City-States in the Cross-Hairs

Last week we gave Peoplenomics readers a first look at our book Downsizing Today, a follow-up chapter. This one deals where to live and we go through a lot of choices.

Key thing is the logic and seeing how the modern city-states work and how states are slowly having their powers diluted through local option taxes and policies that are sometimes counter to federal laws…

A few headlines first and the ChartPack which ponders which way things will break next.A health note:  We now know the answer to “Can you still wear your CPAP gear after oral surgery (gum line) on an impacted root of a premolar?”

Um…no…not and get any sleep, that is… (Talk about the use case for drugs…)

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Zipper-Gripper Market and Book Release

“A zipper-gripper? Really?”
Yeah, really. Because when markets start making that nervous metallic skreee sound — the kind where the handle’s caught halfway up and the teeth aren’t quite aligning — it’s not a bad time to ask whether someone’s about to get… well, you know. (R-17? “Screwed!)

The ChartPack this week? Let’s just say it’s looking suspiciously “double-toppish.” One of those moments where market optimism might be running on Red Bull, but gravity — that stubborn, mean old sonofabitch — hasn’t had its say yet.

We’re sniffing around the edges of a setup that feels less like a breakout and more like a trap door with shiny hinges. But hey, while the crowd’s watching their 401(k)s wobble, we’ve got real news.Because today’s a bigger milestone than another sketchy market peak: it’s New Book Day. The long-awaited Downsizing: Missing the Collapse of Empire is officially live, and it’s not some sleepy memoir. It’s part economic field guide, part survival map, part cathartic howl from the sidelines of the Empire’s slow-motion train wreck. For readers who’ve ever asked “What the hell happened to common sense, dignity, or a functioning middle class?” — this one’s for you. Today we look at the charts. But more importantly, we look at how to chart your way out.

That may require sliding some pieces around, though.  Comments by the Fed, Musk, and the Big Bountiful are in motion in what’s that support the underlying reason behind downsizing.

The inflation monster is out and it’s coming for us all. Don’t think you can live on 80 percent of your income now?  Give it some time – you’ll have to.

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Overstated Markets

Where we explain what a porn star technique has to do with the market and how holidays matter.  All as we creep up to the four day workweek ahead and the three day weekend that follows. A grand time will be had by all.  As long as you keep the news off.

This morning’s ChartPack is a bit long (3,200 words and 63 pages) but the public take away is that the Daily Aggregate hasn’t hit a new all-time high yet, while the weekly close has.  This is exactly why we cobbled up the Aggregate to clarify reality in times where directionality fails.

Well, except for the mindless hype, perhaps.

And don’t miss the Wax Witch report today. Mixes markets and Something Wicked This Way Comes into a nice readable cauldron’s worth of outlook…

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Calculus Class

Only this is a “calculus of near future.” not that miserable simultaneous equations crap.  Besides, if you follow our work, there’s a chance that consciousness has other ways than numbers to “understand Big Picture” stuff.  We’ll save that for a different day.

Today’s calculus problem is simple – no numbers needed – just a good gut and a bottle of Maalox, maybe.

“Do you invest in War or Peace?” As we review in the ChartPack today, the odds are pretty well balanced.  Case for new all-time highs and a MAGA triumph is there. But so is the Israel nukes Iran to finish the job (and the country).  We figure tonight or tomorrow night may bring indicators on the live news streamers.

There’s also the little matter of where to from here?  See, in long wave economics, the history books suggest we get a Depression then a War.  But, we tackle that because as my consigliere appropriately worries, maybe there’s a “dark planet” or some celestial object which drives human behaviors and we just don’t get it, yet.

Pour a big cup today, my fellow lemmings.  We’re almost to the edge now…

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Pins, Needles, Nukes

Happy first day of Summer?  The world is holding its breath this weekend as events in Iran could take a turn either way.  Plus, more personnel discussions from the Decider in Chief.

In our ChartPack today, the mystery of the narrowed Bullish spread deepens.  And in one of our thinking pieces, we explore “The Reality Lock: Mechanisms of Transition from Dream to Waking Consciousness.”

Lots to think about while we wait to find out if the world is crazy enough to blow itself up!

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War – with Inflation to Follow

A slider of economic data to begin, update on the wars, but then into Inflation to Come.  Which, we think will be a big problem by the end of the year.  Because war’s aren’t cheap.

Toss in nearly two dozen views in our ChartPack and it’s a good time to be planning for “whatever follows.”

But the most important part of today’s report is the “Reader Advisory” – which will make sense when you read it.

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Cadence of War (and a book)

Two topics for the weekend: As we prepped for in detail in our last report, Israel attacked Iran this week.  But how fast this evolves (to resolution) or goes intercontinental is one area of focus this morning.

The other – as promised – is the PDF for subscribers of my latest novel (“The Eisenhower Memo“) and I’ll dish out some of the economics behind that, as we go along.

Plus there’s the ChartPack. Where, although we can’t suggest with any certainty that a “Wave 2 top is in,” current developments in the “sand box” are kinda/sorta pointing off that-a-way…

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Seatbelt Saturday

An ounce of Prevention column today ahead of the weekend. Which is when colliding ideologues could really light up headlines, social media, and light off a huge market decline if trigger-point events occur.

Before we get to that, however, there is the CPI figures just out.  And anyone besides us curious about the perp count from last night?

OK, we’ll find something on that but we have 24 charts to meander through, as well.

Tranquilizers and coffee – it’s the American way!

Which will make sense after you read our full strategic briefing for this morning.

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Crime Marches On

No, Peoplenomics is not going yellow journo on you. But every once in a while a crime comes along that catches Ure’s eye; there’s a systemic angle to it.

So we begin there today. Then back onto our regular path – Friday’s Consumer Debt report and the Jobs picture and CPI ahead.

Please more than a dozen charts on markets.  Only a single cup’s worth, it being the weekend and all.  Still, a gritty report and a worried glance forward.

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Gambling: On Electrons or Calories?

Brace for 2026: a world where money’s just paper, and survival hinges on food, water, and grit.  Oh, sure, the prelims are already underway,  But remember this is all foretalk before foreshock.

Later, as Iran-Israel clashes, Putin’s rage, and Ukraine’s nuclear risks collide with solar flares and fentanyl-laced groceries, global harvests could plummet 30%, starving millions. Drive you to drink? A century of neglected infrastructure will be cause for pause.  Even Elon Musk seems to have grown stones in the Halls of Power recently.

Here in East Texas, where hurricanes already test resilience, now and then, this article unveils our raw, no-BS playbook—think hydroponics, barter co-ops, and heirloom seeds—to outlast the chaos. Forget crypto or Wall Street; your pantry and skills are the real currency when the world goes hungry.

Dive in to learn how to hedge famine and thrive in a collapsing system. Which, we think, will come surprisingly fast. As it did during England’s Great Famine, for example…forget the 1300’s did we?

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Second-Half Risk Assessment

There is nothing like seeing home insurance premiums go up 30 percent while coverage’s are cut, to get us thinking about the whole “risk industry.”  With me grabbing for the green eyeshades and trying to find Diogenes in this industry (without much luck) what better time (one month from premium due date) than to see how the insurance industry has been changing. Not frot he better.

Why, I’m so old I remember when red-lining had somthing to do with race and real estate sales – and now it’s all about fire loss potential and real estate…

From there we move into looking at other risks, like “spontaneously combusting nuclear events…:” which, wouldn’t you know, is right around the fringes of what comes next.

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