2DH Project: A Jaundiced Look at “Savings”

The 2DH project is code for our Second Depression Handbook which is, in turn, a collection of Peoplenomics reports and outlooks on how what the world ahead may look like when the big Debtberg we have been watching melt since 2000 finally rolls over and sinks the civilized world – such as that is.

This morning’s focus – after a few headlines and chart, we will dig into planning for the brave new world which may turn out to look like a brave old world from an earlier time…

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Elections 2016 – Tuning Your Financial Plans

Do we care who wins the Presidential Election?
No, not particularly.
BUT we are are in a unique position now to begin collecting notes on how the seeming finalists will pull the levers in Washington, if they are elected.
And that is actually an early preview of what could become very useful personal financial planning data for next year.
Of course there are other markers, as well.  So we open this morning with a few remarks about the adventures of the Teamster’s Central States Fund.  Believe me, there is a major economic planning marker in there if you think about it…

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Update: The Weekend Posting Schedule

Peoplenomics.com will be updated around noon- 1PM Central Saturday.

This is due to the on-going eye saga. And if you’re interested in that, I will post an update Sunday Special on the UrbanSurvival.com site.

We will then hope to roll into whatever passes for normal around here next week.

Like the doctor says, Thanks for your patients…

The Only Options Left?

This morning we pick up on where we visited in the UrbanSurvival column Tuesday:  The looming collapse of multiple pension systems.

Oh, sure, we can make a case that banks are never too big to fail.  But what happens if the next round of economic collapse brings us head to head with deciding how to deal with long-term pension obligations?

This morning we look at two possibilities to solve for “X” – neither of which will make everyone happy.  But at least in an economic sense, they are a start on that road to fixing America, again.

No, we will not Trump you to death.  There are much more interesting things ahead – like the employment data beginning to leak out.

And oh, yeah:  The Futures are indicating that the Dow will open down 100, or so.  And this will make it two-in-a-row for our fearless Monday Call.  Soft start and turn around today?

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Synthetic Economic Growth?

Maybe it was something in the drugs the anesthesiologist was pushing Thursday, but an incredible moment of economic insight slapped me up-side the head on Friday while the market was tanking.
What if economic growth is all simulated and nothing is as it seems.

We get into that in today’s report, along with a few headlines and the best cliff-hanger of all (now being played in markets near you…)  Is this a correction or is something really “evil this way coming?”  Some damn fine questions, even if the answers are still, as of this moment, incomplete.

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Standing by the the Fed Decision

With eye surgery tomorrow, wearing a baseball cap to control light, squinting a bunch and instilling eye drops prior to surgery, we are sticking with our core this morning:  Long wave prospects for the economy and our personal incomes.

Years back, we evolved a strange view of fractured markets that comes down to this simple idea:  While investing in the Dow might have made sense in a time when there were arguably only about 100 big companies in America that made sense and could be averages, in modern times – and with thousands of companies in each of dozens of countries, average analysts can be led woefully astray by single market myopia. 

With the Fed decision due out this afternoon, we will focus a bit this morning on the Personality of various market stages and ask aloud where we might be now.

After a headline or two, of course.  Starting with where the “ayes” had it in sillytics.

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Are Fed Decisions “Tradable Events?”

It may seem like questing after a unicorn, but then again, that’s what a lot of investment research is:  Going through the trash (mountains of data) and thinking the Hope Diamond might be in there somewhere.

But that’s how we roll around here:  While the longer views of history can be pretty good with enough diligence, so can taking the opposite tack – Superficial and Big Picture matter, too.  Looking through the repeating events for signs of something useful to bet on….er….invest in…it all kinds of fun.

The only difference between a compulsive gambler and a leverage-oriented investor is what, exactly? Difference in casinos, maybe?

At any rate, Ures truly sifts a mountain of data and comes up with a gem…if it works out…but first some headlines to rattle us back to consciousness.

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The Time Dimension of Investing

We have good news and bad this morning.

