Scoring Our Trading Model

As we continue to pull bits and pieces together for 2014’s annual forecast, it’s time to see how well our Aggregate Index-based trading model would have done if you had done NOTHING but traded our timing model from last year about this time until present.  At a time when banks are paying a crummy 0.1% (or less) on savings accounts, this system has been a huge winner.  You oughta be impressed as hell when I run through the numbers with you.  As the gurus of “Big Data” will tell you “data trumps gut” almost every time and this year was a hard lesson for me in not trusting my own model!  First, though some headlines to size up how the rest of the world (the part not worried about making decent returns from investing) is holding out…

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