Do Charts Predict Future?

Can charts tell us what to expect this coming week? In several areas – cryptos, bonds, inflation, and war – we have concerns about what charts are telling us about the future.

An odd mix of regression channels, understanding how to apply the logistic function and implications of Elliott wave developments matter now.

This morning, after minimal headlines, we consider the integrated techniques of charting as we attempt to nail down the next major downside break in markets.

While the charts are instructive, events are running hard as fast on several fronts and major change for life on Earth doesn’t seem far away…

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American Deadwood

Election Day-After Limbo is a dandy time for this topic; voters have spoken and will change follow?  (No) The general topic around here this week has been “How many people” are really needed in a company?

There are several ways to approach the problem:  Big picture, sampling of various companies by sector, and even building up a business model for a “perfect business.”

Which, we grudgingly note, some of the “social media companies” had the potential to become.

Except, they too have hit the skids getting top heavy with deadwood.  All with the blessings of the “empire builders” in Human Resources departments.

Yes, how American business injures itself – sometimes fatally – isn’t hard to see.  As we will demonstrate after the election clean-up report and the ChartPack.

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“Crashlection” Week Outlook

When there is a “known” event of major magnitude on the way, markets often hint in advance what to expect.  This is most often done with price changes.  Markets running up ahead of an event are called “Buy the rumor” and the decline following is often labeled the “Sell the news” aspect.

With (at best) incompetents in both political camps, we would not be surprised to see one of the largest stock market moves ever, when the vote counting – and the demonstrations fire up – along about Wednesday this week.

In the meanwhile, Biden’s War in Ukraine has not been an issue as the democrat party runs on issues – like Trump and abortion – that aren’t on the ballot.

Notwithstanding, if you’re really delusional, the week ahead promises to be a real peach.

In the meantime, let me fill you in on how a major “come to Jesus moment” is arriving for the stock market as Gold has started a possible take-off run that could see its prices triple to quadruple from recent levels.

As we explain an underlying relationship few bother to think about.

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Industrial Rev #3

If the first Industrial Revolution was water and steam power, while the second has been electricity and network-pushed, what will NEXT look like?  It’s not a silly question, at all.  And since the World may fall apart based on global economic consequences of War, Sanctions, Asset-Stripped Money, and  little side issues like a die-off and radiation, the problem seems pretty real.

Before we get into the details (and this could become another chapter of my book The 100-Year Toaster as a final, final, I promise FINAL chapter) there’s a new way of “future modeling” I’ve come to which I think you’ll find a useful thinking tool, as well.

First, a few headlines about the nutty market which is trying to figure out which way the Federal Reserve will call future interest rates this afternoon.  We think higher.

But after the ChartPack and some headlines, a “blocking and tackling” exercise in what the “world after all this shit” looks like.

Inspired and with a hat tip reader/subscribers LOOB and BIC who are tasked with answering to grandchildren those fuzzy and imprecise questions.

Like “What should I be when I grow up, grandpa?”

Spoiler alert: First, you need a World…

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