As a subscriber, you already have my mailing address…so please pass it on to the Nobel Prize people.

I’m sure you will want to do this – after you read this morning’s dirt-simple explanation of the “new Reality” that the Fed just don’t seem to be able to get its arms around.

That, plus a discussion of the manic markets and the charts – the ones we don’t give out on the free site – plus coffee.  What better kind of Saturday could there be?

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The first 40-odd pages of “the next book” is up for subscribers to have a look at – and comments are welcome.  A second novel in my David Shannon adventure series is in the works, but I felt it was necessary to first write a non-fiction book to explain how some of the concepts central to the novel – working title is “Grav” – came to be.

As the balance of the book will explain, multiple hoola-hoops and electronics might get physics a lot further than CERN and cost only a small fraction as much.

Besides that, we’re eyeing the charts for what should be a near-by high to complete in the next week, or so, and we will discuss whether options prices predict the future.

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Can you learn to be a genius of the Buffett or Templeton class investor in three minutes?

No.

But what we can cover this morning will be a simple (non-numeric) approach that will use some of our charting techniques to avoid at least (we hope!) some of the major pitfalls and potholes.

That, plus coffee and a sandwich, why, what more could a reader desire?  I mean other than us showing you how the world ends in the fall of 2024, of course.

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Odds are you have never heard of it. 

There’s a reason for that:  It doesn’t run on any computer you own, unless you are a mighty power in mathematics (or an unspeakable math geek).

But there is a model that is driving government policy.  Since we’re in the midst of a stock market blow-off top, we thought it would be fun this morning to perspetivize an economic reality just under the public attention threshold.

Plus a few news snips, as the charts, of course.

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And other matters.

Today we look on how my $29,325 experiment is going (answer: Painfully!) and we talk about the next book up Ure’s sleeve.

Toss in a few headlines and yep – summer doldrums are here.

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If we were to take our money off the table at the close on Tuesday, it would be a $28,670 experiment and we would book a tax-loss carry forward to offset other gains earlier in the year.

But that’s the thing about investing in stocks:  Unlike roulette or other ‘games of chance’ the high art to investing is spotting WHEN to take the money (and hopefully profits) off the table.

It’s a two-edged sword, though:  If you had decided to ‘play the long game’ and had bought at the highs of 1929, you wouldn’t have gotten your money back until the 1950’s.  So our topic this morning is all about timing.

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It’s a topic that gets little to no play in prepping and doom porn sites. 

Yet, in the event of “an actual emergency” one of the major problems facing the U.S. is how to handle the people that would be displaced from unsustainable grid hard down conditions.

Today with ponder on that, plus toss in some headlines and give you the latest on our charts and their outlook for the future.

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The tragedy of San Antonio this week got us started thinking in some unusual ways as we looked at causes of – and future implications – of human trafficking.

People will go to great lengths to move to new areas.  Maybe there’s a business model in that?

Toss in the ChartPack and some headlines, and it’s all a mid-week brain-food stew.

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An intriguing question, for sure. 

A few headlines, one of our key indicators flashes a warning, and worries of falling food production from drought…

Just the stuff to get the mind on matters other than the battles of the Swamp Critters. 

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“Watcha gonna do when they come for you? Bad bots, bad bots…”

This morning we wander from Big Data, and Fat AI to the concepts that may birth Thin AI and then venture into some speculation about how that may impact future markets.

But first a few headlines, including Housing Starts, and why Ures truly didn’t execute his sell order Tuesday and remains long the market…

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Elaine and I are in Oklahoma this weekend to meet with Robin Landry, who as I’ve told you many times, is one of the best long wave (and Elliott Wave) gurus out there.

Because of the road trip, our report this morning will focus on just one thing:  How the  markets are doing exactly what we forecast and are working toward new highs.

But the real story is why and what to expect thereafter….

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What might make the pending Second Depression worse than the first is that we could have multiple systems crashing at once.

Not just a change of technology causing layoffs and bankruptcies in the farming set.
Oh, no, something much grander. 

Picture terrorism, energy, housing, and pensions blowing up as a kind of grand mal seizure…that’s the scent we’re on today.

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Yes, there are.

True, many of the world’s problems can be addressed – for a while – by adding layers of complexity.  No question.

But how many such layers of complexity can be “piled on?”  That’s the rub…

Toss this in with the charts and it’s a nice summer morning of deep thoughts… (How’s this for a to-the-point opening, eh?)

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