Historical Changepoints

A number of readers have asked me to write about how what’s come to be known as “prepping” helps a family to prepare for an economic depression.  You know another one is inevitable, I assume:  It’s what happens when the USA is forced to devalue the US Dollar because despite made-up statistical changes to our reported GDP numbers aside, the fact is that we’re quickly approaching the debt saturation point where we won’t be able to even make interest payments – let alone principal payments – to our creditors.  This means folks like China and they’re not likely to be too happy about us stiffing them.  But, before we get into that in detail in coming weeks, we need to develop a well-grounded perspective on the historical drivers of the arriving changepoint.  After headlines, coffee, and our review of this week’s  charts, of course.

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Colors of Money

Although I can fairly be accused of being something of a whiner about how the US
economy is managed, I’m usually right more than 50% of the time in the end.
And president Obama’s likely nomination of Larry Summers, if it happens, likely
would improve my batting average even further.
Nevertheless, I’ve come up with an idea this week which would – at a stroke –
make congress, the White House, and the American people seem 50 IQ points
smarter when it comes to money and economics overnight.  While you let that
one roll around in the noggin, we’ll stop to smell the headlines and the
coffee…Say, did I mention growth sucks?

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CJ’s Boolean & Investing in the Ganzfeld

This weekend, reader CJ in Connecticut (who sadly missed out meet-up back there  in June) has a very well thought-out question about how economics works…so we  will dig into that.  Then we’ll ponder how comparative risk between assets  classes may be starting to come loose from its moorings…and the ice cream  Saturday…er…sundae will be considering how to invest in the Ganzfeld.   Before going there, however, a twinge of Gestalt from our usual quick survey of  this morning’s headlines.  You’ll want to pay close attention this morning  because we’re going to use the news to do some ad hoc “Event scoring” as a way  to intuit the future and make better investment decisions…as we arrive at  another system of handicapping the future on our way to the $2-dollar options  window…

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