell-off yesterday that closed the S&P below short-term support.

So grab the coffee….here comes a data dump…

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How to Turn Your Hobbies Into Cash

This being a holiday weekend, and since – as our Trading Model has been insisting, the market ain’t crashing – how about we spend some time penciling out ways to make money with your hobby?

We can evolve an approach that works with any hobby, but it takes a little thinking through the ‘How to get there part.”

Not to worry, my friend…that’s what Peoplenomics is all about – the really important parts about money…the parts we can enjoy…

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The Terrorism that Worries Me

In a phrase, it’s the “New Crime” that hasn’t been pulled off — year.  Think box-cutters.

This week,  we roll out some of my worst fears about the immediate future.  There are, like you couldn’t have figured it out without help, a lot of ways that a very small group of determined people, perhaps no more than a dozen, could wreak havoc on life in the U.S.

Today we consider the difficulty of protecting against such yet-top-be-pulled capers and recall that prior to D.B. Cooper, there was no crime of air piracy.  And, thanks to our enormous strides in technology, there are more new – and better – ways to commit crimes than ever before.

And we will ask the intriguing question:  Is it possible for government agencies to prevent crime, or is the only way to do it by ridding the country directly of people who would do in our way of life?

There we go…off into the Constitutional and due process problem.  But before we do that, let’s go through some of the things that keep me up at night worrying.  After coffee and charts, of course.  Then we get into the big question:  Is a concerted attack on motorcycle clubs in the works?

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A Pretty Good "Get Rich" Scheme

There are only two things the average American wants, these days:  To be “famous” and to “get rich.”

The problem with famous, of course, is that it doesn’t pay the bills.  And the benefit of “rich” is that you can buy fame – if you have enough money.

So this morning I lay out a pretty good “get rich” scheme. 

No, it’s not fast, but is has a very good chance of working – since most people don’t even bother trying to get rich; most sit around waiting for it to happen.  Then they get disappointed when it doesn’t.  Go figure.

So we’re off to the realities of “getting rich” after some coffee and a few significant headlines. Oh, and a check of our Trading Model, too…

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Is this Why We Prep? 1999 FN53

Universe is always having fun with us – often at my expense. 

So Tuesday, when I went down  to the airplane hangar (to make sure everything was coming along) sure enough, I got out of the truck (*with flat soled shoes on) and promptly fell on my butt in a mud puddle.

Hmmm…falling down, is it?

Sure enough, when I got home, the web was lighting up with word on this week’s “near pass” of asteroid 1999 FN53.

Hmmm…skip the personal planning discussion (that’s timeless) and let’s jump to this passing asteroid discussion because economic, quakes, wanderlust asteroids….they’re all important as hell around these parts.

But first the dollar drop and gold’s pop along with some retail sales yuck.

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A Quick Course in Stock Screening

I’ve given Elaine an interesting project:  Find some companies that she thinks we ought to invest in.   Having received approval for our minor parts change on the airplane, I think a trip to a casino somewhere would be interesting but options are far easier to play at home and you can make a lot more money at it.

Sounds simple enough until you start looking at the task in detail.  Then it becomes…well…daunting.

This morning we consider the problem of stock screening in some detail, consider some different approaches to sniffing out under-valued companies, and offer Mrs. Ure some ideas on how to organize her investment wagers.  (They are all gambles until they pay off, after which – if there is any money left – we can call ourselves “investors” rather than the more pejorative term “wild-eyed speculators.”  I won’t tell, if you don’t.

First, however, we laugh and scratch about our trading model which – while everyone was puking and worrying End of the World! at mid-week – unerringly stayed long.  My, ain’t a systematic approach great?  At least, until it isn’t.

Coffee and headlines straight away, then!

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Prepper Deluxe: Time to Get a "Cache Property?"

Like so many kids today, mine have not been family-forming or buying property.  But there’s a set of events a few years out on the horizon that make at least some absolutely minimal fall-back position from Big Cities something to seriously consider.

Yeah, yeah…”Ain’t got money, Dad…” is the usual answer.  So this morning, in preparation for my son coming down here to visit, a preview of the stern lecture that Dad will be issuing, complete with timing of the real estate cycles and so forth, that are involved.

At some point, today’s kids are going to wake up and realize they have been “had” by the Nanny State.  And when the sociopolitical upheaval, accompanied by wholesale mass unemployment greater than even the 1930’s shows up, a Minimal Fall-back Property (MFP) will be the one serious investment most preppers will not have made.

So today, we run through the basics.  Oh, and you’re welcome to come with Robin Landry and me (and our wives) on a cruise.  Details for Peoplenomics subscribers only!

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An Alternative View of the Future

Think things are headed for a quick flush down the old crapper?

Think again.

Although doom porn sells, we take off the brown colorized glasses and put on the rose ones for a while this morning,  With it will come a description of a future which, although it seems unlikely today, could make a whole lot of doom peddlers look mighty damn stupid.

As usual, our discussion will be entirely based on facts and our curious view that much about the future can be learned through the study of economic history.

After headlines and our Trading Model….which has continued to be more correct, more often, than 99% of doom-sayers.

Last time I wrote something like this, more than a few readers thought I was losing it in our June 2012 report which I said I was getting bullish.  Yet, back then, the Dow as just over 10,000!  As usual, readers are welcome to be critical…just don’t tell the bank and don’t even breathe on the Trading Model.

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The Economics of Anarchy

This morning we visit the smoking ruins of Baltimore and see parallels to an earlier period of economic history in America.

We will also recount how sequential bad decisions by government have “piled on” the woes before us, using the behavioral economics approach.

But first, we’ll sample a few shorter term stories and sit back amazed, again, at how our Trading Model has managed to navigate the present economic uncertainty with amazingly good success…

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