Markets Eye Election Trigger

One of the questions that comes up often in our “Comments” section on the UrbanSurvival site is whether Elliott waves are really “useful.”

In fairness to people asking, the answer is Yes!  But you need to understand where the “civilian” confusion comes from.

This week, I spent some time with my friend Robin Landry who’s an expert on the wave structures.  This morning’s we will discuss how he can hold a different view than Robert Prechters when both are looking at the same data…

After some headlines and coffee, to make sure we get off to a good start..

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Time or Price?

The fun resumes Monday, huh?

Markets like this are difficult to trade, especially when this may only be a first wave down.  We have our eye on November 27th as a possible “bad hair day” for markets.

This morning, a few ideas about time and price as we roll through the charts and fine-tune our look for the period just ahead…

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The Global Depression of 2021?

This morning we make a steely-eyed assessment of a global move many Americans are missing:  A new wave down of our Global Index is screaming that what we went through with the January and March wash-outs could be just foreplay.

There are a number of tools we apply to come to this notion.  Not the least of which is our Peoplenomics “Brain-Amp” spreadsheet.  This handy thinking-tool – that can be downloaded from the Master Index page.  It allows you to put in the measurements of the A (or wave 1) Up or Down.  It will then offer ideas as to where the Wave B (or 2) retracement should fall, make an estimate of C (or 3), toss out another retracement idea (4), and then offer a better-than-wild guess at how far off the top is, or if a declining wave like we’re in now, how far down the bottom might be.

A few headlines first, but coffee and a note pad is recommended when we get into the discussion today since the biggest impacting event in the USA may be the rest of the world pulling us down with ’em.

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Longer-Term Market Breaks

A novel thought has crossed my mind while looking at the data – and particularly in retooling our “trading Golem” this week.

Not completely original – since the idea is there in some of Didier Sornette’s work (see Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems ).  But, so far as I know, there’s been little longer-term cycle study.

Arcane?  Maybe…but that’s on the agenda as well as laying out a research plan after we roll through the few headlines worth mentioning.

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