First up this morning, the “Only Chart That Matters” – as we roll into a potential next leg down for markets next week.

Then, A number of subscribers have asked if there was a possibility of getting a more detailed market forecasting tool than the free spreadsheet (brainamp.xls) that is available to subscribers from the master index page..

The answer is “You bet! But there is some necessary fine print.  In order to make this project really valuable, we need to collect as many “Elliott wave trading rules” as possible in order to write the logic I have in mind.

I think you’ll see when we get into it, this “second generation” of market predictor may not only give us better understanding of Wave structures we’re considering at the primary level, but the rules may provide us an “educated” guess at the subordinate (smaller) wave structures..

In other words, if you know an Elliott Wave 1 move (up or down) then that not only infers what will happen at that level, but it also ripples down to the next finer level of granularity. (You do follow, right?)

We’ll get into this after we reveal the One Chart That Matters right now..

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Big smoke – not so much fire.  And we’ll pass on where some of that smoke has been blown (ahem!)…

We return to a familiar topic this morning with some fresh data to ponder:  What is “growth” and how is both the media and the political sphere spinning things?

After headlines, of course, and our weekly dozen-plus charts that (we hope!) print future money for us…

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In a recent UrbanSurvival column, I explained how Divisiveness is a result of the economic business model that defines how legacy news media operate.

This morning, we’ll go over that (briefly) and then get into where News is going.  I think you’ll find it fascinating.

After CPI data just out – and our usual tromp through some headlines – once the coffee sinks in – we’ve also got the ChartPack to review.

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A number of items on our agenda this morning: 

I’m ticked about some misleading things about the market that made headlines this week.  Silly financial press!

My consigliere has pushed-out more numbers on the arriving cap of state and local tax write-offs impacting in 2019 for Tax year 2018..

And we are working through what we expected from weeks ago – sour grapes and recounts…

Grab the coffee and let’s roll…

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Thankfully, the election is done and over – and in a second a few comments about it.  But, there are bigger fish to fry.  As we predicted Saturday, it looks like the first move post-election will be up (through Friday) as the market fires up this morning. 

More important?  We have been modeling drivers for the next economic downturn.  And this morning we’ll give you a thumbnail of  what’s coming.  A huge effective tax increase for people in high tax burden states.

Even if you aren’t a subscriber, you need to know that under the same “tax cut bill” that brought a lot of offshored capital back home, there is also a nefarious limit on deduction of state and local taxes of $10,000 per year.  After that, no further write-off for state and local taxes as we understand the law.

We ask wryly (or is that cynically?) note this is NOT something that anyone made a “big deal about” before the election.  However, it sure explains to us why the national media haven’t hyped the story and why so many D.C. old-timers decided NOT to run this time around.

We figure they don’t want to be around come the end of this year when the “Tax Bomb” we’re talking about this morning goes off.

Some election results first and coffee to make the ride out to the coming site of the financial trainwreck a little more pleasant…

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We play the fun game of looking ahead a few weeks in this morning’s report.  In it, you’ll see how we expect the balance of the year to shape up.

More importantly, though, you may be able to infer how we plan to scalp a few bucks from Old Man Market.

After headlines and coffee, of course.

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One of the questions that comes up often in our “Comments” section on the UrbanSurvival site is whether Elliott waves are really “useful.”

In fairness to people asking, the answer is Yes!  But you need to understand where the “civilian” confusion comes from.

This week, I spent some time with my friend Robin Landry who’s an expert on the wave structures.  This morning’s we will discuss how he can hold a different view than Robert Prechters when both are looking at the same data…

After some headlines and coffee, to make sure we get off to a good start..

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The fun resumes Monday, huh?

Markets like this are difficult to trade, especially when this may only be a first wave down.  We have our eye on November 27th as a possible “bad hair day” for markets.

This morning, a few ideas about time and price as we roll through the charts and fine-tune our look for the period just ahead…

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This morning we make a steely-eyed assessment of a global move many Americans are missing:  A new wave down of our Global Index is screaming that what we went through with the January and March wash-outs could be just foreplay.

There are a number of tools we apply to come to this notion.  Not the least of which is our Peoplenomics “Brain-Amp” spreadsheet.  This handy thinking-tool – that can be downloaded from the Master Index page.  It allows you to put in the measurements of the A (or wave 1) Up or Down.  It will then offer ideas as to where the Wave B (or 2) retracement should fall, make an estimate of C (or 3), toss out another retracement idea (4), and then offer a better-than-wild guess at how far off the top is, or if a declining wave like we’re in now, how far down the bottom might be.

A few headlines first, but coffee and a note pad is recommended when we get into the discussion today since the biggest impacting event in the USA may be the rest of the world pulling us down with ’em.

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A novel thought has crossed my mind while looking at the data – and particularly in retooling our “trading Golem” this week.

Not completely original – since the idea is there in some of Didier Sornette’s work (see Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems ).  But, so far as I know, there’s been little longer-term cycle study.

Arcane?  Maybe…but that’s on the agenda as well as laying out a research plan after we roll through the few headlines worth mentioning.

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Peace with the Robots?  A Life Resource Planner to better use global resources?  Sounds a bit sci-fi, to be sure, but we may have no choice.

Today on the UrbanSurvival side, I offer a few public comments about the Lifealyzer concept,  That is:  Are we approaching a juncture where governments will need to cede social control to a global Ai platform…and if so, what’s the payoff?  Risks? 

Think of this is a kind of “latter-day virtual Technocracy.”  In other words, since humans are losing control, how do we take existing methods and “best practices” are get ahead of the problem?

Since I’ve been involved in a cyber security project, the need to look-ahead and make conscious decisions about the Man-Machine Coexistence (MMC) question has really solidified.  Especially since my colleagues in the new venture are former ERP colleagues quite expert in their fields.

So “Peace with the Robots?”  Planetary Resource Planner? And how do we migrate that way?  After a few headlines and the ChartPack plus the crash date matrix we’ll lay it out…

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Yet another week of chaotic markets.  So this morning we’ll give you some ideas on how to noodle your way through figuring out what comes next.

It’s an imperfect process (or we’d all be rich by now) but any improvement over 50-50 seems worth pursuing…

After a few headlines and such…

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Yes…today’s “deep thinking” piece is about mathematical modeling.

But the really good news is that we will use hardly any mathematical terminology.  Other than some of the most basic functions anyone acquainted with Excel (and clones) can already deal with.

Because we are in the “great hunter” mode – trying to spot the tracks of the elusive Profit Beast.

Considering how much dough Wall Street firms have poured in over the years, this may seem like a hopeless endeavor.  Yet, we operate from the premise that it’s often possible to find useful trading adjuncts because so many people of high mathematical ability are plagued by a peculiar type of schotoma.  One that keeps the apparent hidden in plain sight.

So we calculate and speculate, but not until we caffeinate and hypothecate about trading the period ahead..

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