Uncategorized

You see, Life is kinda like that point in checkers where you can move anywhere, but so can your opponent.  In order to win, the key lesson is always being “one jump ahead.”

Except, we don’t habitually think in this aggressive, in charge, pro-active mode.  People just react to “whatever” and that’s a shortcut to losing as we see it.  As we lay out in the latest chapter of my latest book, serialized as it’s being written for Peoplenomics subscribers.

But we won’t get to that until after the “action points” of the day which includes the ADP job numbers, a sit-rep on MessWorld and well over a dozen charts.

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

We make more money being short the market. But in the short term some NY Fed data out Friday bears a closer look. Which we will do as well as we size up the rest of the economy.

I think the bottom line might surprise you. It did us.

Then we’ll review the real-life inflation data which the Universe served up this week in our Focus section. It was a chance to see where real inflation takes place.

A short two-cupper it is…

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

With Bitcoin scrapping at the $40,000 level, we ponder where all the made-up Covid money will eventually take root.  Some of it has gone into plain-old higher prices, sure.  But the charts are interesting.

Another chapter in my latest book Building a Personal Ark is shared,

And what morning would be complete without a side of politics, and a dash of war?

The new America is sure acting a lot like the old one, isn’t it?

Bring your reading glasses this morning. 18 charts to go over….

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

Yes the market roared higher but our charts tell a different tale. One which is oddly different than the mainstream view.

Plus we also go on a swing through woo-woo land.  Where adventures in The Realms were teaching us how to poison a real estate foreclosure, about a major city earthquake to come, and a major electronics acquisition due Wednesday of this week.

Obviously, that’s all “just crazy” but then we get to the “But Wait! There’s More!” part.  A first look at how drones are now in position to replace radio towers.

May be down to 19F on the thermometer again, but the brain cells are still on fire…

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

Busy but cold as we roll into the ChartPack this morning.  After that, another chapter of Building Your Personal Ark.

Our column review of headlines will be somewhat abbreviated due to the weather. But we will have Retail Sales and the Trade data.

Weather here is supposed to warm up into the 40’s later on.  But we likely lost the tomato plants in the greenhouse even with the diesel heat on.  They just don’t like cold temps.  Still, been gathering lots of useful vegtel along the way. Never a plant lost without teaching us some of the errors of our gardening plans.

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

With all the Global Warming shills missing, we ponder another angle to cold weather: Trading risks for the small investor.  Because out here, those are very real considerations.

We won’t just look at “How do you trade with the power down.”  Goes a lot deeper than power, my friend.

Which we will get into as we look at the weather maps for what’s coming and George layers-up for a run into town for “pre-emptive supplies” that include things like PVC and CPVC pipe caps.  You just can’t be too prepared on winter weekends like this one looming.

Is it a little silly to frame “offshore storm tactics” with onshore day trading in markets?  Well, no, not this week. Not around here, anyway.  The template is pretty similar when you start thinking about it.

At any rate, purely a chart based discussion this morning because we are in an inflection zone where any of three possible future tracks will be decided in the coming week or two.  We’ll explain.

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

You study the UrbanSurvival site, you read G.A. Stewart’s take and finally come to it: Time to “Get out of Dodge.”  Well, except for one thing: You don’t know how, exactly. Because getting out, even if you have time (when time comes, so to speak) is not likely to work unless you have laid in plans well ahead of time.

As part of my latest serialized book for Peoplenomics subscribers, Building Your Personal Ark, we take off this morning on the “getting out part”.  We look at cars, RV’s and even the “going Mountain Man option.

First though, we have to take a swipe at how the world is really working while we wait for the smelly stuff and the fan to collide.

After which, I will go back to wondering who put lines of HTML source a report that says  simply <musk>. Yeah, things are getting ever stranger as we roll…

By the way, Great Comments from G.A. Stewart in the UrbanSurvival comments overnight.  Go read his latest here.

Two cups worth, today. Maybe even three.  Not counting charts we’re over that 7,000 word range again..

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

The next couple of weeks will likely be critical for the markets as well as the Future in general. The reasons are numerous and that’s our high level view of life on earth as we focus on the overarching issue.  Which is?  “When’s the right time to Take the Money and Run?”

Which ties into the next chapter of “Building a Personal Ark” which I cranked out another 33-pages on Friday, so plan on a longish report next Wednesday.

