Modeling 2015 Part 2: This is When?

imageThe nice thing about intellectual honesty is that it’s OK to make mistakes.  Especially when being suckered by history.  As it turns out, what our Trading Model is forcing us into, in light of recent action, is a complete reassessment of where we are on the calendar in terms of economic replays of great/catastrophic historical events.  But no, it doesn’t look like 2007-2008 was the all-time high as some readers have suggested.

Not that our postings on the replay of the Great Depression (since 1997) have been totally wrong:  They have been useful thought tools and we’ve made a little money along the way.

Still, “as the wheel turns” we acquire new information, such that the future is becoming more clear before us every day.

So toward that end, to wrap up a fine year where the “model has been righter than the gut” we outline a new way of looking at the great rhyme of history.  And as such, it offers an alternative that will be integrated into our outlooks going forward.  And that outlook includes some genuinely outlandish possibilities.

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Modeling 2015, Part 1

img409This weekend and next week, we will be keeping a “tight” focus on our outlook for 2015 which – much as I hate to say it – continues bullish into the new year.  Although an end-of-year rally will be satisfying to a lot of people, there are some technical reasons why the rally may continue even into 2017 – and it’s a set of reasons that will have us looking back at market data from the 1920’s (and earlier) for comparisons, this weekend and on Wednesday.

But comparisons are complicated because (like it or not) humans are “coming out of the investment loop.”  And as this happens, the “meaning of money” is changing.  And that gets us into crypto currencies and then….well, after some first items, we’ll set the statistical table.  As usual, we will be trying to connect all the dots, but we’re looking at a big ball of yarn right now with some breathing room before the big unraveling…

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Surveying the Road to Riches for 2015

img400What does an FA-18 Hornet going transonic just before busting up over Mach 1 have to do with why Ford brands a car as its “Mach One” and how does this fall figure into the price of oil and where to make the next smart investment?

It’s all in how you “grid the world.”  It’s something we all do, but it’s not something often articulated because it all goes back to parenting, schooling, jobs, and the bouncing around through life.

But ultimately, how well you do on the financial side of the house is decided by two simple concepts:  How you think and its next door neighbor what you think about most.  And then it all distills down to what you do about it.

By the time we’re done, I believe you’ll be convinced that 2015 holds immense opportunity.  Not only that, but I’ll let you in the method I am following in order to “find the next Microsoft.”  It’ll be some intellectual hopscotch, but believe me when I tell you, we have some clues where to look.

With the holidays here, we can get somewhat philosophical here and show you a method of thinking about the future that may help you on your path to wealth and riches.

After coffee and our Trading Model.

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Broken Web II: Digital Anarchy Arrives

As if this will take any of the readers of “Broken Web:  The coming collapse of the Internet” by surprise, the Sony hack has put a whole series of perspectives into place about what life will be like on the digital frontier from here forward.  We’ve got everything from “made up money” in the crypto currencies, to rips of books, and robots following close behind.

A primer on digital anarchy after our ChartPack, a review of the Trading Model, and a few significant headlines to light off Saturday…

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