The fun resumes Monday, huh?
Markets like this are difficult to trade, especially when this may only be a first wave down. We have our eye on November 27th as a possible “bad hair day” for markets.
This morning, a few ideas about time and price as we roll through the charts and fine-tune our look for the period just ahead…
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This morning we make a steely-eyed assessment of a global move many Americans are missing: A new wave down of our Global Index is screaming that what we went through with the January and March wash-outs could be just foreplay.
There are a number of tools we apply to come to this notion. Not the least of which is our Peoplenomics “Brain-Amp” spreadsheet. This handy thinking-tool – that can be downloaded from the Master Index page. It allows you to put in the measurements of the A (or wave 1) Up or Down. It will then offer ideas as to where the Wave B (or 2) retracement should fall, make an estimate of C (or 3), toss out another retracement idea (4), and then offer a better-than-wild guess at how far off the top is, or if a declining wave like we’re in now, how far down the bottom might be.
A few headlines first, but coffee and a note pad is recommended when we get into the discussion today since the biggest impacting event in the USA may be the rest of the world pulling us down with ’em.
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A novel thought has crossed my mind while looking at the data – and particularly in retooling our “trading Golem” this week.
Not completely original – since the idea is there in some of Didier Sornette’s work (see Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems ). But, so far as I know, there’s been little longer-term cycle study.
Arcane? Maybe…but that’s on the agenda as well as laying out a research plan after we roll through the few headlines worth mentioning.
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Peace with the Robots? A Life Resource Planner to better use global resources? Sounds a bit sci-fi, to be sure, but we may have no choice.
Today on the UrbanSurvival side, I offer a few public comments about the Lifealyzer concept, That is: Are we approaching a juncture where governments will need to cede social control to a global Ai platform…and if so, what’s the payoff? Risks?
Think of this is a kind of “latter-day virtual Technocracy.” In other words, since humans are losing control, how do we take existing methods and “best practices” are get ahead of the problem?
Since I’ve been involved in a cyber security project, the need to look-ahead and make conscious decisions about the Man-Machine Coexistence (MMC) question has really solidified. Especially since my colleagues in the new venture are former ERP colleagues quite expert in their fields.
So “Peace with the Robots?” Planetary Resource Planner? And how do we migrate that way? After a few headlines and the ChartPack plus the crash date matrix we’ll lay it out…
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Yet another week of chaotic markets. So this morning we’ll give you some ideas on how to noodle your way through figuring out what comes next.
It’s an imperfect process (or we’d all be rich by now) but any improvement over 50-50 seems worth pursuing…
After a few headlines and such…
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Yes…today’s “deep thinking” piece is about mathematical modeling.
But the really good news is that we will use hardly any mathematical terminology. Other than some of the most basic functions anyone acquainted with Excel (and clones) can already deal with.
Because we are in the “great hunter” mode – trying to spot the tracks of the elusive Profit Beast.
Considering how much dough Wall Street firms have poured in over the years, this may seem like a hopeless endeavor. Yet, we operate from the premise that it’s often possible to find useful trading adjuncts because so many people of high mathematical ability are plagued by a peculiar type of schotoma. One that keeps the apparent hidden in plain sight.
So we calculate and speculate, but not until we caffeinate and hypothecate about trading the period ahead..
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We skip the politics of insanity this morning to focus on our highest value: Namely, using longwave economics and an assortment of analytical tools to take a reasonable guess at the future.
We don’t have to be 100% right; just somewhat so, in order to shade our outcome well ahead of the financial average….
So, after headlines and coffee…back on task…
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Philosophy of Finance today: Want an alternative to the Federal Income Tax system that’s in place now? You have come to the right place because we’re rolling one out.
Why, coupled with our plans to tax human replacing robots (defining everything with more than 8K of RAM equivalent as an income tax generating human-replacer) – it means we should have plenty of jobs around when the Second Depression arrives and the our new tax scheme will ensure no one is a profiteer during the hard times to come.
First, however a few headlines and the charts to get the day rolling…
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Back to the “meat and potatoes” this morning as we focus on what we think lies ahead based on wave counts, news flows, channel development, international money flows, and where we are in the economic longwave.
Also, a long extract from my new book that comes out on Monday….
A few headlines as warm up, but our real focus today is on the longer-term (slow-motion) decisions that make money….
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Yeah, I know: “What does this have to do with long wave economics?”
Well, EVERTHING. Since not only is there the fine print of live that says “Must Be Present to Win” – but there’s also the matter of planning when, how, and in what asset classes to deploy your hard-earned game points.
So, this morning, a peak at some of the most recent science and how it may impact some of us who would not only like to “beat the market” but who would like to “beat death” for a while, longer, too.
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We have an interesting opportunity for subscribers to pass along.
One of my colleagues is doing some experimental forecasting and is looking for traders who are interested in being involved.
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The ongoing revelations about forces within the US Government – Department of Justice planning and plotting against President Trump should be shocking-enough.
But, what’s even more shocking, is that this is really the third long-wave economic timed coup d’état attempt has occurred in America.
What’s more, in the next most recent attempt, the NY Times was the lead apologist new agency! Yet again, history repeats!
Some bitter historical fact-finding plus a few headlines and the outlook for the market next week from our charts…now that CenturyLink has finally gotten our dual DSL “pipes” back up to speed…Our deep thanks to C/L techs Alan and Mark in particular for their persistence (and tolerating the “Ire of the Outback”) over this.
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Pardon the long report this morning – something on the order of 5,000 words woth. But we have some intriguing new ideas about physics that may have some break-through level payoffs.
Q-P is Quality Potentiation and it turns out to be an under-studied part of three kinds of science: Electrical, Mechanical, and Acoustical. Perhaps, it’s been “hidden” by economics in the sense of interdisciplinary studies fly in the face of specialization of labor.
Regardless of convention, we’re off into that field today after a few headlines and our market analysis as we lookwith fresh eyes at the common ground between genius, UFO’;s, prayet, and pyramid-building.
OK, if you insist, then, religious experience, too…
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