2017: The Last “Civilized year?”

A “point and to the short” report this weekend since most of our subscribers will be too busy counting up the gains for the year and engaged in tax planning and such.

Nevertheless, an intriguing question has arisen from this week’s trading and we need to consider some of its implications.

So only a few headlines, but a lot of chart commentary this morning as we try to sort through the messy relationship between headlines and bottom lines…

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The Tripwires of 2018

We have again seen a spectacularly correct year in our outlooks for the market.  Importantly, we have also grown our ability to ‘get it right’ this year on several fronts.

But we won’t make a foolish forecast of optimism overall, although that was an easy call last year.  The reason?  We have a large (and growing) number of tripwires to be wary of in 2018.  Any one of them could provide the critical prick to blow-out the stock bubble.  And no question, but that Wall Street has its full complement of pricks….

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Working in The Realms

There is something special about this time of the year, alright.  But has little to do with wrappings and trees.

I refer to the project each of us own, that is, to work on our “inner realms” while we work out way through life on this plane.

This morning, a short but quite remarkable sequence about ‘dream work’ because sometimes, there are things more important than money.  After headlines and charts, of course.

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Mastering a Third Matrix

There’s something stirring inside me – and no, not eggnog or sourdough pancakes. 

It’s another book…and a follow-on to The Millennia’s Missing Manual: What School Didn’t Teach and What Old People Didn’t Explain.  Although this book is extremely useful, even when coupled with another great book on “matrix thinking” skills,  And Suddenly the Inventor Appeared: TRIZ, the Theory of Inventive Problem Solving, there is still another critical matrix to conquer.

So, we set our sights on that mountain after we revel a bit in the Santa Rally afterglow and look in on a few headlines.

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Notes on Home Automation

We delve into an interesting trend in today’s report:  What’s the future of home automation?  Shoot; let’s try some on and find out!  Yee-haw…

We have plenty of media models (auto-opening doors on the Enterprise, for example) but we look at some of the other issues involved.  After headlines, charts, and a few snide remarks along the way…

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Our 2017 Christmas Letter

In higher education circles it would be called an SER (self-evaluation report) and people would read it knowingly.

This morning we review how well our market model has done this year (amazingly well, BTW) and we consider a bit of what’s ahead for 2017.  But, not before some talk of the new CPI data (which sucks) and plenty of coffee and charts…

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A New Economic Paradigm?

This morning we take a jaunt into the very heart of economic thought.  We’ll be looking at the component-level as to what “makes up” price discovery.

What we come to is the idea that we have emphasized the wrong thing. E.G. the existing paradigm has promoted high unit-volumes of goods.  But, QUALITY has been abandoned because of our belief that “more work is good.”  With Robotics on the horizon, this is plain stupid thinking.  Which we will discuss more deeply after some headlines and where the charts and models have us heading next week..

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What’s NOT in "Dimensions Next Door"

Ure is tired this morning — that’s what happens when one stays up all night and talks on CoastToCoastAM with George Noory.  As a result,, this morning we will have a blissfully to-the-point discussion of the charts and the new book (and print edition with free Kindle version) is just out, Dimensions Next Door: Hacking Space-time

You see, the problem is I left something out – and it’s important.  So we will get to that after a few headlines and a look at the market..

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Crooked Thinking on the "National Debt"

This morning we explain how the fabled $20.5-trillion in national debt is really more like $61-trillion in debt.

And since we’re in such a dandy, caring, sharing, and giving mood, we will also explain how the supposed Tax Cut passed by the Senate really screws everyone and will at far more than the MSM-hyped $1.4 trillion.

We sure know how to have fun, don’t we?  Gnosh-up, bean-up, and off we go…

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Is Bitcoin a "War Substitute?"

Here is a question that will intrigue you if you look for any length of time at Long Wave Economics.  Are there substitutes for ‘war’?  If so, how would government test-bed an economic substitute?  Not too many hints should be needed:  Simply think Satoshi.’  The New World Order’s plan to take down the financial system of sovereign countries.  One World, here we come…

After some headlines and coffee, we inspect the Long Wave and notice where the WTC/9-11 happened and where Bitcoins were introduced.  Two data points doesn’t make a trend but should it raise questions while we can still ask?

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The “Secret River”

This past week, I was telling you about how it seems to me  that there is a distinct lack of “adventure” in America among the Millennials.

Sure, life’s hard, sorting out what gender and which of umpteen programming jobs they want.  But after the charts today and a few headlines, a real treat.  A buddy of mine who lived out in “them thar hills”  (and is another old man of the web) shares one of the most interesting tales of adventure you’ll ever here.  So, throw another log on the fire…

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Trump’s Tumbler

With a year from the election of Donald Trump, it’s time to begin work on our economics (and therefore market) outlooks for 2018.

As a starting point for this seasonal review I wanted to begin this morning with a look at two years of data in order to assess whether economic  progress has been “real” or “perceptual.” 

After coffee, headlines and those damn bullish charts that as of last week had been calling this bull market run spot-on for over a year..

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