Living in the “Land of More”

An exercise in Future Forecasting comes into view. We take a concept from our “Invention Day” last Sunday and explore whether we can make a reasonable future forecast based on changing differential growth rates.

If that sounds daunting, don’t run away and hide.  Because, dear reader, you too are living in the Land of More.

This has not only driven our selection of an economic system (grow or die) but also as structural limits to “Moreness” come into view, we will have additional future change to cope with.

Maybe, at the end of the day, economist Lester Thurow will be more right than wrong in his book “The Zero-Sum Society: Distribution And The Possibilities For Change.”

This will be an especially useful report for people trying to break out of the perceptual  trap “Understanding only through contrast.

After a few headlines and the chart stack, as well.

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The Case for Hyperinflation

There is only one way out of Depression:  Destroying savings. However, there are two ways to go about that.

In this morning’s report, we lay out what looks to us like a coming hyperinflation.  It has some amazing implications for life and investing.  We’re moving into the economic Twilight Zone.  Where things of no value are priced infinitely high. Doubt it?  Looked at cryptos?

A few headlines first, but then an in-depth ChartPack section.

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Tools: Website Development

Peoplenomics readership is pretty broad and many of our readers are involved with the web. Some at the executive level, some as content providers, and others in marketing and sales.

So,a  periodic discussion of how to assess, build, and analyze websites is something we have a real interest in.

Our technology is not “the hottest licks” out there.  But, it does get the job done.  In fact, before the year is out, we will be switching our subscriber content from traditional hard-coded HTML (which has a lot to recommend it) to the current “responsive design” concepts.

A few headlines about “Where’s the damn war?” And the morning ChartPack.  Then a forward look at the web, how to assess and how to plan for an internet challenged world if the web becomes a war zone. And Social Media falls apart killed by it’s own egoic excesses.

Which we’re kinda figuring on…

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Life Loops and Investing

Yes, an odd topic, but one useful if you are troubleshooting bad trading. To get started we’ll go over some macro-basics.  Then adapt to trading analysis.

After, that is, a few morning data points, the “war check” in eastern Europe.  And, of course, the ChartPack of the stock market which is off running competition with the ISS in terms of altitude, lately.

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Real Estate Trends

In our usual look-ahead way, we assess a couple of trends you may be able to use to advantage in coming years.  Both having to do with real estate.

In addition to this morning’s selection of news (and fresh international trade results) we are also throwing a party as the Aggregate Index has (finally!) peeked above the old all-time high set February 12th.

We also won’t miss a few data points about war in the wings.

Normal coffee loading should suffice, though.  Spring and the season of optimism is here and now.

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Charts and Notes

Happy Easter.  An odd assortment of items today. We consider the perils of investing in a market gone vertical.  Plus some notes on rolling headlines including the odds of war in eastern Ukraine where limited fighting is reported.

We tend to run shorter columns when people are “familifying.”
A cup of coffee and much to think about, especially in financial aspects and the market.  Because It has Risen.

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Alt. Investments (2)

We continue looking at the wide range of investments today by looking at tangibles.  After (in part 1) seeing the only real (enduring) wealth is that between your ears.  If there is anything to “souls” and afterlife, then your carry-out from life is in your memories.
Even once we’re taken out “paper” investment vehicles, there’s still a problem on how to classify those that remain.
Which we will tackle promptly after a few headlines including the ADP Jobs reports and a look at charts.
Bean up – we’re in motion…

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From “The War Student’s Notebook”

Main item today, one that could pop from China, the Middle East, and/or Ukraine.  Sure, we will also do more of that *(boring) making money stuff.  But war.,..sheesh!  Impacts everything.  So, we get a bit exercised when risks build…

We will pick up our next episode of “Alt. Investments” this coming week.  That’s a touchstone topic because there is a balance in life between having fun, nurturing personal growth, and being in love on the one hand and “making sure the checks don’t bounce” on the other.

Today, war worries.  Which we will jump into after a few headlines springing from overnight events.

Reminder: Only four trading days next week due to Good Friday.  Passover begins at sundown tonight.

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Alt. Investments (1)

It’s not ALL about money.  Oftentimes, you can both invest and get some real pleasure out of experiences, people, and things.  Useful to think about, several times per year, we look at some unconventional ways to retain some personal earnings.

While some of these will have tax consequences, they will also offer an incredibly high payoff in “fun factor.”

So put down that mining workstation spec sheet and grab a Telecaster instead.

Because around here, the value chain starts with Love in the Heart at the top, and up there with it is Fun.  Money?  That filthy lucre?  Way down the list!

There’re “inside assets” (in personal RAM) that do follow you into the afterlife.  Then there are external assets that don’t – and no, bank balances don’t follow you.

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Rollover Now? Or Higher?

As much as theory attracts us, there’s nothing like a series of multiple trades – each with small profits – to work in the direction of eventual retirement. Admittedly, this is not the most popular theory on investing.  But in keeping with our evolving view that the stock market, Bitcoin, and damn near everything else is more a gamble than a reasoned judgment, it’s the lens (with long wave cycles) that we look through.

This morning, a focus again and charts and where we could be going from here.  One outcome – as you might imagine – is lollypops and roses.  The other involves a rotating set of fan blades and odiferous material impacting.

As you’ll read:  We’re fans of fans, right now.

After a few headlines.  Delivered in a sardonic, yet sure-footed way.

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Periodicity Within Collapse

By some measures, the stock market is at new highs this week. However, by other measures it is not.

This morning, some “notes to a colleague” on periodicity within collapse micro waves.

Not as simple as “Get ready to relive the collapse of the Soviet Union (1988-2000) here.  But, very much worth considering because the “Gambler’s Paradox” is likely to play out differently in America than in what’s now Russia.

A few headlines and such, then down the rabbit holes of finance we venture, again.

But, I must apologize (in advance) for the length of this morning’s column which is all over the place.  Including a couple of snips of woo-woo; one of which involves an earthquake…an yes, in Atlanta overnight, the “Murder Cycle” showed up…

On a cheerier note: Happy St. Patrick’s Day.


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A Climate Note to the Heirs

It’s easy to have “right now” views.  But, how’re they going to look 10-50 or 100-years out?  We “seasoned citizens” are supposed to have a clue on this stuff.  But on issues like climate, urban sprawl, soil depletion and disappearing fresh water?

In the Ure family – not over-done just usefully sized – is a kind of Father to Son downloading process.  Learning to look real-time at what might be useful in our (senior view, remaining 7,300 days of) Life.  And passing on some ideas beyond that for those who follow. Short-range to long term.

As my Danish grandmother often reminded:  “Our Children are Our Immortality.”  (Immortality is in a world a trouble, ain’t it?)

Today some ideas on (as Garner-Ted used to say) on the approaching “World Tomorrow.”  But not until after headlines and the ChartPack.    Current balances matter, too.  Someone has to cut the checks to buy tomorrow, after all.  The heirs will get their turn…but not just yet.

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