I went off looking at data on the time scales of investing and instead came to a whole different result.  It was an unexpected observation.

Specifically I found what may be a “hostage moment “to come when the Greater Depression (be patient, soon come, compound interest guarantees it!) shows up.

When the D2 gets here, this “hostage moment” could be used by the Global Caliphate to literally “flip the West” in ways we couldn’t even begin to imagine.

Until the coffee hit this morning.

And from there we get into the interesting observation.

First, however, headlines and a bagel.

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D-Week for Markets Ahead: Forest or Trees?

After a most interesting week of vision problems – which I won’t waste you time with, except to say that Peoplenomics will not be deterred easily and things are in “critical mode” right now – what we have this weekend is about as close to a “fork in the road” for markts as you’ll find.

Rather than get into an overly long discussion of some esoteric points of history, we will simply look at the market and see what is there to be seen – because when Fed decision time comes up this week, we could see a violent melt – either up, or down – depending on how the Fed makes the interest rate call.

A few headlines, but then into the thick of it, starting with “The Forest and the Trees Problem” that faces everyone when it comes to making investment decisions.

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A Course in Moneymaking: Can "Good Investing" Be Taught?

This morning we explore an outline of how I’ve come up with a trading approach that I am willing to commit some real money to. 

Not that I expect to become overnight “rich” by doing so, but after almost 50-years of interviewing financial experts and a ton of personal learning, I’ve come to the conclusion that making money in the markets is not really all that tough.

What IS tough is the personality aspect of investing.

So this morning we begin with what could easily turn into a book-length discussion because I want to try and pull together a lot of different investment concepts into some kind of “whole cloth” that will make sense both to the professional investor, as well as the person who doesn’t have the 50-years it has taken me to gather all this.

In the end,  we find some “rules of money” and about “rules of investment” and basics of several kinds of “technical analysis.”  But the toughest enemy of all in life – and investing – is ourselves.

After some headlines and coffee, and the ChartPack, of course, I’ll tell you what my personal Book of Truth is all about….

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Investing–With IRS???

OK, what does a sailing story, negative interest rates on the horizon, and how to save money for quarterly IRS payments have in common?

By the end of this morning’s report, you’ll know the answer and an interesting outlook.

That is after our ChartPack and a look at the latest solar cycle predictions, which make it appear as though Ma Nature could hand the climate change promoters some difficult weather to deal with.

As we’re fond of mentioning, the MSM has never been a herd to let the facts stand in the way of a good story.

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Why are [important] People “Looking Up?”

For a second time in less than six months, one of our sources is talking about looking to developments in deep space.

As you will recall, a special Halloween edition of Peoplenomics pointed out that the most celebrated holiday in the world is that — Halloween.

We also went into the reasons – including events of approximately 15,380 years ago.

Now (and this is something of an I-Ching inbox moment, another well-placed source has noticed something, well, not outright ODD per se, but sure at heck worthy of our attention.

No, this is not a Planet X report, but it does have our deep space antennae up.

Also this morning, I unveil a new crack-pot theory.  Shakespeare may have been a time traveler.

I’ll explain the rationale behind that one, too.

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The Coming War in Korea

With the coming market decision whether to rally on and confirm Wave 5 up, or do a vicious decline to finish IV down around the 1,740 S&P level, we see how “neoconic forces” have been hard at work setting up another war.  This time by starving our North Korea.

That in itself wouldn’t be so bad, if only the Obama administration has not placed increased social spending and embracing “The Immigration Stimulus” at a higher priority level than maintaining military strength and keeping borders around the Homeland.  Oh well, I quit politics this week.

Still, the facts do support an elevated risk of war in Korea over the next several months and again, inter-administration political operatives at the State Department seem to have their eyes set on the failed “regime change” concept which has spectacularly failed elsewhere.

So hang on for the ultimate economic stimulus for markets – war mongering – as the legacy of this administration is failing at most other levels… 

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