Our Future: Wahalaylias and Mind Maps

(Tacoma, WA)  A longer than usual report this weekend (don’t expect more than a brief update Wednesday) but more complete than most in that today we will not only embellish on our rather dismal outlook for the coming 10 year period, but we shall also share a few thinking tools and how we use them for analyzing complex situations.

And then we will get into the weird stuff – which after we work through a number of levels of analysis won’t seem all that weird, at all.

And that’s where we will discuss the Wahalaylia – a new kind of percussion device – that arrived as a dream while consorting with future spirits in a post EMP, post-DNA war world.

All over the board?  D’uh.  But somewhere along the continuum of complete hard science and the skill of the quants, all the way over to the shamans at the other margin whose hardest defined point is the human heart, is the place that will describe future.

Our task this morning is to identify that place.  And we’ll begin with a cocktail napkin concept mapping exercise, right after we wade through the headlines. 

Oh, and I tell you that at least one real honest-to-God investment strategist thinks our Trading Model has been pretty damn useful.

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Mapping the Next 10-Years

(Tacoma, WA)  After spending much of the past five days in a slightly depressurized space, with not much to do but spot the odd airplane here and there, and remembering to breath deeply at 8,500 feet, things just sort of started falling into place.  The future.

So this morning some reflections of a possible future – and one that has at least some circumstantial support.

But, before we get into this, we’ll have our usual dose of mid-week headlines and an update on our Trading Model, which continues to astound readers with its incredible accuracy predicting the market.

It’s like having tea leaves in 24-point Arial bold…  Next question is whether we like tea…

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The Bubble That Kills Us All

(Dodge City, KS)  This weekend’s report is in two parts.  This morning the Focus section on the bubble that will kill us all, and the charts.

Sunday morning (once we get up to Gillette, WY this afternoon) I will update the news and comment part of this weekend’s report.

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Robo-Shock: This Future ISN’T What You Think

Once again, as we sit twiddling our thumbs waiting for the Federal Reserve non-decision on raters today, we venture into the swamp of robotics as we try to see ahead through the haze; cast by a blizzard of press releases and hype.

What we know at the outset is that the Great Depression was largely caused by economic displacements.  Farmers, who raised draft animals, had their livelihoods ripped out from under them by “traction motors” (tractors, we call ’em nowadays).  This – coupled with a huge migration into cities and falling commodity prices due to mass production which was coming into its own, combined to totally trash the global economy.

This time around, we are seeing different kinds of migration (gender, illegals, drought-driven) and we’re seeing a different kind of job-minimization occur driven by business process computing and our friendly robotics.

This morning we vision a bit.  Then this weekend, we will ponder whether we get the deflationary collapse like the USA Great Depression experience, or whether the passage of TPP by Corporations which are all over it like white on rice will demand “reparations” from debt-stuffed civilian governments that will fire off a Weimar-like hyperinflation.

I think of this as the diabetic economy:  Blood sugar too low and you’re dead, blood sugar too high and…  Except instead of the sweetness of sugar, we’re dealing with the vinegary aftertaste of excess debt.

All of which leads to the question:  So now what?

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