Prepped: Tuning the Bug-Out Plan

Since the odds of a North Korean first-use are slowly rising over time, we present a rather longish discussion this morning of the factors you will want to be considering (pre-planning) now since at the last minute you’ll be busy.

So we run through the whole McGillah – including the shared Life Plans, the general bug-out case, the nuclear plume dispersal models, and wind shifts that impact fallout and how to model those simply using publicly available information.

Toss in a few headlines and more than a dozen charts and….well, consider this your mid-week book.

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Dead or Useless, I: Retirement and Real Estate Reality

The first of a two-part series today on some of the real problems of seniors (including us) as we look at what’s ahead.

We will consider inflation data from the Depression era and run some numbers on differently times exit strategies which may give you some useful ideas.

First, though, a few short headlines and then into our ChartPack when the mania is alive and well both in markets and in Bitcoins.

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Why ETF’s Are Great (Until They’re Not)

Let me give you about 2,885 Words of Caution.  Yes, this morning’s Peoplenomics runs a little longer than usual.  But with good reason.

You see, I’m going to show you why in a Crash, you may not want to be playing in the levered ETF game. 

That bit of bad news aside, we do have alternatives for how to “make a killing” on the way down.

First, though, a few headlines and our charts which all by themselves is worth the price of admission.

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Trading for Lunch Money, Micro Homes III

Not a particularly in-depth report this morning, but some very interesting topics. 

‘First up is a discussion of how I made some “lunch money” on this week’s dead cat bounce in the market.

Then a word or several more about Micro Homes, since my son is now actively thinking about building one.

A few headlines, and more coffee – then we’ll be into it.

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A Special Peoplenomics.com Update

I regret to advise regular www.urbansurvival.com readers that we will have to dispense with our usual charm, wit, and wisdom this morning because matters of a more pressing – long wave economic –  nature concern us today.

Specifically, certain market indicators and behaviors are of such magnitude that we have to scrap the free side this morning in order to give subscribers get the full benefit of our perspective on markets and long wave economic implications which has been evolving since 1997 when this site was founded.

I apologize, but for a quick read of the headlines, do visit our breaking news page here where you can scan though breaking financially-oriented news.

I anticipate a return to our regular format Friday.  Thank you for understanding.

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The Second Depression Timeline

This morning we present some extremely specific predictions – more like tentative trading points – which should evolve over the balance of this year.

No, we don’t rely on tea leaves or obscure code…just years of cumulative spreadsheets and data studies.

While we don’t offer “financial advice” per se, we do offer an outline of what markets presently are suggesting may be in our longer-term future.

This from the guy who blew out of his market long position at 2:31 PM Eastern Tuesday expecting the market ought to turn down…when it opens today…

Plus we offer some advice to the silly children of POJ – Pile On Journalism.

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Forget Hack Friday: Here’s Worse

Abstract: A novel form of warfare is proposed.

Having written about this kind of thing long ago (see my book: Broken Web: The coming collapse of the Internet, 2012) it is hardly surprising that we had something of a global hack on Friday.

It was one that most people could avoid with some simple personal emails rules, but we will get into that in a moment.

Point is, is you thought Friday was a bad day on the web, wait till we lay out a new kind of warfare that uses the web as its CC&T (control, command & telemetry) backbone.  Now we’d be talking about a new form of warfare.  We’ll explain the concept but only for subscribers.

First though, the charts and some headlines plus those personal email rules…So buckle up, bean up, it’s time to roll…

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DRM has a Bead on DIY

Say someone goes out and creates something.  Perhaps it’s an engine control system for a vehicle.  Maybe they write a piece of music…

How often, and how long, should creators be paid for that?  Welcome to the squishy world of Digital Rights Management.

That and a look at future price of Bitcoins today as we peer into the future.

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Dear (Rich) Millennial

Today we tackle on of the simplest of all questions in the world of investing:  Which is more important in the pursuit of becoming “rich?”

a)  Having a big pile of money when young, or…

b)  Having a plan for modest returns over a very long timeframe?

If you can look up from texting for a moment, some things to think about…Along with a link to the Warren Buffett  live stream this morning…

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Strategic Economic Relocation

Pretend for a moment it was the housing top in 2007 or the bubble top in 1929.  Would you have the balls (and economic justification) to sell your home, rent for a while, and then buy a much nicer home?

The question is not so simple, turns out.

First, though, a few news snips including a first hint at the jobs numbers which will be pouring out over the next couple of days.

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What Comes After the Fire Department?

Although it has been “the Fire Department” almost forever, it may be time to consider a rebranding effort because the scope of the fire service has changed dramatically.

This morning, a first chapter of a proposed book and a description of where it goes as the data is rolled out.  And subscribers will have an opportunity to send a “thumbs up” or “thumbs down” on whether the book is warranted.

First, though, we look at some mighty bothersome data from the Federal Reserve and a few headlines before marching into Chapter 1.

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Here Comes “Responsive Video”

God, I love history.

Not only have we been able to use it to line our pockets with modest (-1 to +3% per week) gains  (or tiny losses)  in the stock market, but in addition, we even know where to look for “the next generation of tech.”

So if this really is the analog to the 1928-1929 period, what was the New Tech that showed up (predictably) right at the pinnacle of the Roaring Twenties?

Why television, of course! Heard of it?  See Philo Taylor Farnsworth and 1927 here.

So it’s hardly surprising that “Responsive Video” is creeping into the public mind around the edges now.

But before we futurize, let’s monetize.  With some trend-drivers in the news and of course, that marvelous system of looking at markets we call the Aggregate Approach.

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Business Model Threat Analysis

What is a business model?

What constitutes a threat to a business model?

And why would you give a rip?

Seems a reasonable set of questions – the answers just ahead as soon as a few headline, the ChartPack, and the coffee is done.

The good news?

Business model (threats) are more than just an investment tool.  They can also save your career from long-term disaster.

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