How about we begin with this?

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

Technology and sociology are the weather forecasts of our Future. To have a great Future, check the forecasts!

Which is to say, if you’re planning a robust future, our chapter of Building a Person Ark today will be useful. It’s all about getting the Future right.  Do that and everything else is almost cake. Not in the next day or two maybe, but the bigger currents in society that work in slow-motion year long timescales will be on your side.

 We therefore consider the perspective of society-level changes. Which happens gradually, not usually overnight.  How are technology changes adopted and dispersed for example.  Work of four luminaries will be covered, as the rate of social progression is explored.

We can do this because the market is weak and on hold for the JOLTS report at 10 AM and the Fed Minutes at 2 PM today, we will consider the pickle traders have gotten themselves into, in our ChartPack.  Look up the word ursine.

Plus, as an extra bonus, the dream world logic behind our speculation that during World War II important experiments in psychology (and transcendence) may have gone missing from the historical record.  Yes, a woo-woo question brought over from the dream Realms.

At more than 8,000 words, today will be something of a deeper than usual dive.  Which happens when holidays allow too much computer time… Who needs 10,000 monkeys and the works of Shakespeare when there’s one George and the Internet, eh?

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

“Yes Natasha, Fearless Leader has been struck by a flare-up of Acronym Disease!“

Except that it happens to mean something useful: Offset Moving Averages. And it goes hand-in-glove with what we were talking about earlier this week on the (free) UrbanSurvival site.  About STM (Short-term Memory) and how the differences between STM and LTM may offer hints as to the evolving (and ever-changing) future of stock prices.

Which, in Ure’s real-life living of the movie Pi/. Wherein: “Unemployed number theorist Max Cohen, who lives in a drab apartment in Chinatown, Manhattan, believes everything in nature can be understood through numbers…” Thus explaining what drove Ure out of bed at 3 AM on what was ostensibly to be a “holiday weekend.”  All to audit spreadsheets and propose novel conclusions.

Some of which have to do with the nonlinear nature of the immediate future.   Perturbations in linearity of expectations at the pre-conscious level – even beyond that cloud of dread when nukes are at hand and wars are raging in headlines.

Which Future will, in finance, will arrive next Tuesday when the market hangovers are done for another little while. Like til next Friday.

You with me, bubba?

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

We hold the major Purpose of Life is the successive achievement of “perfect days.”  With 2023 wrapping up, we depart from the usual economic fare to contemplate what makes for a “Perfect Day” and engage in the task of stringing a lot of them together in 2024.

It hasn’t escaped our notion that as our interest in more Perfect Days has increased, so have the obstacles to their achievement.  Aging and pending collapse of the world into war and social entropy have done a dandy job in 2023 out-distancing aging.

Naturally, holiday week or not, we also serve up the usual.  Our snarly view of depressing news and the confounding market charts.  Which, while not back up to the (so far) all-time highs of 2021 on an Aggregate basis, seem to be making a hell of a run at it.

We shall see….

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

Of course, with this being a holiday weekend, we will still have our ChartPack.  Where you’ll see why I went short near the close Friday.

But there are a number of other items to cover, which we’ve lumped into “Useful Senior Tips” and I hope you find the discussion points useful.

Plus, it may be a good weekend to catch up on our Building a Personal Ark book, which is already somewhere north of 23-thousand words…

Warm up the coffee and let’s go, then…

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center

In our new book, The Personal Ark, we tackle what kind of personal data resources you may need if (or when) we experience GHD (grid, hard down). There are lots of considerations. some of which are non-apparent.

This assumes, of course, that you’re a second-level prepper.  A first-level person focuses on basic food, water, and shelter issues for some period of time.  But the second-level prepper then goes on to figure a transition to a permanent state of being without commercial resources.

The dividing line is whether you have seeds, gardening tools and viable plans and knowledge.  If you do, you’re a second level prepper.

As you can tell, there’s a huge gap between eating what’s on hand and growing, hunting, fishing, and trapping to get the rest.

So, toward this end, a discussion of how to structure information support for that kind of world.

First though, looks like the Colorado Don Ban will go to the US-SupCo and will California try it, too?

Plus, there’s that rousing rally which we’re watching from the sidelines.  Stick around, going to be an interesting Holiday ahead.

More for Subscribers ||| Missing out?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!!! ||| Subscriber Help Center