Colors of Money

Although I can fairly be accused of being something of a whiner about how the US
economy is managed, I’m usually right more than 50% of the time in the end.
And president Obama’s likely nomination of Larry Summers, if it happens, likely
would improve my batting average even further.
Nevertheless, I’ve come up with an idea this week which would – at a stroke –
make congress, the White House, and the American people seem 50 IQ points
smarter when it comes to money and economics overnight.  While you let that
one roll around in the noggin, we’ll stop to smell the headlines and the
coffee…Say, did I mention growth sucks?

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CJ’s Boolean & Investing in the Ganzfeld

This weekend, reader CJ in Connecticut (who sadly missed out meet-up back there  in June) has a very well thought-out question about how economics works…so we  will dig into that.  Then we’ll ponder how comparative risk between assets  classes may be starting to come loose from its moorings…and the ice cream  Saturday…er…sundae will be considering how to invest in the Ganzfeld.   Before going there, however, a twinge of Gestalt from our usual quick survey of  this morning’s headlines.  You’ll want to pay close attention this morning  because we’re going to use the news to do some ad hoc “Event scoring” as a way  to intuit the future and make better investment decisions…as we arrive at  another system of handicapping the future on our way to the $2-dollar options  window…

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A GroupThink Project: Sectorial Dependencies

[Long report warning:  >7,000 words]

When someone says the word “GroupThink” I’m sure that there are some negative  connotations.  But in this morning’s context the term  “groupthink” is not a bad thing since we’ll to be using it to help (as a  group project for our mutual benefit) to come up with a different way of looking  at financial data.  Specifically what we’re after is to define interlocking dependencies which can then hone our investing returns not just  in the market but also in day-to-day decision-making about life in general.  Before  starting  this new look into mechanistic causality in complex systems though, there’s nothing to starting the  day with some headlines as we wait for the idiotic mainstream press to deliver  word of the first royal diaper being filled.  Oh, wait!  That’s already been done...so back to our battle between complexity theory  and good old-fashioned economic reductionism.

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A Course in Surveillance Algorithms

An algorithm is simply a set of instructions for a computer system to follow in a particular order.  In the case of Big Data, the steps are capture, organize, integrate, analyze, and act.  Using this approach, we can build a fine example of the many trip-wires an innocent civilian could stumble over in the modern surveillance society.  Plus we have our monthly check of west coast port data with is oftentimes a decent truth detector about the economy and an update on many headlines and our trading model.  You may need a third cup for this morning’s report…

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